2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3  (Read 130565 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #500 on: October 01, 2018, 09:16:05 AM »
I'll admit, I'm morbidly curious.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #501 on: October 01, 2018, 09:25:13 AM »
POLL DUMP OUTTA KANSAS
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #502 on: October 01, 2018, 10:25:54 AM »
https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/new-poll-shows-tight-race-in-californias-45th-district

CA-45 GBA Strategies (End Citizens United/D poll): Porter (D) 48, Walters (R-inc) 47
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Person Man
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« Reply #503 on: October 01, 2018, 10:30:47 AM »
What was it before?
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Pericles
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« Reply #504 on: October 01, 2018, 03:42:42 PM »
Wow Sharice Davids is dominating!
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #505 on: October 01, 2018, 04:25:05 PM »
Yet another episode of "Please Don't Triage Me!", this time featuring CO-06 as the desperate incumbent Mike Coffman releases this internal: https://localtvkdvr.files.wordpress.com/2018/10/coffmanpolling.pdf

CO-06 (Tarrance Group, Coffman internal):
Jason Crow (D) 46
Mike Coffman (R-inc) 45
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #506 on: October 01, 2018, 04:34:13 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 01, 2018, 04:25:05 PM
Yet another episode of "Please Don't Triage Me!", this time featuring CO-06 as the desperate incumbent Mike Coffman releases this internal: https://localtvkdvr.files.wordpress.com/2018/10/coffmanpolling.pdf

CO-06 (Tarrance Group, Coffman internal):
Jason Crow (D) 46
Mike Coffman (R-inc) 45

Is this his please triage me next poll?
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Skye
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« Reply #507 on: October 01, 2018, 04:54:43 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 01, 2018, 09:25:13 AM
POLL DUMP OUTTA KANSAS



Those KS-02 numbers are peak Emerson.
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« Reply #508 on: October 01, 2018, 06:00:35 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 01, 2018, 04:54:43 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 01, 2018, 09:25:13 AM
POLL DUMP OUTTA KANSAS



Those KS-02 numbers are peak Emerson.
KS-1 is even worse. 41% undecided.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #509 on: October 01, 2018, 06:31:09 PM »
WV GCB: R+9 (46-37)

https://www.wdtv.com/content/news/Poll-finds-Manchin-in-lead-for-Senate-race-state-gives-Pres-Trump-62-approval-rating--494830301.html
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #510 on: October 01, 2018, 06:39:19 PM »

That's lower than I would have expected in WV.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #511 on: October 01, 2018, 07:16:24 PM »

Rural Kansas is notorious for its political independence and lack of party loyalty.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #512 on: October 01, 2018, 09:28:35 PM »
We got a dump of Oklahoma polls from Sooner Poll, covering the 3rd, 4th, and 5th CDs.

http://www.newson6.com/story/39208380/exclusive-news9-poll-oklahomas-congressional-incumbents-drawing-strong-support

OK-03:
Frank Lucas (R-inc) 54
Frankie Robbins (D) 24

OK-04:
Tom Cole (R-inc) 58
Mary Brannon (D) 25

OK-05:
Steve Russell (R-inc) 47
Kendra Horn (D) 37
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #513 on: October 01, 2018, 09:29:51 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 01, 2018, 09:28:35 PM
We got a dump of Oklahoma polls from Sooner Poll, covering the 3rd, 4th, and 5th CDs.

http://www.newson6.com/story/39208380/exclusive-news9-poll-oklahomas-congressional-incumbents-drawing-strong-support

OK-03:
Frank Lucas (R-inc) 54
Frankie Robbins (D) 24

OK-04:
Tom Cole (R-inc) 58
Mary Brannon (D) 25

OK-05:
Steve Russell (R-inc) 47
Kendra Horn (D) 37

Tossup/Tilt R, Tossup/Tilt R, Likely D
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #514 on: October 01, 2018, 09:47:50 PM »
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KingSweden
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« Reply #515 on: October 01, 2018, 10:01:20 PM »
Quote from: TheRocketRaccoon on October 01, 2018, 09:47:50 PM


I actually disagree and think Walz helps in the 1st and that the 8th is a tougher oit
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OneJ
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« Reply #516 on: October 01, 2018, 10:29:34 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on October 01, 2018, 10:01:20 PM
Quote from: TheRocketRaccoon on October 01, 2018, 09:47:50 PM


I actually disagree and think Walz helps in the 1st and that the 8th is a tougher oit

This. But in the end, I expect both seats to be retained in the Democrats’ column. I imagine it to be an incredibly tough year for Republicans in Minnesota.
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Xing
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« Reply #517 on: October 01, 2018, 10:32:09 PM »
I'd like to see more MN-01 polls, because even though MN-08 is looking dicey, I'm still a bit more worried about MN-01. When House members run statewide, it doesn't seem like they tend to help all that much with the House race in their district.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #518 on: October 01, 2018, 10:59:37 PM »
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #519 on: October 01, 2018, 11:10:31 PM »
Quote from: TheRocketRaccoon on October 01, 2018, 10:59:37 PM


Sorry Carter but
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #520 on: October 01, 2018, 11:12:08 PM »
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Virginiá
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« Reply #521 on: October 01, 2018, 11:13:08 PM »
Looks like the whole Coffman family will need to prep their resumes come January.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #522 on: October 02, 2018, 06:24:37 AM »
Wexton +6 standard, +4 low turnout, +9 surge. Wexton is also at 50+ in all of these.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_va_100218/
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #523 on: October 02, 2018, 06:58:27 AM »
I guess Comstock will manage to avoid humiliation if the NRCC continues to pour boatloads of money in the district till the bitter end.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #524 on: October 02, 2018, 07:19:13 AM »
GA GCB: D+3 (47-44)

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNewsSurveyMonkeyGeorgiaPollToplinesMethodology102.pdf

TN GCB: R+10 (50-40)

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNewsSurveyMonkeyTennesseePollToplinesMethodology102.pdf

MS GCB: R+13 (51-38)

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNewsSurveyMonkeyMississippiPollToplinesMethodology102.pdf
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