NC: Public Policy Polling: Romney & Obama Close in North Carolina

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-05-14

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[krazen1211]

Interesting, PPP and Ras have the exact same crosstabs more or less. Just PPP has a D+14 electorate and Ras has a D+1 electorate.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Hi Dave!

[Umengus]

in 2008: D 42 R 31 I 27

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Interesting. This means about 6% other, no? I wonder which third party candidate will do best in NC...

[Oakvale]

in 2008: D 42 R 31 I 27

Stop this.

[ajb]

SHOCKER: Dkos pollster polls 14% more Democrats than Republicans, when in 2008, actual NC turnout was D+11 (that's D+11 in a RECORD BREAKING DEMOCRATIC turnout year). Under what logic could PPP be thinking turnout in NC will be even larger in '12? Couldn't be that they're trying to push a narrative could it?

If anything, the Romney camp should be ecstatic that they'er only down 1 point in a D+14 sample.

The flipside, of course, is that they should be pretty bummed about only being up 8 points in a D+1 sample.

[Umengus]

in 2008: D 42 R 31 I 27

Stop this.

why ?

do you think that dem turnout will be better in 2012 than in 2008 ?

[Sbane]

in 2008: D 42 R 31 I 27

Stop this.

why ?

do you think that dem turnout will be better in 2012 than in 2008 ?

Doesnt PPP always do this? Over sample democrats and republicans to a lesser extent and under sample Independents. I'm sure in the 2010 polls where they were the most accurate, their partisanship numbers would be off from the exit poll. Also exit polls are polls as well....I don't trust SurveyUSA cross tabs and I think PPP's partisan numbers are wacky. In the end it's the top line numbers that matter.

[Miles]

For reference, the actual official voter registration totals are: D 43.4% R: 31.3% I: 25.3%

[Vern]

PPP polls are of RVs this far out that is why the Democrats are +12-14 in their polls for NC. As the election get closer them switch over to LVs. They do this because it is hard to true say you are likely to vote this far out.

[Miles]

For reference, the actual official voter registration totals are: D 43.4% R: 31.3% I: 25.3%

True, but that doesn't necessarilly reflect turnout in '12.

I know. I just wanted to get that out there.