2016: Back to the Future or Forward to the Present

[NHI]

Gubernatorial Elections: 2016

High profiled Gubernatorial Elections: New Hampshire (Inc. Hassan), Montana (Inc. Bullock), North Carolina (Inc. McCroy), West Virginia (Inc. Tomblin), Missouri (O.R.)

Challengers:

New Hampshire: Bill Binnie

Montana: Cory Stapleton

North Carolina: Anthony Foxx

West Virginia: Mark Sorsaia

Missouri: Bill Randles v. Robin Carnahan

Polls:

New Hampshire: (Tossup) H: 49% B: 47%

Montana: (Lean D) B: 51% S: 46%

North Carolina: (Lean R) M: 49% F: 46%

West Virginia: (Lean D) T: 50% S: 46%

Missouri: (Tossup) C: 48% R: 48%

[NHI]

THE RACE TIGHTENS AS CANDIDATES SET FOR FINAL SHOWDOWN

An average of all the recent polling shows the race between Hillary Clinton and Susana Martinez to be a dead heat. Clinton: 48%, Martinez: 48%

Excerpt of Battleground States:

Ohio: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 49%

New Hampshire: Tossup

Clinton: 48%

Martinez: 47%

Virginia: Tossup

Martinez: 48%

Clinton: 46%

Florida: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

Colorado: Tossup

Martinez: 49%

Clinton: 49%

Nevada: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

[Vern]

North Carolina would be a battleground state before GA

[NHI]

TENSIONS FLARE IN FINAL DEBATE

In the final Presidential Debate, exactly nineteen days before the Election Hillary Clinton and Susana Martinez engaged in rhetorical blows. The two candidates who are running neck-and-neck in the polls tried at first to stick to their talking points, but the gloves came off when the topic of the  Benghazi came up, and while Martinez did not explicitly criticize Clinton, she chided the former secretary of state that as President "the bucks stops at the Oval Office, and unlike President Obama there will be accountability again if I'm President."

Clinton refusing to let the remark go unacknowledged fired back, "Governor Martinez is still running with the exaggerated account of the facts that the Limbaugh wing of the Republican Party has been spinning since the fall of 2012. I took responsibility as Secretary and yes, Governor the buck does stop with the President, but something you may not realize despite all the power of this country we cannot prevent everything and anything from happening."

Governor Martinez responded promptly with, "Four dead Americans is hardly an exaggeration of the facts." From there the two candidates continued to trade jabs back-and-forth.

"Something you and the Republican Party have used for political gain." -- Hillary Clinton

"Madam Secretary, I am not criticizing you. You accept responsibility, and for that I applaud you, but the buck stops with the President of the United States, and while there was a slow response and reaction from the President, I am simply saying that if I am elected I am the one who be accountable, I will be the one who is responsible. I won't look to put the blame onto my staff or throw my secretary of state, but I will accept any blame. The buck stops with the President, just as it did with John F. Kennedy with the Bay of Pigs." -- Susana Martinez

"I was not thrown under the bus. I accepted responsibility. Governor." -- Hillary Clinton

"Again, I applaud you for that, but you weren't President in 2012, Barack Obama was. Presidents have to lead, that is all I am arguing here, and I think you would agree, considering your husband was President." -- Susana Martinez

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Post Debate

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 49%

Battleground Polls:

Ohio: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

Colorado: Tossup

Martinez: 49%

Clinton: 49%

New Hampshire: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

Florida: Tossup

Clinton: 48%

Martinez: 48%

Nevada: Tossup

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

Virginia: Tossup

Martinez: 49%

Clinton: 47%

Missouri: Lean Martinez

Martinez: 52%

Clinton: 47%

Michigan: Lean Clinton

Clinton: 51%

Martinez: 46%

West Virginia: Lean Martinez

Martinez: 50%

Clinton: 48%

Pennsylvania: Lean Clinton

Clinton: 51%

Martinez: 47%

North Carolina: Lean Martinez

Martinez: 52%

Clinton: 45%

Arkansas: Lean Clinton

Clinton: 51%

Martinez: 48%

Arizona: Lean Martinez

Martinez: 51%

Clinton: 46%

Iowa: Lean Clinton

Clinton: 52%

Martinez: 45%

New Mexico: Lean Martinez

Martinez: 52%

Clinton: 46%

Clinton: 254

Martinez: 205

Tossup: 79

[NHI]

THE FINAL STRETCH: DEMOCRATIC STAR POWER

Vice President Joe Biden hits the trail for the Clinton/Crist ticket, campaigning in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

President Obama campaigned in New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, and joined Clinton and Crist for a rally in Florida.

