Bush Leads in Georgia by Only 3%

[minionofmidas]

MN troy:  i dont remember the specifics of the poll, but i do distinctly remember seeing it.

as for mccain, he didnt catch fire until early in 2000 (sort of like kerry this year).  for much of 1999, mccain ran far behind mccain.

I too remember seeing an early map of state polls (early 2000? summer 1999?) with Mass. and New York for Bush within the MoE.
In fact, according to that map the only states Gore was ahead in were Hawaii and Tennessee.
Of course there wasn't any poll yet for at least half the nation.

[A18]

Yes, Georgia sure was close, wasn't it.

[Erc]

If Bush wins Kentucky again, I will eat my hat.

You folks have absolutely no idea just how incredibly unpopular Bush is in Kentucky (especially Eastern Kentucky).

[Alcon]

Yes, Georgia sure was close, wasn't it.

February polls are always great.

A timeline of early polling:

- On February 19th, a poll put Bush up 8 points in Arizona. Three days later, the generic Dem led by 2.
- On February 13th, the generic Dem led by 4 in California. Three days later, a poll showed generic Dem up by 17.
- An April 2003 (!) Mason-Dixon poll showed Bush up by 15 in Florida.
- In June 2003, a Chicago Tribune poll showed Bush up by 2 in Illinois.
- A February 2004 poll had Bush up by only 8 in Kansas.
- A March 2003 poll in Maine had Bush up by 11.
- An April 2003 poll had Bush up by 6 in Massachusetts.
- A December 2003 poll showed Bush up by 10 in Michigan.
- A July 2003 Mason-Dixon poll showed Bush up 28 points (!!!) in Nevada.

And so on.

Early polling sucks. Anyone who believes it is just asking for it.

[Erc]

Yes, Georgia sure was close, wasn't it.

February polls are always great.

A timeline of early polling:

- On February 19th, a poll put Bush up 8 points in Arizona. Three days later, the generic Dem led by 2.
- On February 13th, the generic Dem led by 4 in California. Three days later, a poll showed generic Dem up by 17.
- An April 2003 (!) Mason-Dixon poll showed Bush up by 15 in Florida.
- In June 2003, a Chicago Tribune poll showed Bush up by 2 in Illinois.
- A February 2004 poll had Bush up by only 8 in Kansas.
- A March 2003 poll in Maine had Bush up by 11.
- An April 2003 poll had Bush up by 6 in Massachusetts.
- A December 2003 poll showed Bush up by 10 in Michigan.
- A July 2003 Mason-Dixon poll showed Bush up 28 points (!!!) in Nevada.

And so on.

Early polling sucks. Anyone who believes it is just asking for it.

Well, if the election had been held in April 2003, Bush would have won 535 EV's.  Maybe not New York...nope, Bush would have still won there.