Canadian Liberal Leadership Election 2013

[RogueBeaver]

Valeriote endorsed Trudeau today.

[RogueBeaver]

Only outstanding endorsements left are Belanger and Brison.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2013/02/07/pol-trudeau-most-mp-support-leadership.html

[RogueBeaver]

Sgro has unofficially endorsed Garneau, Copps Trudeau. So that leaves Belanger and Brison.

[RogueBeaver]

In terms of voting intentions, no. Otherwise agreed. Dunno who'll come in second.

[RogueBeaver]

Yes, since '08, but I'm still voting Tory in '15.

On another note: Mississauga, Saturday, 1-3 for the next debate.

[RogueBeaver]

Garneau took the gloves off today, taking dead aim at JT: dunno if this continues at the debates, doubt it helps him in the long run.

http://marcgarneau.ca/statement-130213/

Brison criticizes Garneau.

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/national/Garneau+blasts+Trudeau+lack+coherent+vision+Liberal/7959100/story.html

Trudeau talks about his personal wealth.

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Justin+Trudeau+inheritance+worth+million/7960615/story.html

[RogueBeaver]

Premunization against predictable attempts to define his image. Politically astute.

Now Garneau saying "I lead, you follow" on JT's Queens student debt speech. On PP promised to keep critiquing for the duration.

[RogueBeaver]

Whoa, that was one heated debate. That Garneau-Trudeau exchange went as expected. Then there were shots at lawyers and tree businesses, Cauchon grabbing MHF's hand, JT putting his arm around Garneau, and finally this. MHF had an initial point, then... well let's just say she didn't do herself any favours. Garneau was correct when he called it "petty."

http://www.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=866669&playlistId=1.1159734&binId=1.810401&playlistPageNum=1

She also insisted in the presser that she wasn't being personal. Plus the irony of a Bay Streeter slamming the class card on the table.

[RogueBeaver]

Per Kady O'Malley, the segment was over but the moderator gave Coyne extra time. Walked off prematurely. The verbal response- pitch-perfect. Certainly didn't expect that sort of crap from MHF, whom I've always respected. For some reason none of the PPG Twitterers noted the irony of a Bay Street lawyer throwing class around.

[RogueBeaver]

Garneau has challenged JT to a 1-1 debate, which he has refused.

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2013/02/25/keith-beardsley-trudeau-gains-in-rejecting-garneaus-debate-challenge/

Takach is the first dropout, endorsed Trudeau.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/takach-first-to-drop-out-of-liberal-race-endorses-trudeau-for-leader/article9043573/

Another Trudeau endorsee: Scott Brison.

http://www.brison.ca/newsshow.asp?int_id=81040

[RogueBeaver]

I think all candidates' endorsements are timed myself. In Brison's case, makes sense to do it just before the debate.

More endorsements incoming: BC Sen. Larry Campbell for Murray, NS Grit leader Stephen McNeil for Trudeau.

http://joycemurray.ca/newspages/200-release-senator-campbell

http://www.timescolonist.com/news/national/nova-scotia-liberal-leader-endorsing-justin-trudeau-in-federal-leadership-race-1.81464

[RogueBeaver]

Murray interview. She just got Bruce Hyer's quasi-endorsement, per Twitter.

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/national/Liberal+leadership+Joyce+Murray+wind+back/8023984/story.html

[RogueBeaver]

Would be kinda hard for a sitting HC to make a political endorsement.

[RogueBeaver]

High Commissioner. Joyce Murray's ideological backflip is kinda interesting though.

[RogueBeaver]

So the debate's a wrap. Only interesting exchanges were JT-Murray on coop and JT-Garneau on the definition of "negative campaigning" (puhleeze) and plans to help the middle class. Plus MHF flipping on Northern Gateway.

Team Trudeau has raised $1 million, signed up 150k supporters and has 10k personnel.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-canadienne/201303/03/01-4627375-trudeau-dispose-dune-imposante-machine-de-campagne.php

[RogueBeaver]

LPC is considering whether to extend supporter registration after it belly-flopped. Reports that people didn't provide email addresses, etc. Next time stick with members or better yet, a delegated convention.

Even bigger news: Garneau is withdrawing today because he concluded it was hopeless. I thought there was something suspicious after his "loyal soldier" a couple of weeks ago.

http://www.globalnews.ca/canada/canadian+press+newsalert+marc+garneau+quitting+bid+to+lead+federal+liberals/6442827286/story.html

[RogueBeaver]

Speaking of loyal soldiers, Garneau will be endorsing Trudeau. Craig Oliver says that more will follow... yeah, this is 2003/9 all over again. He might also have not been certain of coming in third, or at least some are speculating.

[RogueBeaver]

Said that he's eager to help on policy front. Discussed an internal of 6000 Liberals showing 72% JT, 15% Garneau, 7% Murray, 5% MHF. Was done last week.

[RogueBeaver]

CBC reporting that the supporter extension has been granted.

Hatman: Either/or. This supporter thing was just stupid. Good on paper, bad in practice. OMOV is fine if a) restricted to members b) works.

The book's being closed on this race already.

http://www2.macleans.ca/2013/03/13/and-so-the-justin-trudeau-years-begin/

http://www2.macleans.ca/2013/03/13/marc-garneau-the-spaceman-who-fell-to-earth/

http://www2.macleans.ca/2013/03/13/how-justin-trudeau-is-winning-quebec/

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2013/03/13/marc_garneaus_withdrawal_from_liberal_leadership_race_saves_himself_humiliation_hbert.html

[RogueBeaver]

Only Murray objected.

[RogueBeaver]

Bertschi dropped out. Hsu has switched his support from Garneau to Murray for ideological and coop reasons. The supposedly neutral Dion is also supporting Murray.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/trudeau-continues-to-dominate-liberal-leadership-race-as-bertschi-drops-out/article10054054/

[RogueBeaver]

Only 40% of supporters registered, voting turnout will also probably be down. Dunno about membership though.

On the $$$ front, Justin's now at $1.3 million.

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/national/Justin+Trudeau+money+magnet+rakes+million+Grit+leadership/8140700/story.html

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/trudeau-compiling-war-chest-to-fight-tory-attack-ads/article10254429/

[RogueBeaver]

Debate roundup. Key moments: Murray accusing MHF of being a petrool (1:32-35) and Justin's closing statement (2:26-29).

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=HE40ggiVTBU

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=DE8RBtAEel8

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2013/03/23/candidates_go_headtohead_in_final_debate_of_liberal_leadership_race.html

[RogueBeaver]

I didn't figure you, or any Dipper here, for a coop enthusiast. I do think she'll be the runner-up though.

On other notes, MHF is getting publicly criticized by Sgro, Bennett and Fry for being a self-promoting showboat who's not helping the Grit cause with her sharp attacks on Murray and JT. Plus calling people cowards for voting the exact same way she did on certain occasions. Scott Tribe agrees with them, as do I. Though dunno why her anti-supply management stance is such a BFD. Big Loaf and all that.

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/politics/2013/03/26/liberal-mps-criticize-hall-findlay%E2%80%99s-lengthy-attack-on-murray%E2%80%99s/34158#.UVIy694kDbg.twitter

[RogueBeaver]

Grits should not be amused with their voter numbers, but 3/4 of them are supporters. Milliken has endorsed Murray, who is also doing quite well w/$$$ in this week's support. Can't see how she doesn't place second.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/could-this-be-justin-trudeau-s-top-challenger-1.1215703


Exit interview with Rae.

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Analysis+does+gently+into+that+good+night/8166120/story.html