The Former President drew large crowds in New Hampshire where he joined President Obama, as well as in Colorado, Nevada and even New Mexico, the home state of Governor Martinez, where the former President chided, "You know her best, so vote with your head on Tuesday."

Hillary Clinton crisscrossed the country in the final days of the campaign, drawing larger crowds everywhere she went.

THE FINAL STRETCH: OUT OF THE WILDERNESS

The final leg of her campaign journey took her from Nevada, to Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, then back to Ohio, down to Florida, back to Virginia, and back to Colorado and then back to Florida.

Governor Huntsman hit the town hall circuit in New Hampshire, then off to Ohio and Virginia for a set of rally across the state. "I feel the energy everywhere we go. We will make history on Tuesday."

While the Republicans paled in comparison to the Clinton campaign by having a popular incumbent President campaign on their behalf, the campaign did make headlines and some praise with the decision to include President Bush as a speaker at the Republican Convention. In one of the closing rallies of the campaign in Orlando for a speech set to include only: Former Governor Jeb Bush, Governor Huntsman and Governor Martinez, the 43rd President of the United States joined his fellow Republicans on stage, drawing a thunderous applause. "Put the state of Florida in the Martinez/Huntsman column on Tuesday and make it the state that puts them in the White House."

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: 2 Days To Go

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 49%

[Enderman]

Good update!

[NHI]

Final Polls:

Politico/GW/Battleground: Tie
Clinton: 49%
Martinez: 49%

Rasmussen: Martinez
Martinez: 50%
Clinton: 48%

IBD/TIPP: Clinton
Clinton: 49%
Martinez: 48%

CNN/Opinion Research: Clinton
Clinton: 48%
Martinez: 47%

Gallup: Martinez
Martinez: 49%
Clinton: 47%

ABC News/Wash Post: Clinton
Clinton: 50%
Martinez: 48%

Monmouth/Survey USA/Braun: Tie
Martinez: 48%
Clinton: 48%

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl: Clinton
Clinton: 49%
Martinez: 48%

PEW Research: Tie
Martinez: 49%
Clinton: 49%

RCP Average:

Clinton: 48.6% +0.2

Martinez: 48.4%

The Electoral Map

Likely/Lean Clinton: 254

Likely/Lean Martinez: 205

Tossup: 79

NATE SILVER: ELECTORAL TIE

Clinton: 269

Martinez: 269

Intrade: CLINTON TO WIN

Clinton: 277

Martinez: 261

Larry Sabato: MARTINEZ, NARROWLY

Martinez: 274

Clinton: 264

Ross Douthat: NARROW CLINTON WIN

Clinton: 272

Martinez: 266

George Will: COMFORTABLE MARTINEZ WIN

Martinez: 280

Clinton: 254

Jim Cramer: CLINTON LANDSLIDE

Clinton: 387

Martinez: 151

Karl Rove: MARTINEZ, 300

Martinez: 300

Clinton: 238

"Four years I was fairly confident Obama was going to win, perhaps narrowly, but still win. he ended up winning by a lot. This time, I honestly don't know and I'm falling back onto Nate Silver's prediction, we may see a tied election." -- Joe Scarborough

[Niemeyerite]

Why do you never post PPP polls?

I hope Nate Silver is right

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Everyone would prob call Nate a hack if this was true lolol

[NHI]

Hillary Clinton finishes up the campaign with a rally in Cleveland, Ohio.

"Hillary Clinton is still campaigning like the underdog, despite some polls that should give the candidate confidence heading into tomorrow." -- Rachel Maddow

Governor Martinez crisscrossed the country on the final day of the campaign, hitting events in New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida, Nevada and Colorado.

FINAL PPP POLL: NARROW CLINTON LEAD

Clinton: 49%

Martinez: 48%

[badgate]

If this ends with a tie, Nate Silver will officially be a wizard.

[Blackacre]

If Nate Silver said it, it must be true!

[NHI]

DIXVILLE NOTCH VOTES: MARTINEZ BY ONE

Martinez: 6

Clinton: 5

HART LOCATION RESULTS: CLINTON BY FIVE

Clinton: 18

Martinez: 13

New Hampshire Results: <1%

Clinton: 24 (57.14%)

Martinez: 18 (42.85%)

[CT27]

Gubernatorial Elections: 2016

High profiled Gubernatorial Elections: New Hampshire (Inc. Hassan), Montana (Inc. Bullock), North Carolina (Inc. McCroy), West Virginia (Inc. Tomblin), Missouri (O.R.)

