colincb
Rookie
Posts: 60
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.43
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« on: April 07, 2012, 11:36:25 PM » |
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In Massachusetts, Dem turnout in a presidential election should be > Dem turnout in a non-presidential election SB > Dem turnout in a special election which is what Brown won. Expect 800,000+ more voters from predominately Democratic urban areas in 2012. Obama's going to win MA by 20-25% and possibly more, the Dems are going to win all 10 CDs barring an unforeseen upset, and it's tough to see enough vote-splitting for Brown to win especially since Warren is a better candidate than Moakley from what I've seen so far.
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