The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[BlueSwan]

Richard Nixon's lowest all-time Gallup approval rating was 24% in the summer of 1974, shortly before his resignation. George W. Bush had a similar all-time low in 2008.

But Nixon and Bush were amazing presidents compared to Trump. Different leagues really. Trump is by far the most deplorable leader of a western democratic country post WWII. It's not close.

Why?

Because that statement is wrong. Trump is actually the worst leader of a Western democratic country since the start of Reconstruction.

I intentially chose post WWII because some people would argue that Adolf Hitler was initially the leader of a western democratic country. Donald Trump may be a lot of things, but he's no Adolf Hitler.

[Tintrlvr]

Richard Nixon's lowest all-time Gallup approval rating was 24% in the summer of 1974, shortly before his resignation. George W. Bush had a similar all-time low in 2008.

But Nixon and Bush were amazing presidents compared to Trump. Different leagues really. Trump is by far the most deplorable leader of a western democratic country post WWII. It's not close.

Why?

Because that statement is wrong. Trump is actually the worst leader of a Western democratic country since the start of Reconstruction.

I intentially chose post WWII because some people would argue that Adolf Hitler was initially the leader of a western democratic country. Donald Trump may be a lot of things, but he's no Adolf Hitler.

Maybe Silvio Berlusconi? Less incompetent (and around for longer) and therefore more damaging?

[Virginiá]

Gallup (May 16th)

Approve 38% (-/-)
Disapprove 57% (-/-)

-

Surprised this wasn't posted yet here. Anyway, no change for 3 days in a row so far.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Ipsos, May 11-15 compared to May 6-10

All Adults:
40 (-1)
55 (+2)

LV:
43 (-2)
53 (+2)

[Mr. Morden]

Economist/Yougov national poll, conducted May 13-16:

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/fnsar5oaj4/econToplines.pdf

Trump job approval:
approve 39%
disapprove 51%

generic congressional ballot:
Dems 40%
GOP 33%

[Mr. Morden]

Politico/Morning Consult

42% Approve
50% Disapprove

Source

These are the worst numbers Trump has had in what has typically been his best poll. Also this poll is only post Comey firing, as it was taken before the events of Monday and Tuesday.

crosstabs:

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: -6
Northeast: -14
South: +/-0
West: -20

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +2
blacks: -62
Hispanics: -16

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -8
$50-100k: -2
over $100k: -15

11% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  10% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

[Gass3268]

I might have misread it, but I think Quinnipiac is coming out with another national poll today.

[pbrower2a]

Politico/Morning Consult

42% Approve
50% Disapprove

Source

These are the worst numbers Trump has had in what has typically been his best poll. Also this poll is only post Comey firing, as it was taken before the events of Monday and Tuesday.

crosstabs:

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: -6
Northeast: -14
South: +/-0
West: -20

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +2
blacks: -62
Hispanics: -16

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -8
$50-100k: -2
over $100k: -15

11% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  10% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

Anything that was within 10% from Hillary Clinton would go for her at this level of non-support for Donald Trump... even

TEXAS

[Gass3268]

Brutal numbers for Trump in Utah:

17% Strongly Approve
28% Somewhat Approve
13% Somewhat Disapprove
41% Strongly Disapprove

45% Total Approve
55% Total Disapprove

Dan Jones & Associates

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL at Politico. Their numbers are a total scam – aren’t they? The Gallup poll looks more real, though Trump’s support is still shockingly high. ~ 40%? Come on. We have a dude in the Oval, who is living in his own world, with no competence and an inferiority complex. But no doubt, the current numbers are an indicator how polarized and partisan we have become. There are tons of voters who support their president no matter what. Obviously there is almost no reason to approve Trump’s job performance, even if you’re a staunch conservative. He’s unprepared, has virtually no clue about political issues – foreign and domestic, incapable to run an administration, has no tact and literally hates the media for being critical on his serious shortcomings. Not to mention the whole Russiagate issue and Flynn.

[Gass3268]

More on that Utah poll:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But I thought 18-24's were much more conservative???

[Holmes]

That's a big discrepancy between 18-34 years old and 35-44 year olds.

[Tintrlvr]

That's a big discrepancy between 18-34 years old and 35-44 year olds.

I think it's not that shocking; there's a huge gap between middle-age Mormons, who are pretty uniformly conservative, and young Mormons, many of whom are liberal and will ultimately leave the church and Utah. By 35, basically everyone who is still Mormon is going to stay Mormon for the rest of their lives.

[pbrower2a]

Two states, near neighbors in the alphabet, that is:

Brutal numbers for Trump in Utah:

17% Strongly Approve
28% Somewhat Approve
13% Somewhat Disapprove
41% Strongly Disapprove

45% Total Approve
55% Total Disapprove

Dan Jones & Associates

WaPo-GMU poll of registered voters in Virginia:

36% Approve
60% Disapprove

Donald Trump has been an incredibly-poor match for Virginia... mid-30s? He's going to make Goldwater's results in Virginia in 1964 look good by contrast.

Can you imagine an incumbent Republican President being vulnerable in Utah? Well, Trump is hardly an example of Mormon values. Mormons take family values and, clean government seriously. 

Virginia may be going strong D fast even without Trump, but not that fast.
 
Favorability:

*approval poll from mid-March supplanted by a poll the next week by the same pollster. Shown as a data point that I wish I had gotten at an opportune time.   


Still useful for some states -- but not likely for any states from hereon added to the map. Favorability is 'hope'; approval is 'achievement'. President Trump has quickly developed a clear record of achievements and failures. 


Approval:

Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40% 
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation   

[Virginiá]

Gallup (May 17th)

Approve 38% (-/-)
Disapprove 56% (-1)

[Mr. Morden]

Locking thread.  Here's a link to the new thread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=264554.0