Challengers:

New Hampshire: Bill Binnie

Montana: Cory Stapleton

North Carolina: Anthony Foxx

West Virginia: Mark Sorsaia

Missouri: Bill Randles v. Robin Carnahan

Polls:

New Hampshire: (Tossup) H: 49% B: 47%

Montana: (Lean D) B: 51% S: 46%

North Carolina: (Lean R) M: 49% F: 46%

West Virginia: (Lean D) T: 50% S: 46%

Missouri: (Tossup) C: 48% R: 48%

Since we're talking about 2016 gubernatorial matchups, how is Washington's 2016 gubernatorial looking?

A lot of people here think it will be a rematch between Jay Inslee and Rob McKenna.

[NHI]

Gubernatorial Elections: 2016

High profiled Gubernatorial Elections: New Hampshire (Inc. Hassan), Montana (Inc. Bullock), North Carolina (Inc. McCroy), West Virginia (Inc. Tomblin), Missouri (O.R.)

Challengers:

New Hampshire: Bill Binnie

Montana: Cory Stapleton

North Carolina: Anthony Foxx

West Virginia: Mark Sorsaia

Missouri: Bill Randles v. Robin Carnahan

Polls:

New Hampshire: (Tossup) H: 49% B: 47%

Montana: (Lean D) B: 51% S: 46%

North Carolina: (Lean R) M: 49% F: 46%

West Virginia: (Lean D) T: 50% S: 46%

Missouri: (Tossup) C: 48% R: 48%

Since we're talking about 2016 gubernatorial matchups, how is Washington's 2016 gubernatorial looking?

A lot of people here think it will be a rematch between Jay Inslee and Rob McKenna.

Washington: Gubernatorial (Lean Democrat)

Inslee: 50%

McKenna: 49%

[NHI]

ELECTION DAY

"It is Election Day America, and all across this country people are making their ways their polls to cast their vote. Turnout is expected to exceed what we saw in the last two election, given the excitement and passion on both sides. No doubt the historic nature of this election is driving people to the polls who otherwise might have stayed home. Come this time tomorrow (hopefully) America will have a new President-elect and for the first time in two-hundred and forty years America will have elected a woman President of the United States. Whether you are for Hillary Clinton or for Susana Martinez we must offer props to these two candidates, both trailblazer, both cracking the glass ceiling for the present and for future generations of Americans. Little girls born and yet to be born can look up with great pride in knowing that in America anything is possible, progress happens." -- Rachel Maddow

BREAKING NEWS: HILLARY CLINTON CASTS VOTE FOR PRESIDENT

Outside the voting booth, waiting on her husband Hillary Clinton sounded a cautious tone. "We'll find out tonight." When whom he voted for President Bill Clinton winked and smiled. "Guess."

[Enderman]

This is about to get awesome.

[badgate]

Aha! I suspected today was election day when you posted Dixville right after midnight! Can't wait

[NHI]

Hillary Clinton: 0

Susana Martinez:0

"At seven o'clock eastern, we have poll closings in Indiana, Virginia, Kentucky, South Carolina, and Vermont. In the critical battleground state of Virginia NBC news is projecting that Virginia is too close to call." -- Rachel Meadow

Virginia: <1% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez:

Hillary Clinton:

"In the great of Indiana we are projecting that Governor Susana Martinez is the winner there and all eleven of the states electoral votes." -- Rachel Maddow

Indiana: <1%

Susana Martinez:

Hillary Clinton

"In the Democratic stronghold of Vermont, NBC news is projecting that Hillary Clinton is the winner of that state." -- Rachel Maddow

Vermont: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

"In the state of Kentucky, we are projecting that the winner will be Susana Martinez. Four years ago Mitt Romney won the state with over sixty percent of the vote." -- Rachel Maddow

Kentucky: <1%

Susana Martinez:

Hillary Clinton:

"In the state of Georgia we are projecting that it is too early to call a winner yet. The state is expected to go for Susana Martinez, but we are simply holding off yet because we don't have enough information to make a call." -- Rachel Maddow

Georgia: <1% (Too Early to Call)

Susana Martinez:

Hillary Clinton:

"We are now ready to call the state of South Carolina for a winner. NBC news projecting that Susana Martinez is the winner in the state of South Carolina." -- Rachel Maddow

