Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Missouri
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate Missouri and (2) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Claire McCaskill (D)*		  
#9
Josh Hawley (R)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 100

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Missouri  (Read 2209 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 14, 2018, 07:35:40 AM »
Previous threads that you can still vote in and affect overall result:

AZ CA CT DE FL HI IN ME MD MA MI MN MN-S MS MS-S

Toss-Up, 49-47 Hawley.

Ratings



(IA = MN-S) (AL = MS-S)

No Election: 23
Safe D: 10
Likely D:
Lean D: 1
Toss-Up: 2
Lean R:
Likely R: 1
Safe R: 1
No Election: 42

Predictions



(IA = MN-S) (AL = MS-S)

Democrats: 36
Republicans: 44

Runoffs

Mississippi Special

Pickups

Arizona

Net: D+1
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2018, 08:46:45 AM »
Tossup, McCaskill wins 49-48.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2018, 09:28:04 AM »
Lean R, Hawley 52-46.
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andjey
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2018, 09:33:50 AM »
Tossup/McCaskill 48,5-48
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2018, 09:53:07 AM »
Tossup, McCaskill +1.5.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2018, 10:00:01 AM »
Toss-Up, 48-48. This is definitely the race I’m the least confident about predicting. Gun to my head, Hawley squeaks by, but I really have no idea right now.
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here2view
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2018, 10:37:48 AM »
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 14, 2018, 10:00:01 AM
Toss-Up, 48-48. This is definitely the race I’m the least confident about predicting. Gun to my head, Hawley squeaks by, but I really have no idea right now.
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Peanut
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2018, 10:43:40 AM »
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2018, 10:46:56 AM »
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2018, 01:25:15 PM »
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2018, 01:42:04 PM »
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2018, 01:48:32 PM »
Lean R, Hawley 50-47.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2018, 02:01:54 PM »
Probably the only person who has had this race at Leans D the entire cycle. McCaskill knows how to win races, and I think she'll ultimately win her third term.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2018, 02:18:21 PM »
Toss up / Hawley

If the state was a little further to the north, or a little more diverse, or if McCaskill was less unpopular she would win. Another Democrat could have held the seat.

But for now it's the GOPs second Senate pick up of the night.
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2018, 05:25:01 PM »
Quote from: PAK Man on October 14, 2018, 02:01:54 PM
Probably the only person who has had this race at Leans D the entire cycle. McCaskill knows how to win races, and I think she'll ultimately win her third term.

You aren't the only one!
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2018, 05:35:50 PM »
Tossup, Hawley. It’s pretty sad that this race is close at all, though.
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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E: 0.52, S: 1.46

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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2018, 05:47:47 PM »
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jamestroll
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2018, 06:16:12 PM »
Quote from: Spiral on October 14, 2018, 05:25:01 PM
Quote from: PAK Man on October 14, 2018, 02:01:54 PM
Probably the only person who has had this race at Leans D the entire cycle. McCaskill knows how to win races, and I think she'll ultimately win her third term.

You aren't the only one!

I have had it toss up/tilt r (with sometimes tilt D while Greitens fiasaco was going on) since November 2016.

Always had Auditor as toss up/tilt D.

I will keep it as Toss Up/Tilt R until McCaskill actually wins.

wtf.. last year I was telling this forum that McCaskill was not going to be blanched..
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JGibson
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2018, 02:02:09 PM »
Pure Tossup, McCaskill by less than 1%.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2018, 02:55:59 PM »
I feel that this is a race where they should have done more to smear hawley. He just rubs me the wrong way. He reminds me of every tryhard/striver working for conservative inc (federalist society, heritage foundation) and then parachutes back home to run for office. Also, the fact that he wants to switch offices so quickly also pisses me off.
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MarkD
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« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2018, 10:05:24 PM »
Tossup; Hawley by a half of a percentage point.
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SN2903
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2018, 07:24:00 AM »
Hawley will win by 2-3 points.
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mgop
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2018, 08:29:41 AM »
this forum is so out of touch...
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