Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Florida
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  Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Florida
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate Florida and (2) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Bill Nelson (D)*
 
#9
Rick Scott (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 89

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Florida  (Read 1055 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 05, 2018, 06:19:34 AM »

Previous threads that you can still vote in: Arizona California Connecticut Delaware

Toss-Up, 51-48 Nelson.

Ratings



No Election: 23
Safe D: 3
Likely D:
Lean D: 1
Toss-Up:
Lean R:
Likely R:
Safe R:
No Election: 42

Predictions



Democrats: 27
Republicans: 42

Pickups

Arizona (D+1)

Net: D+1
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2018, 09:09:47 AM »

Tossup/Nelson 50-49
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DaWN
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2018, 09:14:33 AM »

Tossup, Nelson by around 2 points. I would not be surprised if Nelson began to run away with it or if Scott closed the small gap Nelson has seemed to open up though.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2018, 09:37:58 AM »

Somewhere between Toss-Up and Lean D. I’ll go with Toss-Up for now, but I suspect I’ll be moving this to Lean D before the election, though. Nelson wins 50-48 would be my guess.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2018, 09:54:17 AM »

This could definitely still trend away from Scott (if it hasn’t already), but I’ll go with Toss-Up for now. If I had to guess, Nelson wins 50-48, but ask me again in two or three weeks.
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2018, 12:32:26 PM »

This could definitely still trend away from Scott (if it hasn’t already), but I’ll go with Toss-Up for now. If I had to guess, Nelson wins 50-48, but ask me again in two or three weeks.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2018, 04:54:29 PM »

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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2018, 06:24:58 PM »

Lean D
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ajc0918
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2018, 06:46:19 PM »

Lean D, Nelson 52-48 (sane)
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2018, 07:10:37 PM »

Toss up, Nelson.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2018, 08:41:55 PM »

I'm still going to consider this a tossup even though I am comforted to see that Nelson might just pull off a win.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2018, 11:55:08 PM »

Based on several polls now showing a decent lead for Nelson, I'm moving this back to Lean D. Nelson wins 51-47.
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