South Carolina: 1%

Susana Martinez: 59%

Hillary Clinton: 39%

270 To Win:

Susana Martinez: 28

Hillary Clinton: 3

"At this point in the evening here is the electoral map. Hillary Clinton with three electoral votes and Susana Martinez with twenty-eight electoral votes. This is a small fraction of the electoral total this evening, it will fill in more as the votes come in and we move closer towards the magic number of 270 electoral votes needed to win the election." -- Rachel Maddow

7:30

"It is now seven thirty on the east coast and the polls have in the states of North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia and NBC is not ready to project a winner in all three of the states. In the crucial battleground states of Ohio and West Virginia the race is too close to call, but in the state of North Carolina we are projecting that it is too early to call.

Looking back to the state of Virginia we are not able to project a winner at this time, the race is too close between Hillary Clinton and Susana Martinez."-- Rachel Maddow

Virginia: 15% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 49%

Hillary Clinton: 48%

"NBC News is now ready to project that Susana Martinez is the winner in the state of Georgia." -- Rachel Maddow

Georgia: 19%

Susana Martinez: 53%

Hillary Clinton: 45%

Susana Martinez: 44

Hillary Clinton: 3

"Governor Martinez is continuing to build her lead in the electoral college, but the votes are still coming in and many states are left undecided at this time." -- Rachel Maddow

West Virginia: 5% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 50%

Hillary Clinton: 48%

North Carolina: 7% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 52%

Hillary Clinton: 46%

"In West Virginia and North Carolina we are watching too hotly contested gubernatorial elections. Both races are too close to call at this time." -- Rachel Maddow

West Virginia: (Too Close to Call)

Tomblin: 50%

Mark Sorsaia: 49%

North Carolina: (Too Close to Call)

McCrory: 51%

Foxx: 48%

More of Election Night 2016 To Come...Stay Tuned.

[Blackacre]

The suspense! This is awesome!

[Enderman]

^my reaction

[NHI]

"In a little under ten seconds the polls will close in the next set of states including the battleground states of Florida, New Hampshire and, at this time NBC news is projecting winners in the following states: Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maryland, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, New Jersey and the District of Columbia all are going for Hillary Clinton." -- Rachel Maddow

Connecticut: <1%

Hillary Clinton

Susana Martinez

Massachusetts: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

Maryland: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

Delaware: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

Maine: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

New Jersey: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

Illinois: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

District of Columbia: <1%

Hillary Clinton:

Susana Martinez:

"NBC News is now projecting Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma and Tennessee for Susana Martinez. The electoral vote total is seventy-seven for Martinez and seventy-five for Clinton." -- Rachel Maddow

270 To Win:

Susana Martinez: 77

Hillary Clinton: 75

"Joining the list of undecided states, NBC is calling Missouri too early to make a projection, Florida is too close to call, New Hampshire is too close to call and Pennsylvania is too close to call." -- Rachel Maddow

New Hampshire: 4% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 50.0%

Martinez: 48.9%

Pennsylvania: <1% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 51%

Susana Martinez: 48%

Florida: <1% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.5%

Susana Martinez: 49.1%

Missouri: <1% (Too Early to Call)

Susana Martinez:

Hillary Clinton

North Carolina: 21% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 50.9%

Hillary Clinton: 47.7%

Ohio: 28% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.7%

Susana Martinez: 49.0%

Virginia: 31% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 50.5%

Hillary Clinton: 48.5%

West Virginia: 40% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 49.9%

Hillary Clinton: 48.8%

[NHI]

"The polls have closed in the state of Arkansas a little over ten minutes ago and we are unable to project a winner yet, but Hillary Clinton is holding a narrow lead over Susana Martinez." -- Rachel Maddow

Arkansas: 3% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.8%

Martinez: 48.2%

"We now to turn to MSNBC Contributor and Former Republican Strategist for the McCain Campaign, Steve Schmidt. Steve, as you look at the map tonight how is this election night playing out? Like we we anticipated?" -- Rachel Maddow

"I think the night is going as we all expected. The battlegrounds remain close. I am surprise that New Hampshire and West Virginia are as close as they are. I expected Clinton to easily take New Hampshire and the same for Martinez with West Virginia, but the night is anybody's at this point. No one has the advantage." -- Steve Schmidt

"Hold on Steve, NBC News is now projecting that Susana Martinez is the winner in Missouri. Missouri goes for Governor Martinez." -- Rachel Maddow

