SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker thread

[Alcon]

Huh, these are actually realistic numbers (RIP battleground Texas, he's going to win this state by double digits people)

That's not what the early vote suggests.

Do you mean the Texas early vote? Are you assuming because turnout is up that it means a hooray for Clinton vote? I've seen the early voting lines in Tarrant County, let's just say you're probably wrong on that one. But I guess we'll see on November 8th.

There are actual early voting numbers (see this thread) that are better to rely on than anecdotes.  Tarrant has the second-smallest increase in early voting over 2012 among populated Texas counties, behind Fort Bend.  Top increases are Travis, El Paso, Williamson, and Cameron.  I'm a big proponent for not overstating the early vote in states where it isn't dominant, but the patterns do look pretty good for the Ds.  I doubt Texas-winning good, but good.