First years at a gallup, Election 2040

[liberalkid]

Good evening. this is an idea I've had for a while, and instead of some other form, I'll post this in segments to the forum. comments are appreciated, although not necessarily listened to

notes: for the sake of time, electoral votes are same as '08, although in 32 years they'll no doubt change.

ELECTION OF 2036
Republican Nomination:
President Edwin Jennings, a moderate Republican from Connecticut, was challenged by Reverend Bill Jacobs, a Baptist minister from Alabama.
The summer of 2035 sees Jacobs ascending in the polls and attracting supporters from the Religious Right, who were upset over Jennings's pro-choice position. Jennings was tied down in the White House with an economic crisis brewing.
Primaries: Jacobs upsets Jennings in Iowa (61-39), but Jennings slams the pastor in New Hampshire (55-45). Nevada Breaks for Jennings (52-48), South Carolina for Jacobs (71-29).
Michigan appeared to be a lost cause for Jennings until Governor Chris Jackson, the popular Democratic governor endorses him, stating that "While i disagree with this man on several issues, he is a decent man who deserves the right to defend his record". Jennings wins narrowly.
the last primary, California, was the end of the campaign. Jennings needed to win by at least 65% to overcome Jacob's delegate totals. he lost 51-49, and dropped out.

[Bo]

Good so far. Where is the Gallup poll for Election 2040?

[liberalkid]

The Democratic Primaries:
The Contenders were, with short bio:

Senator Estes Kiefhour (KY) two-time Democratic nominee, age 81. leader of the moderate-to-conservative wing.

Senator Jack Bond (ID)- second-term senator, age 48. young and charismatic, moderate-to-liberal.

Governor Kendal Stow (WI)- Two-term Governor, age 51. bow-tied and grey-suit wearing Wisconsin liberal. Running as a heartland populist.

Governor Michael Simon (NY)- one-term governor, age 62. running as the technocrat

The race started off as chiefly between Simon and Kiefhour, who fought over tax rates. Bond and Stow campaigned most heavily in Iowa and Michigan, the other two more nationally.  
Iowa came by quickly, as the contours of the race had yet to change. Stow managed tow in
Stow: 35
Bond: 30
Simon: 23
Kiefhour: 12

New Hampshire was Simon country, but Stow managed to land in 2nd place
Simon:55
Stow:23
Bond: 19
Kiefhour: 3

Nevada originally was to be a fought-over race, but Bond was tagged with a sex scandal including a flight attendant, and Simon won convincingly
Simon: 41
Stow:29
Bond: 20
Kiefhour: 10

Michigan was Stow's last gasp, and his loss (bow ties don't work well) made him end his campaign
Simon:44
Stow:40
Kiefhour: 16

South Carolina was Kiefhour Country
Kiefhour: 60
Simon:40

Florida: hard-fought. Simon Wins 55-45
Kiefhour campaign runs out of money, shutters doors in the most anti-climactic primary ever

[liberalkid]

Good so far. Where is the Gallup poll for Election 2040?

Gallup poll, out after Florida Primary, 2/18/40
Kiefhour: 39
Jennings:34

Kiefhour:36
Jacobs:29

Simon: 47
Jennings:37

Simon:55
Jacobs:35

Favorability/un

Simon: 44/40
Kiefhour: 50/49
Jacobs: 45/45
Jennings: 35/65

[liberalkid]

for those of you wanting a hint of the election, here's a photo of Simon

[liberalkid]

Polling, with notes as to importance
date/ simon vote percentage/notes
2/18/ 54/Simon only democratic Contender
2/25/ 56/Super Tuesday split
3/10/ 59/ Jennings wins Illinois primary
3/23/ 61/Simon fundraises 5.5 million in a day
4/1/   63/Jacobs calls Jennings a communist
4/14/ 69/Simon campaign hits high point; Jennings rescues self from disaster, winning New York Primary
5/1    66/Jacobs wins CA primary, clinches nomination

[tmthforu94]

for those of you wanting a hint of the election, here's a photo of Simon

Why is Simon wearing a hat that says "Mike Dukakis"on it?

[liberalkid]

Republican Convention set for August 9th
Democratic Convention set for August 21st.

5/4- Jacobs runs first general election ad "Freedom is For Those who respect it"
Simon: 61
Jacobs: 39
5/9- Simon has doctors visit, certified healthy
Simon: 61
Jacobs:39
5/17- Jacobs refers to opponent as "flaming liberal" and "So far to the left you can't see him"
Simon: 59
Jacobs: 40
5/25- Southern Baptist convention organises members to GOTV for Jacobs
Simon: 57
Jacobs: 43
6/1- Simon asked if his wife was raped, if he would support frying the guy. he says no
Simon: 55
Jacobs:45
6/10-radical enviromentalist bombing of car factory.
Simon:54
Jacobs:46
6/19- Isaac Bahney moderate Republican from Virginia, announces candidacy.
Simon:53
Jacobs:44
Bahney: 3

[liberalkid]

for those of you wanting a hint of the election, here's a photo of Simon

Why is Simon wearing a hat that says "Mike Dukakis"on it?

some overpaid advance man forgot to get rid of the sticker. Either that or some snarky defense plant worker has a good sense of humor

[liberalkid]

July 4th, 2036

Presidential candidate Billy Jacobs announces retooled campain, with a new slogan "fighting for you"
Simon: 52
Jacobs:44
Bahney:4

July 9th-15th

Simon goes back to New York to rest, practice debating, and work out the problematic budget situation
Simon:51
Jacobs:45
Bahney:4

July 17th
Report by the Community Action Network shows poverty rampant and increasing. Jacobs responds by praising and highlighting the work his ministry has done; attacks welfare. Simon touts gains in anti-poverty programs he has made. Bahney says in responce "tax cuts, tax cuts, tax cuts"

[yougo1000]

That is the year I plan to run.

