Final prediction: Which state/district will be the closest?
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  Final prediction: Which state/district will be the closest?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Arizona		  
#2
Colorado		  
#3
Florida		  
#4
Georgia		  
#5
Iowa		  
#6
ME-02		  
#7
Michigan		  
#8
NE-02		  
#9
Nevada		  
#10
New Hampshire		  
#11
North Carolina		  
#12
Ohio		  
#13
Pennsylvania		  
#14
Virginia		  
#15
Wisconsin		  
#16
Other (please specify)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 52

Author Topic: Final prediction: Which state/district will be the closest?  (Read 726 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: November 06, 2016, 11:09:24 PM »
I'm torn between Ohio and NE-02, and I'll make a final decision tomorrow.
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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 11:10:39 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2016, 11:12:41 PM by Lok1999 »
Probably Ohio, followed by Arizona.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 11:13:27 PM »
Hopefully Arizona
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 11:26:14 PM »
Florida
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Buzz
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 11:27:29 PM »
North Carolina
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Mallow
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 11:27:54 PM »
OH, AZ, and ME-02
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 12:29:35 AM »
I picked Colorado, but my gut tells me New Hampshire.
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 12:31:45 AM »
Torn between Florida and North Carolina, but picked Florida.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 12:48:39 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2016, 02:18:38 AM by Ronnie »
1) Ohio (Clinton)
2) Arizona (Trump)
3) North Carolina (Clinton)
4) NE-02 (Clinton)
5) ME-02 (Clinton)

I see all those states/districts being decided within 1.5 or so percent.
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Mallow
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 12:58:59 AM »
Aren't IA and NE-02 closely related? Why would IA be lean Trump and NE-02 be a tossup?
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 02:12:32 AM »
Ohio.  It is the one state where I have no confidence in my prediction either way.
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pikachu
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 02:33:49 AM »
Arizona.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 02:34:46 AM »
Quote from: Ogre Mage on November 07, 2016, 02:12:32 AM
Ohio.  It is the one state where I have no confidence in my prediction either way.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 03:13:00 AM »
1. Arizona
2. Ohio
3. North Carolina
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peterthlee
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 03:24:47 AM »
Bold prediction: Missouri (Trump +0.5)
You can say this is insane, but when it turns out...
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #15 on: November 12, 2016, 12:54:48 AM »
Quote from: EpicHistory on November 07, 2016, 12:29:35 AM
I picked Colorado, but my gut tells me New Hampshire.

If only I had switched my vote, I would've been right.....


The irony is so intense here.....

Quote from: peterthlee on November 07, 2016, 03:24:47 AM
Bold prediction: Missouri (Trump +0.5)
You can say this is insane, but when it turns out...

Again, intense irony here in that it was more Republican than Mississippi.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: November 12, 2016, 01:02:00 AM »
Wasn't it MI and not NH?
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #17 on: November 12, 2016, 01:13:44 AM »

NH was only 3,000 votes difference, Michigan was 12,000.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #18 on: November 12, 2016, 01:23:51 AM »
« Edited: November 12, 2016, 02:10:46 AM by peterthlee »
Quote from: peterthlee on November 07, 2016, 03:24:47 AM
Bold prediction: Missouri (Trump +0.5)
You can say this is insane, but when it turns out...

EpicHistory: Again, intense irony here in that it was more Republican than Mississippi.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
That's what I have said in previous threads, my predictions have been hammered heavily in this election cycle.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: November 12, 2016, 01:23:53 AM »
I was one of the two peoeple who voted for MI (closest state in % terms).

Smiley
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #20 on: November 12, 2016, 01:48:56 AM »
Quote from: peterthlee on November 12, 2016, 01:23:51 AM
That's what I have said in previous threads, my predictions have been hammered heavily in this election cycle.

In your defense dude, you're not the only one. I guessed Trump would only win by 5% in Ohio, he nearly doubled that margin (One of the few times I've been THRILLED to be wrong).

Quote from: Tender Branson on November 12, 2016, 01:23:53 AM
I was one of the two peoeple who voted for MI (closest state in % terms).

Smiley





The Reds on here could stand to learn a thing or two from you.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #21 on: November 12, 2016, 01:54:37 AM »
Quote from: EpicHistory on November 12, 2016, 01:48:56 AM
Quote from: peterthlee on November 12, 2016, 01:23:51 AM
That's what I have said in previous threads, my predictions have been hammered heavily in this election cycle.

In your defense dude, you're not the only one. I guessed Trump would only win by 5% in Ohio, he nearly doubled that margin (One of the few times I've been THRILLED to be wrong).

Quote from: Tender Branson on November 12, 2016, 01:23:53 AM
I was one of the two peoeple who voted for MI (closest state in % terms).

Smiley





The Reds on here could stand to learn a thing or two from you.

Coming out of a blue-collar middle class family, I knew my folk.

I knew that the working class in America would vote roughly as the they did here in Austria and that they'd show the middle-finger to Hillary. But even I was stunned at the magnitude of her rejection in the rust belt ...
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #22 on: November 12, 2016, 01:59:55 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 12, 2016, 01:54:37 AM
Coming out of a blue-collar middle class family, I knew my folk.

I knew that the working class in America would vote roughly as the they did here in Austria and that they'd show the middle-finger to Hillary. But even I was stunned at the magnitude of her rejection in the rust belt ...

About the same for me, just a different region. That West Virginia thread, where people were convinced she'd break 40% in the state made me laugh uncontrollably when I read it.

An offtopic question for you, but given you were one of the few with a pulse on the electorate, do you think this was a realignment or a renewal of the 6th Party system (Given Reagan achieved basically the same things Trump has).
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