Belgard is only winning 75% of Democrats in this poll. Throw it in the trash.
Also Booker leads by 9 in the same sample which means he is on track to deliver a good thrashing statewide. (Obama won the district by 5).
In NJ, I don't see the idea of 15 or 20% of Dems voting Republican in a House election as particularly far-fetched.
It's not, unfortunately. New Jersey independents and liberals are still under some delusion that our Republicans are moderate. On social issues and gun rights, yes, they are. On economic matters, not so much... just as bad as any national Republican. I was out of the loop for a while, living in Chicago and then San Diego, so apparently Jon Runyan wasn't THAT bad, but this MacArthur seems like a real bastard, with all his nonsense about "free market solutions" to problems such as equal pay for women. What trash.