Slate/Votecastr real time election projections
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Author Topic: Slate/Votecastr real time election projections  (Read 23800 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #100 on: November 08, 2016, 10:39:59 AM »

Florida total votes seem off - weren't there six million EVs?
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Absolution9
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« Reply #101 on: November 08, 2016, 10:41:13 AM »

Florida total votes seem off - weren't there six million EVs?

Yeah is this just early vote or absentee and early or just some counties?  What gives?
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #102 on: November 08, 2016, 10:41:50 AM »

Here is early voting results from 2012 you can use for comparison:

Colorado
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 35 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

Florida
Votes: 4.3 million
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 40 percent

Iowa
Votes: 614,000
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Nevada
Votes: 702,000
Democrats: 44 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

North Carolina
Votes: 2.7 million
Democrats: 48 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Ohio
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 29 percent
Republicans: 23 percent
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #103 on: November 08, 2016, 10:42:01 AM »

This thread is going to give me a heartattack.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #104 on: November 08, 2016, 10:42:18 AM »

Are these just for early vote or absentee and early vote?  Numbers look kinda small to include both?
They has not probably all EV data yet. Because in FL it was 6.5 million EV. Here just 3.7 mln so far.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #105 on: November 08, 2016, 10:43:05 AM »

Here is early voting results from 2012 you can use for comparison:

Colorado
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 35 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

Florida
Votes: 4.3 million
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 40 percent

Iowa
Votes: 614,000
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Nevada
Votes: 702,000
Democrats: 44 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

North Carolina
Votes: 2.7 million
Democrats: 48 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Ohio
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 29 percent
Republicans: 23 percent
It is though party registration numbers. Not the same.
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afleitch
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« Reply #106 on: November 08, 2016, 10:43:12 AM »

You do realise for self promotional purposes, they want to have some sort of suspenseful narrative Smiley
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Mike88
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« Reply #107 on: November 08, 2016, 10:44:09 AM »

What the hell is this?? I thought they we're going to report the exit polls not toss around projections of votes estimates.

Guys, chill!! The polls opened just 3 hours ago.
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #108 on: November 08, 2016, 10:44:40 AM »

This thread is going to give me a heartattack.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #109 on: November 08, 2016, 10:44:55 AM »

You do realise for self promotional purposes, they want to have some sort of suspenseful narrative Smiley

What are you trying to imply? Huh
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alomas
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« Reply #110 on: November 08, 2016, 10:46:35 AM »

These numbers are from early voting, right?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #111 on: November 08, 2016, 10:47:50 AM »

These numbers are from early voting, right?

Both? But right now seems that they not have all data from EV yet. Florida is way off, at least.
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The Free North
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« Reply #112 on: November 08, 2016, 10:48:39 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.


Wisconsin looks like a mess for him though, but we knew that.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #113 on: November 08, 2016, 10:48:59 AM »


Yes, my friend. Trump is winning the Keystone State.

Haha only ~3% casted votes so far.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #114 on: November 08, 2016, 10:49:51 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.

lol, okay. I'm leaving this thread. I decided not to follow the model for the same reasons this thread is going nuts right now.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #115 on: November 08, 2016, 10:51:08 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.

lol, okay. I'm leaving this thread. I decided not to follow the model for the same reasons this thread is going nuts right now.
Stop bed-wetting. It is fun, no? Tongue
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #116 on: November 08, 2016, 10:51:42 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.


Wisconsin looks like a mess for him though, but we knew that.

LOL, do you have a clue? FL is almost completely gone. Iowa is a disaster! What a nightmare
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #117 on: November 08, 2016, 10:52:06 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.


Wisconsin looks like a mess for him though, but we knew that.

OMFG....

I cant with this thread.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #118 on: November 08, 2016, 10:52:27 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.

lol, okay. I'm leaving this thread. I decided not to follow the model for the same reasons this thread is going nuts right now.

I agree. I'm out. Will watch the returns tonight.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #119 on: November 08, 2016, 10:52:29 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.

lol, okay. I'm leaving this thread. I decided not to follow the model for the same reasons this thread is going nuts right now.
Stop bed-wetting. It is fun, no? Tongue
It isn't bed as much as a bad version of a good model starting to get people excited for no good reason.
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BlueSwan
blueswan
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« Reply #120 on: November 08, 2016, 10:53:08 AM »

Has anybody been able to find a link with data being updated yet?
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bilaps
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« Reply #121 on: November 08, 2016, 10:53:33 AM »

Nevada 69,1%

Clinton 46,7
Trump 45,2

Wisconsin 24,7%

Clinton 52,7%
Trump 40,3%

Ohio 29,7%

Clinton 47,9%
Trump 43,9%

Florida 49,2%

Clinton 48,3%
Trump 45,5%

Iowa around 40%

Clinton up 5%
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The Free North
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« Reply #122 on: November 08, 2016, 10:53:39 AM »

Slates Maps are absolutely infuriating. I cant see Clark County or Miami-Dade since the damn thing is off the bottom of the map and I cant scroll down.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #123 on: November 08, 2016, 10:54:25 AM »

Wow IA, OH, and FL all look good for trump.

lol, okay. I'm leaving this thread. I decided not to follow the model for the same reasons this thread is going nuts right now.
Stop bed-wetting. It is fun, no? Tongue
It isn't bed as much as a bad version of a good model starting to get people excited for no good reason.

What's the difference between this and early voting thread?

What you did there, was projecting as well, no?
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #124 on: November 08, 2016, 10:54:37 AM »

trump ahead in PA
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