KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/BryanLowry3/status/1081226892051648512

[DINGO Joe]

Svaty lost rural Kansas to Kelly in the primary.  Hard to believe the conspiracies to kneecap him.

[Skye]

Likely R.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/SenPatRoberts/status/1081240035301548032

https://twitter.com/DavidMDrucker/status/1081238365788426242

[Suburbia]

Schlapp or Kobach would make the race Likely R.

Sebelius is too moderate for KS Dems

Carl Brewer, or Paul Davis?

[tmthforu94]

Schlapp or Kobach would make the race Likely R.

Sebelius is too moderate for KS Dems

Carl Brewer, or Paul Davis?

Laura Kelly is basically a clone of Kathleen Sebelius (with a very pro-gun history) and swept the primary. If Sebelius runs, she would easily clear the field and be the Democratic nominee. She is still the most powerful Democrat in Kansas.

I can't see Carl Brewer mounting a successful statewide campaign, maybe if 2020 becomes a great year for Democrat he could try for the 4th. Davis may try again, but if he can't win the 2nd against a weak opponent, I doubt he'll be able to win statewide.

[Pandaguineapig]

Schlapp or Kobach would make the race Likely R.

Sebelius is too moderate for KS Dems

Carl Brewer, or Paul Davis?

Laura Kelly is basically a clone of Kathleen Sebelius (with a very pro-gun history) and swept the primary. If Sebelius runs, she would easily clear the field and be the Democratic nominee. She is still the most powerful Democrat in Kansas.

I can't see Carl Brewer mounting a successful statewide campaign, maybe if 2020 becomes a great year for Democrat he could try for the 4th. Davis may try again, but if he can't win the 2nd against a weak opponent, I doubt he'll be able to win statewide.

Does Sebelius even live in the state anymore? Also I would think her baggage as HHS head could be used in ads against her

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Does Sebelius even live in Kansas anymore?  I have a hard time seeing her win a general election after being in Obama's cabinet for five years, though that obviously wouldn't be as much of a liability today as it would've been five years ago.

And the ACA is popular now, so that wouldn't necessarily hurt her either.

[Roll Roons]

Sebelius would not be a good option if Democrats want to take this seat. She'd go the way of Bayh, Strickland, Bredesen, etc.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Why not pick one of the moderate Republican Senators who recently converted to the Democratic party? Find someone whose Female perhaps and relatively charismatic just like Laura Kelly, that'd be a ticket winner.

[lfromnj]

Yeah Sharice Davids isn't a good candidate. Kansas is pretty urban but the 1st district hicks will not accept a native american Lesbian as their senator and will have super high turnout.

[Brittain33]

This is such a Bredesen opportunity for Dems, isn't it? Not getting my hopes up we'll break our 80+ year streak of losses in KS Senate races.

[MAINEiac4434]

Why not pick one of the moderate Republican Senators who recently converted to the Democratic party? Find someone whose Female perhaps and relatively charismatic just like Laura Kelly, that'd be a ticket winner.

This, absolutely. Some of them were effectively already Democrats in terms of legislation they supported.

[TheBeardedOne]

Does Colyer run?

[Oryxslayer]

Roger Marshall is probably in a good place to launch a campaign on the Republican side. Both Coyler and Kobach also have justifications for a campaign. I don't know who is in a favorable position locally, but I have to think there are State Legislators, particularly from the conservative block, who want the seat.

[Continential]

Hopefully Kobach runs and loses

[tmthforu94]

Schlapp or Kobach would make the race Likely R.

Sebelius is too moderate for KS Dems

Carl Brewer, or Paul Davis?

Laura Kelly is basically a clone of Kathleen Sebelius (with a very pro-gun history) and swept the primary. If Sebelius runs, she would easily clear the field and be the Democratic nominee. She is still the most powerful Democrat in Kansas.

I can't see Carl Brewer mounting a successful statewide campaign, maybe if 2020 becomes a great year for Democrat he could try for the 4th. Davis may try again, but if he can't win the 2nd against a weak opponent, I doubt he'll be able to win statewide.

Does Sebelius even live in the state anymore? Also I would think her baggage as HHS head could be used in ads against her

Topeka. And you're right, her time in HHS will hurt her in the general election, not so sure on the primary.

[Free Bird]

Hopefully Kobach runs and loses

The state party will do everything up to putting a horse head in his bed if he even thinks about it

[RogueBeaver]

Schlapp is probably running.

[Free Bird]

Schlapp is probably running.

He's literally Boomer Charlie Kirk

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

[Free Bird]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

Because Brownback was in such danger in 04 after Seb won in 02, or Moran in 16 after Brownback only barely won in 14. Not to mention Kobach ran a garbage campaign.

Try again, hack.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

What should terrify them? That a nut job like Kris Kobach only got 43%? LOL

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

What should terrify them? That a nut job like Kris Kobach only got 43%? LOL

Yes, the nut job that YOUR primary voters elected. Do you really trust that same electorate to nominate a sane candidate in 2020?

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

Because Brownback was in such danger in 04 after Seb won in 02, or Moran in 16 after Brownback only barely won in 14. Not to mention Kobach ran a garbage campaign.

Try again, hack.

The GOP candidate just lost by a combined 14 points in Kansas in 2020; this isn't 2002 any more, lmao, states going against the partisan grain means far more.

But sure, I'm the hack.