Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 23, 2019, 12:06:56 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  DuPage County, Illinois
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: Will Obama carry DuPage?
#1Yes  
#2No  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: DuPage County, Illinois  (Read 4875 times)
Rob
Bob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,292
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 29, 2008, 03:47:48 am »

DuPage, as you probably know, is the ultimate Collar County and has been a GOP bastion since... well... the party's formation. The last Democratic presidential candidate to take it was Franklin Pierce. In 1852.

However, I am predicting an Obama win. Consider that Kerry ended up winning 45 percent of the county's vote; the best showing of any Democrat since the 1850s. Obama himself is quite popular in the area. And if the Tribune's endorsement will change a significant number of votes anywhere, it should be here.

Agree or disagree?
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,555
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2008, 03:53:27 am »

a close friend of mine lives there and believes Obama will JUST fall over the line.
Logged
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,846
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2008, 04:02:10 am »

It'll be close... I'd give Obama a 45% chance of winning it.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 48,777
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2008, 04:31:24 am »
« Edited: October 30, 2008, 12:58:11 am by Tender Branson »

DuPage was one of McCain's best counties in IL's Super Tuesday primary. But Obama still managed to get more votes than McCain. I think Obama can only win the county by a very small margin, if he gets 62-65% in IL - which is unlikely.
Logged
ill ind
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 469


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2008, 07:50:25 am »

  I'm in DuPage and I think it will be pretty close.  I think that Obama will pull it out by 1 or 2 percentage points, but it will be extremely close.  Kerry did get 45% here, which capped a lengthy (since 1980 or so) period of Democrats consistently scoring a few points higher each presidential election.  If it wasn't Obama I'd say no--wait 4 more years.

Ill-Ind

Logged
Boris
boris78
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,105
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2008, 07:29:16 pm »

Given the (D) trend, Obama's home-state advantage, and what the overall national margin will likely be, yes. Which would be awesome, given that I've spent 17 of my 18 years living there. But I doubt he'll win my area of the county Sad
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,388
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2008, 08:04:33 pm »

That Obama winning that county is even possible is a nice little summary of everything that's wrong with him, and why he'll likely be a lousy President.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,124
Samoa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2008, 08:48:20 pm »

I bet Obama carries it.
Logged
Soaring Eagle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 612


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2008, 08:50:47 pm »

Yes. I am well-connected to DuPage County and I'd give it a good chance of going to Obama.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,463


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2008, 08:51:20 pm »

That Obama winning that county is even possible is a nice little summary of everything that's wrong with him, and why he'll likely be a lousy President.

So he is too conservative? Likes the upper middle class?
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,857
United States
P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2008, 08:54:05 pm »

Obama should win, but it'll probably be very close.  I'm kind of unsure of where the state stands right now, though -- if Obama stays in the 50s, McCain should be able to win.

I don't know if I'm the first person to say this, but who cares?
Logged
Smash255
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,886


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2008, 09:04:03 pm »

In 04 it was 7.18% more GOP then the national average.  A 7.18% margin on the national level is easily possible.  The county was trending Democratic (even without Obama) and the added bonus of Obama's home state.  Yes he wins it.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,425
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 06, 2009, 03:54:14 pm »

In the end it wasn't even close.
55-44 or 45.000 votes.

Fareed Zakaria said it best about the white suburbanites: after eight years of W, they feel that their money are safe with the Democrats but their values are threatened by the Republicans.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC