The Democrats at this stage of the election are in trouble. Despite bills being passed through Congress, and President Obama signing them into law. The American public is suffering. And it has to do with employment. Despite unemployment being extended, there are perhaps hundreds of thousands who have exhausted their unemployment benefits. People are still losing homes to foreclosure. And the public is tightening its fiscal belt.

Despite that, voters are not willing to throw out all of the incumbents. There is a long memory that it was the Republican party that destroyed the American economy. And that banks with the support of a Republican president and a Republican house supported the banks. Wall Street banks received a black eye in the way it treated its customers. Unemployment has not cease. Recovery is slow. And add to the fact that President Obama continued President Bush's policies in supporting banks. And that most of the banks did not listen to him in helping people save their homes adds to the Democratic parties misery. Economics will decide the election.

At this moment, the Republican party seems to have momentum. Whether that relates to seats being retaken is another matter. I expect a very close, and expensive campaign in the fall. Despite all this, President Obama remains very popular with voters. Visits by him to candidates in trouble can only help the Democrats, perhaps, retain control of the U.S. Senate. Reminding voters of Republican and Wall Street Bank and their greed can only hurt the Republicans in the election. It's going to be a nasty and hard fought, with some elections not being decided until the next day.

Take California's U.S. Senate election between Sen. Boxer and Republican challenger Carly Fiorna. Right now, this looks like a close election in a traditional, Democratic state. But, Boxer, according to history is always behind at this stage, and always seems to bury her opponent come election day. My guess is that the Bay area and the Los Angeles area will vote heavily for her. And if my hunch is right, she will get at least or over 40% of the vote in the Central valley. If she were to get buried in the Central Valley, then may be Fiorana would stand a chance. Hispanic voters should keep the margin close in California's agricultural region. Despite the water problems plaguing the area.

Sen. Boxer should survive the onslaught. I expect some Democratic voters to stay home in the traditional, Democratic areas. Instead of voting for the Republican. These voters will show their displeasure at Boxer by staying home.

With the rest of the states, I expect close races in a lot of the Senate races. Meaning, if the votes go the right way for the Republicans, they may have a majority the next day. At the same, if President Obama declares a state of emergency regarding joblessness, and unemployment, and does what President Roosevelt did in getting people to work. The Democrats may run away with the election. All of these are variables. President Obama has already proven that he can get things done in Washington. If he can apply that to the economy. Obama and the Democrats may have the upper hand. As for the war in Afghanistan, the American public is weary, and sees the war is being run by a bunch of incompetents who do not know how to run a war. But supporting President Obama and his strategy is still strong.