2013 Elections in Germany
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Author Topic: 2013 Elections in Germany  (Read 274250 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #1500 on: September 22, 2013, 02:25:01 PM »

Oh! An Eastern result!

Turnout 67.5 (+1.3)*, CDU 39.0 (+8.4), Left 23.0 (-5.6), SPD 17.5 (+0.4), AfD 6.0, Greens 5.3 (-1.7), FDP 2.9 (-9.9), Pirates 2.5', NPD 2.3 (-0.4)


*yeah, these phantom turnout increases have been the best laugh of the day.
'Saxony was the one state the Pirates did not run in in 2009.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1501 on: September 22, 2013, 02:26:58 PM »

CDU hold Siegen-Wittgenstein, SPD hold Bottrop-Recklinghausen III
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1502 on: September 22, 2013, 02:28:19 PM »

And an SPD hold that wasn't a given - Kaiserslautern, 38.5 to 37.2. CDU ahead on the list vote.

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1503 on: September 22, 2013, 02:29:06 PM »

Oh! An Eastern result!

Turnout 67.5 (+1.3)*, CDU 39.0 (+8.4), Left 23.0 (-5.6), SPD 17.5 (+0.4), AfD 6.0, Greens 5.3 (-1.7), FDP 2.9 (-9.9), Pirates 2.5', NPD 2.3 (-0.4)


*yeah, these phantom turnout increases have been the best laugh of the day.
'Saxony was the one state the Pirates did not run in in 2009.

And another one: CDU hold Sonneberg - Saalfeld-Rudolstadt - Saale-Orla-Kreis

A constituency name that positively rolls off the tongue.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1504 on: September 22, 2013, 02:29:57 PM »

Wesel I, a supernarrow CDU gain of 2009, held by about four points.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1505 on: September 22, 2013, 02:31:04 PM »

Two rural Thuringian seats now in. Both show slight losses for the SPD.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1506 on: September 22, 2013, 02:39:38 PM »

(sun sets in East, rises in West, etc)

Are you sure about that?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1507 on: September 22, 2013, 02:40:31 PM »

In East Frisia it does.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1508 on: September 22, 2013, 02:41:26 PM »

AfD well below five in Bavaria, NRW, Lower Saxony. Doing best in the East, obviously, also better in BaWü, Hesse and RhP - the former FDP heartland.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1509 on: September 22, 2013, 02:41:48 PM »


Quite so. I'm from Shropshire and understand these things.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1510 on: September 22, 2013, 02:42:58 PM »

They already have suns in Shropshire? News to me.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1511 on: September 22, 2013, 02:44:01 PM »

At Harvest time, we do.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1512 on: September 22, 2013, 02:45:40 PM »

Sigmar Gabriel retains his direct seat of Salzgitter-Wolfenbüttel.
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Franknburger
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« Reply #1513 on: September 22, 2013, 02:47:54 PM »

New ARD projection (50 constituencies in)

CDU    41.7
SPD    25.6
Linke    8.6
Grüne   8.4
FDP      4.7
AfD      4.8

CDU/CSU now 5 seats short of majority.

As in all recent elections, initial projections again tended to underestimate smaller parties (note the gradual increase of the Greens, and the CDU/CSU decline). I don't think we will see a CDU/CSU seat majority, but the FDP coming in again is not yet completely off.

AfD apparently performing much better in the East (>6%) than in the West, but also got 6% in blue-collar Hamburg-Harburg-Bergedorf.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1514 on: September 22, 2013, 02:49:02 PM »

SPD gain Oldenburg-Ammerland
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jaichind
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« Reply #1515 on: September 22, 2013, 02:49:21 PM »

ZDF

CDU/CSU 42.1
SPD+Green+Linke 42.5

now CDU/CSU behind 302 seats vs 304 seats

FDP 4.6
AfD  4.9

Interesting AfD at 4.9 all night.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1516 on: September 22, 2013, 02:49:52 PM »

Two Hessian districts (not constituencies) now fully in for Bundestag.

Hersfeld-Rotenburg turnout 72.7 (-0.7) CDU 37.5 (+5.9), SPD 36.4 (+2.3), Greens 6.3 (-1.1), AfD 5.5, Left 5.4 (-3.5), FDP 3.9 (-9.5). Yes, that's a CDU "gain".
Waldeck-Frankenberg turnout 71.0 (-0.2) CDU 40.5 (+7.3) SPD 31.8 (+2.7), Greens 7.8 (-1.5), FDP 5.9 (-10.6) Left 5.1 (-2.9) AfD 4.9
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1517 on: September 22, 2013, 02:51:32 PM »

CDU    36,8    +1,2     35,2    +7,1
SPD    37,4    +6,1    32,6    +5,5

Direct on left, list on right. Hilarious.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1518 on: September 22, 2013, 02:56:28 PM »


Ah, of course.
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Hifly
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« Reply #1519 on: September 22, 2013, 02:58:21 PM »

CDU gain Hanover-Land I
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1520 on: September 22, 2013, 03:00:50 PM »

CDU gain one of the Hanover Suburban seats, but more importantly all the Saarland comes in all at one time. So, a state result.

Turnout 72.5 (-1.3)
CDU 37.8 (+7.1), SPD 31.0 (+6.3), Left 10.0 (-11.2), Greens 5.7 (-1.1), AfD 5.2, FDP 3.8 (-8.0). Wow.
CDU holds all four direct seats (Saarbrücken by less than a percentage point).

So, under the new electoral law, the phantom distribution of the state's seven notional seats is CDU 3, SPD 3, Left 1. So we already have our first overhang seat.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1521 on: September 22, 2013, 03:07:13 PM »

Left loses one of its random rural seats, to the CDU of course. Suhl - Schmalkalden-Meiningen - Hildburghausen.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1522 on: September 22, 2013, 03:08:39 PM »

Also, SPD hold Werra-Meißner-Hersfeld (half of which I'd already introduced as a CDU 'gain').
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #1523 on: September 22, 2013, 03:09:59 PM »

Left loses one of its random rural seats, to the CDU of course. Suhl - Schmalkalden-Meiningen - Hildburghausen.

Altmark, too.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1524 on: September 22, 2013, 03:10:04 PM »

CDU gains "Waldeck" (-Hofgeismar-Wolfhagen) by 0.2 points. Urgh.
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