Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:3

Prediction Map

rem1967 Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

rem1967 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	301
Rep	231
Ind	6

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	255
Rep	191
Ind	0
Tos	92

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-31	24	1	301	-31
Rep	+3	+1	+31	-1	0	-6	23	3	200	+25
Ind	+1	0	+6	0	0	0	0	0	0	+6

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
79	45	28	5	1

Analysis

Just for the hell of it, I gave UT to McMullin. Revised to show Trump ahead in NC.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	29/56	79/112	70.5%		3	1	280	T	678
2012 President	54/56	29/56	83/112	74.1%		14	1	640	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	9/33	36/66	54.5%		1	30	297	T	343
2008 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%		59	1	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	12/33	43/66	65.2%		1	21	303	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		1	21	183	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	226/245	128/245	354/490	72.2%

Links

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