Presidential Ratings and Predictions - California

[ElectionsGuy]

Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

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Ratings

Safe Clinton: 0
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 0
Toss-Up: 0
Lean Trump: 11
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 15

Trump: 29
Clinton: 0
Toss-Up: 0

Predictions

Trump: 29
Clinton: 0

California: Safe D, 61-35 Clinton.

[President Johnson]

Save Hilldog. Likely she will outperform Obama's margins in the golden state (62-36% or so).

[Thomas D]

Safe Clinton

Clinton  56
Trump  36
Johnson 6
Stein 2

[Soonerdem]

Hillary could die a few days before Election Day and still win California. Safe D.

[Mehmentum]

Oh god, Trump is winning every state so far!  Bad news.

[Devout Centrist]

Safe Clinton, probably by a historic margin. 62-34 if Johnson fades.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Safe D, Clibton 62-33-5

[Skye]

Who voted Safe R? Jeez.

[Xing]

Obviously Hillary will have no difficulty winning CA. I think she might even win white voters this time around, and she'll crush Trump among Latinos, of course.

Safe D, Hillary wins 63-35.

[Holmes]

Clinton, by a 30% or so margin of victory. She'll win Orange county. Kern county will be the final Republican holdout in SoCal.

[Sir Mohamed]

Fortunately, my home state is a Democratic stronghold. Save Clinton.

[dspNY]

Clinton, by a 30% or so margin of victory. She'll win Orange county. Kern county will be the final Republican holdout in SoCal.

That would be something, the OC in California hasn't gone Democratic since FDR in '36. This is the same OC with Rick Warren's church

[HAnnA MArin County]

Clinton, by a 30% or so margin of victory. She'll win Orange county. Kern county will be the final Republican holdout in SoCal.

I would love to see that, but still think Orange County is a tossup/tilts R county. For her to do this, she's going to have to match or exceed Obama in the Democratic strongholds (Santa Ana, primarily) and keep the Vietnamese (Garden Grove, Westminster) in the Democratic column, as Obama was able to turn both of these cities blue/Atlas red in 2012. Having said that, she's probably going to do better with the whites there, as she was able to carry the county both times in the primaries. The OC is going to flip, soon, whether it's this time remains to be seen.

As for the state as a whole, obviously Safe D.
Clinton 62
Trump 35
Others 3

LOL at the two trolls who voted safe R.

[Sir Mohamed]

Clinton, by a 30% or so margin of victory. She'll win Orange county. Kern county will be the final Republican holdout in SoCal.

I would love to see that, but still think Orange County is a tossup/tilts R county. For her to do this, she's going to have to match or exceed Obama in the Democratic strongholds (Santa Ana, primarily) and keep the Vietnamese (Garden Grove, Westminster) in the Democratic column, as Obama was able to turn both of these cities blue/Atlas red in 2012. Having said that, she's probably going to do better with the whites there, as she was able to carry the county both times in the primaries. The OC is going to flip, soon, whether it's this time remains to be seen.

As for the state as a whole, obviously Safe D.
Clinton 62
Trump 35
Others 3

LOL at the two trolls who voted safe R.

Likely the Trumpster himself and his oldest son.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Safe D. 62-36-2

[Gass3268]

Safe Clinton

63-34-3

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Johnson fades:

Clinton 60
Trump 35
Johnson 3
Other 2

If he doesn't:

Clinton 56
Trump 31
Johnson 11
Other 2

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

63-34-3 Clinton

Southern California is gonna overperform. Predicting Orange County to go blue, Riverside County to stay blue for three in a row, LA finally going <70% blue, and Hillary to get around 53% in the IE

[dspNY]

62-35-2 Clinton

Southern California is gonna overperform. Predicting Orange County to go blue, Riverside County to stay blue for three in a row, LA finally going <70% blue, and Hillary to get around 53% in the IE

I can see LA County going 70% blue, Riverside going blue but Hillary would probably need a double digit national landslide to get the OC to flip. It's still too Republican

[evergreenarbor]

Safe D.

Clinton 56
Trump 34
Johnson 7
Other 3

[ElectionsGuy]

Who voted Safe R? Jeez.

Probably the same people who voted Safe D for the last four states.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Safe D (would have said Likely D before the most recent poll)

Previous ones:

Alabama- Safe R
Alaska- Safe R
Arizona- Likely R
Arkansas- Safe R

[Gass3268]

Safe D (would have said Likely D before the most recent poll)

Previous ones:

Alabama- Safe R
Alaska- Safe R
Arizona- Likely R
Arkansas- Safe R

Lol

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Safe Clinton. Aside from Hawaii, probably the safest state for Clinton in this election.

Clinton 60
Trump 36.5
Other 3.5

I'd say safer than HI. Remember that Hawaii was only Kerry +10. There was a lot of love for Obama both times.

[IceSpear]

Safe Clinton. Aside from Hawaii, probably the safest state for Clinton in this election.

Clinton 60
Trump 36.5
Other 3.5

I'd say safer than HI. Remember that Hawaii was only Kerry +10. There was a lot of love for Obama both times.

Another reason is that in Hawaii you'd only have to convince like 100,000 people. In California you'd need to convince 2,000,000 people in extremely expensive and diverse media markets.

Safe D, obviously (not RCP)