NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,528
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« Reply #50 on: October 29, 2016, 05:50:17 PM » |
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Moving AZ from Lean R to Tossup (Clinton).
Going out on a limb a bit on this, since I try to be conservative when shifting states dramatically.
What we are seeing with early EV numbers in Arizona appears to indicate that the "Latino Surge" is real, and swinging heavily in Clinton's favor.
All of the early EV numbers from AZ appear to indicate an unprecedented number of first-time voters, Latino proportion of the electorate, as well as polling that indicates that these EVs are voting heavily Clinton, as opposed to the traditional pattern where Republicans typically lead in EV and Dems shrink the gap with same-day voting.
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