PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - Firefly (D-FL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-10-14 Version:1

Prediction Map
Firefly MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Firefly MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem504
 
Rep34
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem351
 
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Tos165
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+20+2+172000272332+172
Rep000-20-2-1724134-172
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
3025320
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Clinton vs. Trump: This is a "what if" scenario. I do not believe that Trump will win the Republican nomination, but it's possible. Trump gets pounded in the general election. Significant numbers of Republican politicians refuse to endorse. Retired Republican politicians with no plans for running for public office again come out of the woodwork to actually endorse Clinton. Public is bombarded with television ads juxtaposing scenes of angry, red-faced Trump with reminders that the President of the United States has the power to destroy modern civilization within minutes. A knowledgeable, polished Clinton eviscerates Trump in all three debates. Trump is backed into a corner and instinctively lashes out with personal attacks, making him look desperate and childish and leading to the complete collapse of his campaign. Aftermath of the campaign leads to the marginalization of the "Tea Party/Freedom Caucus" and the rebirth of the Republican Party.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 27/56 3/56 30/112 26.8% pie 1 391 675678
P 2012 President 55/56 51/56 106/112 94.6% pie 1 1 1T760
P 2008 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 7 6 13T1,505
P 2004 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 33 1 706T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 185/224 136/224 321/448 71.7% pie



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