AL-SEN: It’s Tuberville

[MassBlueDog]

He will win because AL is very elastic with lots of ticket splitters. I could see him winning up to 30% of Trump voters.

(crickets chirp in the distance)

[Old Man Willow]

He will win because AL is very elastic with lots of ticket splitters. I could see him winning up to 30% of Trump voters.

There is literally no modern evidence to support what you just said

Ask the wise and all knowing IndyRep to explain to you the elastic nature of the deep southern swing states.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think people are severely underestimating Doug's chances in AL.

[MT Treasurer]

Probably better. Maybe he’ll lose, but declaring every red state/congressional district Democrat/Democratic candidate DOA because of "polarization" and "inelasticity" is one of Atlas's favorite pastimes (unless their name is McCaskill or Donnelly).

[Yellowhammer]

He will likely do considerably worse. The race is Safe R, and the winner of the Republican primary will instantaneously become senator-elect.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not safe R

[Old Man Willow]

Ask the wise and all knowing IndyRep to explain to you the elastic nature of the deep southern swing states.

Meaningless buzzwords. Maybe if Hood loses by a lot and Edwards goes down (which is ShadowOfTheWave's prediction after all), you’ll have a point. If that happens, I’ll move AL-SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

I do not predict that Hood will lose by a lot, I just think he'll hit a brick wall around 46-47%. As for Edwards, I think he has a 40-50% chance for victory.

[Galeel]

Ask the wise and all knowing IndyRep to explain to you the elastic nature of the deep southern swing states.

Meaningless buzzwords. Maybe if Hood loses by a lot and Edwards goes down (which is ShadowOfTheWave's prediction after all), you’ll have a point. If that happens, I’ll move AL-SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

Gubernatorial elections are far less partisan than senate elections and are not comparable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ask the wise and all knowing IndyRep to explain to you the elastic nature of the deep southern swing states.
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Meaningless buzzwords. Maybe if Hood loses by a lot and Edwards goes down (which is ShadowOfTheWave's prediction after all), you’ll have a point. If that happens, I’ll move AL-SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

Gubernatorial elections are far less partisan than senate elections and are not comparable.

Yes, and Ducwy and Abbott won by landslides and Sinema won and Beto came so close to upsetting Cruz, if it was White on ballot, Beto would havr win

[Alabama_Indy10]

https://twitter.com/Zachary_Cohen/status/1097879179381653506

[2016]

I hope Byrne has a competent campaign team and knows how to run a scorched earth campaign because his supposed electability is the only reason I’m supporting him over Brooks. Anyway, this is probably close to Likely R if Byrne wins the nomination, although Jones shouldn’t be counted out.

Mo Brooks isn't even running at least not of now and I doubt he will.

Bradley Byrne is going to win this Nomination. The only Question is if it's after the Primary or after the Runoff.

Doug Jones is TOAST and he knows it.

[SnowLabrador]

Yeah, Doug is done. I think he loses 56-42.

[Bidenworth2020]

Byrne is probably the best Republican that Democrats could ask for in this seat. Unless we wanted someone to consistently embarrass the party like Jim Zeigler

It really doesn't matter honestly, Any Republican will win, even if the margin is considerably more narrow than the pres race.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/BradleyByrne/status/1097988569958879233

[SnowLabrador]

Yeah, looks like Byrne is running. If he wins the primary, the seat is his.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Byrne is basically Generic R. He would beat Jones fairly handily.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Doug Jones was done the day after his fluke election.

[emcee0]

Say if Jeff Sessions ran or some other top tier candidate was the Republican nominee?

[Sestak]

Nah. Probably closer to Heitkamp margins.

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Nah. Probably closer to Heitkamp margins.

[Pollster]

Alabama probably has just enough non-Evangelical college-educated white voters for him to hold it to a 10-12 point loss.

[President Johnson]

Nah. Probably closer to Heitkamp margins.

This. Really hope he gets the job as attorney general under a Democratic president then.

[The Mikado]

He could outrun the Democratic Presidential nominee by 10 points.

He'd still lose by 12 or so, but he's not going to get annihilated like Blanche Lincoln was.

[Politician]

Nah. Probably closer to Heitkamp margins.

[Xing]

He'll more likely get Kirk'd.