Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Montana
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate Montana and (2) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Jon Tester (D)*		  
#9
Matt Rosendale (R)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 64

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Montana  (Read 1114 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 15, 2018, 06:52:13 AM »
Previous threads that you can still vote in and affect overall result:

AZ CA CT DE FL HI IN ME MD MA MI MN MN-S MS MS-S MO

Lean D, 50-46 Tester.

Ratings



(IA = MN-S) (AL = MS-S)

No Election: 23
Safe D: 10
Likely D:
Lean D: 1
Toss-Up: 3
Lean R:
Likely R: 1
Safe R: 1
No Election: 42

Predictions



(IA = MN-S) (AL = MS-S)

Democrats: 37
Republicans: 44

Runoffs

Mississippi Special

Pickups

Arizona

Net: D+1
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,986
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Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2018, 06:53:32 AM »
Lean D, 50-46 Tester.
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DaWN
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2018, 06:53:51 AM »
Lean D, Tester by 5 points
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weatherboy1102
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Posts: 13,912
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E: -7.61, S: -7.83

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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 06:57:33 AM »
Likely D, 52-45.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2018, 08:20:35 AM »
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2018, 08:45:16 AM »
Lean D, Tester 49-45.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2018, 11:00:35 AM »
Lean D, Tester wins 49-46.
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😥
andjey
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2018, 12:38:11 PM »
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2018, 01:44:24 PM »
Wow. Lean R, by 4 points.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2018, 02:00:20 PM »
Lol why is this a thread, Maryland Matt xD ain’t comin’ close to winnin’ this, and honestly seeing this WWC #populist Purple heart state reject this clown brings tears to my eyes and shows Democrats how they can win romantic rural WWC states again Purple heart. People think of Montana as some kind of Republican-leaning state, but let me tell you that even all the Republicans only voted for Trump because of his populism and the state is STRONGLY Democratic down ballot, so stop acting like this is ND, ffs. Also, Rosendale is easily the worst candidate in the country while Tester is basically a rock star, and candidate quality matters more than anything else as we all know.

Safe D, 87-7-6 Tester-Breckenridge-Rosendale. Would have stayed D even in a CLINTON MIDTERM.

[for more high-quality analysis see Atlas, RRH and PredictIt]
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2018, 02:01:39 PM »
Pure Tossup but Tester by under a point.
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JGibson
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Political Matrix
E: -7.00, S: -6.50

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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2018, 02:04:28 PM »
Lean D, Tester by 1.5%-4%.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2018, 02:28:17 PM »
In all seriousness though,


This is exactly my prediction for now. And while I still think that Tim Fox is hilariously overrated on this forum, he probably would have made it a pure Toss-up. Missed opportunity for Republicans.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #13 on: December 22, 2018, 03:08:19 AM »
Wtf, Rosendale literally lifted a Manchin ad

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpTpz-9Ustw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_wLNVRnYo8
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