Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-31 Version:4

Prediction Map

Twindad46 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Twindad46 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	6
Rep	24
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	7	3	10	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	10	8	18	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	38	48
Republican	27	23	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	33	22

Analysis

I'm swapping my predictions for WA and WV. GOP gets WA but Democrats hold WV. Still no overall change in the balance of power.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	44/56	36/56	80/112	71.4%		2	332	627	T	684
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		3	6	132	T	483
2016 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%		7	0	27	T	678
2014 Senate	34/36	18/36	52/72	72.2%		6	2	177	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	13/36	45/72	62.5%		2	2	145	T	300
2012 President	45/56	36/56	81/112	72.3%		7	4	670	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	11/33	35/66	53.0%		1	4	307	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	4/52	39/104	37.5%		1	-	111	T	231
2010 Senate	33/37	22/37	55/74	74.3%		4	2	133	T	456
Aggregate Predictions	333/397	195/397	528/794	66.5%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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