Missouri: 22%

Susana Martinez: 51.0%

Hillary Clinton: 47.2%

"The electoral map nows shifts to a small Martinez lead. All eyes still remain on the battleground states. With roughly thirty-five percent of the vote counted in Ohio, the race remains too close to call. Governor Martinez continues to hold onto her lead in Virginia, almost two hours after the polls have closed." -- Rachel Maddow

Florida: 19% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.3%

Susana Martinez: 49.2%

Pennsylvania: 22% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 51%

Susana Martinez: 47%

Virginia: 49% (Too Close to Call)

Susana Martinez: 51.0%

Hillary Clinton: 48.2%

Ohio: 41% (Too Close Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.3%

Susana Martinez: 49.2%

New Hampshire: 16% (Too Close to Call)

Hillary Clinton: 49.7%

Susana Martinez: 49.2%

"NBC News is now ready to project that Hillary Clinton is the winner in the state of Arkansas, the once home state of Former President Bill Clinton, where he served as Governor for twelve years. The Former First Lady of the State wins it tonight." -- Rachel Maddow

Arkansas: 10%

Hillary Clinton: 50.0%

Susana Martinez: 48.1%

270 To Win:

Susana Martinez: 87

Hillary Clinton: 81

"There is the electoral map at this hour, with five minutes to go before the polls close at nine. Governor Martinez holds onto a narrow electoral college lead, but all the significant battleground states have yet to fall..."-- Rachel Maddow

[NHI]

BREAKING NEWS: FIRST LADY OBAMA DEFEATS SEN. KIRK

"Historic news to project at this moment. In the Illinois Senate Race between Incumbent Senator Mark Kirk and First Lady Michelle Obama, NBC News is projecting that Michelle Obama becomes the Second First Lady to become a United States Senator. She reclaims her husband's old senate seat in a decisive defeat of the incumbent senator." -- Rachel Maddow

Illinois: Senate

Michelle Obama: 56%

Mark Kirk: 43%

BREAKING NEWS: MARCO RUBIO REELECTED

"As we await the next round of closings NBC News is projecting another Senate Race. We project that Senator Marco Rubio has won reelection, he defeats challenger Alex Sink.

Florida: Senate

Marco Rubio: 52%

Alex Sink: 46%

"In Kentucky, Senator Rand Paul wins a second term to the United States Senate, defeating Daniel Mongiardo. In the state of Connecticut, Senator Blumenthal is reelected to a second term in the United States." -- Rachel Maddow

Kentucky: Senate

Rand Paul: 60%

Daniel Mongiardo: 38%

Connecticut: Senate

Richard Blumenthal: 57%

Kevin O'Connor: 42%

"There are some races that remain too close to call at this time. The Senate Race in Arkansas between incumbent Senator Boozman and challenger Dustin McDaniel. In New Hampshire there is a rematch from six years ago between Former Congressman Paul Hodes and incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte." -- Rachel Maddow

Arkansas: Senate

John Boozman: 51%

Dustin McDaniel: 48%

New Hampshire: Senate

Paul Hodes: 50%

Kelly Ayotte: 49%

"Turning to the Gubernatorial Election, NBC News is projecting that Governor Earl Tomblin defeats challenger Mark Sorsaia in West Virginia. In New Hampshire Governor Maggie Hassan is elected to a third two year term, defeating businessman Bill Binnie in one of the most costly gubernatorial elections this year." -- Rachel Maddow

West Virginia: Gubernatorial

Earl Tomblin: 52%

Mark Sorsaia: 47%

New Hampshire: Gubernatorial

Maggie Hassan: 48.8%

Bill Binnie: 43.7%

Other: 6.4%

"In Missouri an open race for retiring Governor Jay Nixon, NBC News cannot project a winner. The race is too close to call. The same in North Carolina. Charlotte Mayor Anthony Foxx currently leads incumbent Governor McCroy, but NBC cannot project a winner yet." -- Rachel Maddow

Missouri: Too Close to Call

Robin Carnahan: 50.4%

Bill Randles: 48.5%

North Carolina: Too Close to Call

Anthony Foxx: 50.1%

Pat McCroy: 49.0%

"NBC News is ready to project that Senator Boozman wins reelection in Arkansas."

Arkansas: Senate

John Boozman: 52%

Dustin McDaniel: 47%

______________________________________________
Expect the Conclusion to Election Night 2016 tomorrow.
Best Regards,
NHI

[CountryRoads]

This. Is. Such. An. Awesome. TIMELINE!

Great job so far! Go Martinez-Huntsman! Sucks that Tomblin won though.