New West Virginia poll to be released tomorrow

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Way to go John Raese! 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I refuse to believe that McGraw might be re-elected by more than a 1% margin. That would not be traditional.

With regards to the final one, the newspaper that commissioned the poll does have a bit of a record at trying to get Capito to actually run for higher office; they ran some dubious polls showing her close to Byrd back in 2005 for example.

Who are 'R.L. Repass & Inc' anyway?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

52-38...not bad.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama is still doing better in Kentucky than West Virginia, and he's doing even better in Tennessee.

Does anybody else think this may be a sign of a vastly widening urban/rural split?

(Kentucky has Louisville and Lexington. West Virginia doesn't.)

[Old Man Willow]

Obama is still doing better in Kentucky than West Virginia, and he's doing even better in Tennessee.

Does anybody else think this may be a sign of a vastly widening urban/rural split?

(Kentucky has Louisville and Lexington. West Virginia doesn't.)

There haven't been any KY polls in over a year...

[Eraserhead]

So Obama's only down 14 points according to this poll. He lost WV by 13 points when he won nationally by 7 points in 2008. Right now, he's probably only a point or two ahead of Romney nationally, so I guess you could actually argue that he's over-performing in WV relative to his national numbers if you wanted.

[MorningInAmerica]

... so I guess you could actually argue that he's over-performing in WV relative to his national numbers if you wanted.

That...or the poll could just be wrong.

[xavier110]

So Obama's only down 14 points according to this poll. He lost WV by 13 points when he won nationally by 7 points in 2008. Right now, he's probably only a point or two ahead of Romney nationally, so I guess you could actually argue that he's over-performing in WV relative to his national numbers if you wanted.

I think it's more that Obama's performance in 08 is just about the Democrat's floor for presidential elections in WV.

[5280]

I was close, guessed 53-40 Romney.

[timothyinMD]

This is a joke.  Obama will be lucky to get 33 in WV.  He's hated there

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

This is a joke.  Obama will be lucky to get 33 in WV.  He's hated there

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFods1KSWsQ

[pbrower2a]

This is a joke.  Obama will be lucky to get 33 in WV.  He's hated there

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFods1KSWsQ

McGovern got 36.39% of the WV vote in 1972. Mondale got 44.60% of the WV vote in 1984 (that was Mondale's tenth-best state). Obama got 42.51% of the WV vote in 2008.

The state used to be reliably D in national elections.   

Barack is the definitive northern urban pol. His campaign technique works well with mass audiences, which probably explains why he did so well in very-urban Virginia but not West Virginia.