Competitive House Race Predictions - Minnesota
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 08:56:40 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Competitive House Race Predictions - Minnesota		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: Predict Who Will Win in Each House Race
#1
MN-01: Dan Feehan (D)		  
#2
MN-01: Jim Hagedorn (R)		  
#3
MN-02: Jason Lewis (R)*		  
#4
MN-02: Angie Craig (D)		  
#5
MN-03: Erik Paulsen (R)*		  
#6
MN-03: Dean Phillips (D)		  
#7
MN-07: Collin Peterson (D)*		  
#8
MN-07: Dave Hughes (R)		  
#9
MN-08: Joe Radinovich (D)		  
#10
MN-08: Pete Stauber (R)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 64

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Competitive House Race Predictions - Minnesota  (Read 1964 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 23, 2018, 07:39:21 AM »
Previous threads you can still vote in and affect the overall result:

AL to AR CA CO and FL GA and IL IN and IA KS to ME MI

MN-01: Hagedorn (R+1)
MN-02: Craig (D+1)
MN-03: Phillips (D+1)
MN-07: Peterson (D)
MN-08: Stauber (R+1)

Predictions Showing Competitive Races



Predictions Showing Pickups



Safe D: 182
Safe R: 138

Competitive D: 23
Competitive R: 24

Democrats: 205
Republicans: 162

Pickups

AZ-02
CA-10
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CO-06
FL-26
FL-27
IL-06
IL-12
IA-01
IA-03
KS-02
KS-03
KY-06
ME-02
MI-08
MI-11

Net: D+20
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 08:08:35 AM »
Hagedorn Craig Phillips Peterson Stauber
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 08:41:09 AM »
Feehan, Craig, Phillips, Peterson, Stauber, net of D+1
Logged
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 08:42:30 AM »
Dem sweep of all five, I don't buy the hot takes about Stauber being a clear favorite
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 09:02:11 AM »
Just to be optimistic - Republicans sweep all five.

#MMGA

#SendTrumpReinforcements
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 09:26:35 AM »
Feehan
Craig
Phillips
Peterson
Stauber
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 09:36:38 AM »
MN-01: Toss-Up/Tilt D
MN-02: Likely D (D+20)
MN-03: Likely D (D+21)
MN-07: Safe D
MN-08: Toss-Up/Tilt R (R gain, D+20)
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 09:40:38 AM »
MN-01: Toss-Up/Tilt R  (FLIP)
MN-02: Lean D (FLIP)
MN-03: Likely D (FLIP)
MN-07: Lean D
MN-08: Toss-Up/Tilt R (FLIP)
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 03:01:43 PM »
MN-1: Feehan +3
MN-2: Craig +8
MN-3: Phillips +10
MN-7: Peterson +15 (LOL at this being "competitive")
MN-8: Radinovich +1 (I said it)
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 04:30:44 PM »
Dems in all but 8.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 04:48:31 PM »
Feehan, Craig, Phillips, Peterson, Stauber

MN-01 and MN-08 could both go either way, though. Stauber almost certainly isn't winning by nearly 15% like in the NYT/Siena poll.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 04:50:19 PM »
Ds take MN-02/MN-03, Rs take MN-01/MN-08.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 06:34:10 PM »
Radinovich will win, one poll from Siena doesn't make a trend.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 07:09:40 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok on October 23, 2018, 06:34:10 PM
Radinovich will win, one poll from Siena doesn't make a trend.

The DCCC pulling their ads in the district makes a trend though.
Logged
Roblox
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,245


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 08:06:35 PM »
MN-03: Phillips 55-45
MN-02: Craig 54-46
MN-01: Feehan 51-49
MN-08: Stauber 51-45
MN-07: Peterson 57-43
Logged
Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 625
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 10:21:18 PM »
Logged
Koharu
jphp
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,646
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2018, 04:37:26 AM »
Hagedorn will win MN-01. Walz was a uniquely good fit for the rural areas, which is why I wanted to see him go to the governor's race. The downside is that I know it means Hagedorn wins the Congressional district. Ugh. I have personal knowledge of him and I hope I'm wrong. If Mankato and Rochester really turn out, then maybe, but the support for Hagedorn has been extremely strong all across the district since July already.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2018, 06:02:03 PM »
GOP will win all 5.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,512
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2018, 06:04:25 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 23, 2018, 07:09:40 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok on October 23, 2018, 06:34:10 PM
Radinovich will win, one poll from Siena doesn't make a trend.

The DCCC pulling their ads in the district makes a trend though.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2018, 06:04:31 PM »

Even MN-03 and MN-07?
Logged
Roblox
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,245


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2018, 06:20:12 PM »

He's a hardcore hack, wouldn't pay much attention to him.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2018, 06:28:45 PM »
Minnesota is trending R. I was off in my 2016 election prediction by 2 states and correctly predicted a Trump win.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2018, 06:30:32 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on October 25, 2018, 06:28:45 PM
Minnesota is trending R. I was off in my 2016 election prediction by 2 states and correctly predicted a Trump win.
DAE 2016 = permanent trend? Republicans are going to surge because reasons. R+20 house and R+12 Senate.
Logged
Jags
Rookie
**
Posts: 174


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2018, 06:32:14 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on October 25, 2018, 06:28:45 PM
Minnesota is trending R. I was off in my 2016 election prediction by 2 states and correctly predicted a Trump win.
Trending R lol. Keep pumping money into these races here, its been really effective!
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,512
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2018, 06:37:02 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on October 25, 2018, 06:28:45 PM
Minnesota is trending R. I was off in my 2016 election prediction by 2 states and correctly predicted a Trump win.

Only two states out of about a dozen competitive ones? Wow that's... Completely within the statistical average.

I have little doubt you guessed Trump win the popular vote as well. Congratulations if so. You were only about 3 million votes off!
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.064 seconds with 13 queries.