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

That is the year I plan to run.

You're planning to run for President?

[justW353]

...

How do you plan to run for President when your ten? 

[yougo1000]

That is the year I plan to run.

You're planning to run for President?

Yes

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

That is the year I plan to run.

You're planning to run for President?

Yes

What issues will you run on, and how will you campaign?

[Mr. Morden]

That is the year I plan to run.

You're planning to run for President?

Yes

What issues will you run on, and how will you campaign?

He'll campaign by buying advertising on the Moon and flying around the country in a supersonic solar-powered hovercar, duh.  How else would someone campaign in 2040?

[yougo1000]

That is the year I plan to run.

You're planning to run for President?

Yes

What issues will you run on, and how will you campaign?

I will run for the people.

[hawkeye59]

bump

[ComeAndTakeIt53]

Republican Primary

James Maxon, Senator, Iowa. Decently Conservative. Much like Ronald Reagan in many different factors. Polling for re-election. 45 years old.

Travis Kerker, Representative, Nebraska. Highly Conservative and supports most wars. Loses some less-Conservative backing for that fact. 44 years old.

Eric Benzel, State Legislature, Nebraska. Least-Most Conservative candidate in the GOP Primaries. Had "no problem with Obama." Very unlikely to win.

Thomas Aldrich, Governor, Texas. Very Conservative, believes in less Libertarian things and more of a Conservative bias. 48 Years Old.

Brian Smith, Representative, Michigan. Only votes 65% conservative but has great marketing schemes. 36 Years Old.

Bobby Aldren, Representative, New York. Self-proclaimed "Constitutionalist". In fact, a former representative for the Constitution Party. Joined the Republican party for a shot at Senate. 65 years old.

Caleb Reuting, Senator, Nebraska. The Dark Horse in this race. Extremely similar views to those of Ron and Rand Paul but supports the war (against Russia). Is a mixture of Libertarian and Conservative views. Former Constitution Party Representative. Tea Party backed. 44 years old.

Rick Mantell, Senator, Utah. Is a little bit more of a lefty, is basically the John McCain of this year's election. 75 years old.

[hawkeye59]

Sorry, but this is someone else's timeline, Caleb.

[ComeAndTakeIt53]

Democratic Primary

John Spain, Senator, New York. Most Liberal candidate in the entire DNC primary election. Anti-gun all over the map except for military/police usage. Wants to legalize gay marriage. Wants to spend less on homeland security. Wants abortion to be legal in all cases. Doesn't want a strong military whatsoever. Basically hates the whole Constitution in general. A prime candidate for assassination. 47 years old.

Jim Niswald, Senator, Illinois. The most powerful candidate that there is in the DNC primaries. Is not too Liberal, only 65% and has less extreme views than Spain. 52 years old.

Max Conesh, Representative, Louisiana. Mildly Liberal. Would draw some Libertarian vote. 39 years old.

Chris Jones, Representative, California. The most Conservative candidate in the DNC primaries. Loves guns. Should be a Republican, but would have no chance in his district, although it is a Conservative one.

[ej2mm15]

...

How do you plan to run for President when your ten? 

I'm planning on running in 2048

[ComeAndTakeIt53]

Sorry, but this is someone else's timeline, Caleb.

Oh, sorry I thought that was just his predictions lol my bad.

[ComeAndTakeIt53]

James Maxon: 17 Points
1.Arizona
2.California
3.Florida
4.Hawai'i
5.Idaho
6.Illinois
7.Iowa
8.Minnesota
9.Missouri
10.New Hampshire
11.New Jersey
12.Ohio
13.Utah
14.Vermont
15.Washington
16.Washington D.C.
17.Wisconsin
Caleb Reuting: 24 Points
1.Alabama
2.Arkansas
3.Colorado
4.Connecticut
5.Delaware
6.Georgia
7.Indiana
8.Kansas
9.Kentucky
10.Louisiana
11.Maine
12.Mississippi
13.Montana
14.Nebraska
15.Nevada
16.New Mexico
17.North Carolina
18.North Dakota
19.Oklahoma
20.South Carolina
21.South Dakota
22.Tennessee
23.West Virginia
24.Wyoming
Travis Kerker: 6 Points (10%)
1.Alaska
2.Maryland
3.Pennsylvania
4.Rhode Island
5.Texas
6.Virginia
Brian Smith: 3 Points (5%)
1.Massachusetts
2.Michigan
3.Oregon
Bobby Aldren: 1 Point (5%)
1.New York
Thomas Aldrich: 0 Points (4%)
Rick Mantell: 0 Points (2%)
Eric Benzel: 0 Points (1%)
Other: 0 Points (1%)
Reuting in an extreme surprise beats Maxon and his VP Ryan Donner and, very surprisingly, selects Kerker instead of Arlen as his VP stating that, "We're both from the same state, Arlen was my runner-up but we know each other better and this will be a better combination, trust me" and that Kerker would help better with the war. Being a self-proclaimed "hawk."

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

...

How do you plan to run for President when your ten? 

I'm planning on running in 2048

How do you plan to run for President in in a specific year that's 38 years from now? What if a Republican's (or whatever party you'll be in by then) already in office and running for election that year? Are you going to become President in your Clinton 2008-2048 Timelines?