OH: More Money Stuff (August)

[BuckeyeNut]

So Nan Whaley is apparently on the way out per Jeremy Pelzer: https://twitter.com/jpelzer/status/951137463191375873

As a slight addition onto that, do we have anyone challenging Turner or not?

That'd be excellent. I know former Congresswoman Mary Jo Kilroy has been egging her to run for Congress. And no, we don't have anyone for OH-10.

[Tartarus Sauce]

So Nan Whaley is apparently on the way out per Jeremy Pelzer: https://twitter.com/jpelzer/status/951137463191375873

As a slight addition onto that, do we have anyone challenging Turner or not?

Probably wants to run for Mike Turner's seat. He should be announcing his retirement any day now.

[BuckeyeNut]

So Nan Whaley is apparently on the way out per Jeremy Pelzer: https://twitter.com/jpelzer/status/951137463191375873

As a slight addition onto that, do we have anyone challenging Turner or not?

Probably wants to run for Mike Turner's seat. He should be announcing his retirement any day now.

Know something we don't, or surmising based on the fact he's term-limited out of his Chairmanship and Ohio candidate recruitment is going well?

[Tartarus Sauce]

So Nan Whaley is apparently on the way out per Jeremy Pelzer: https://twitter.com/jpelzer/status/951137463191375873

As a slight addition onto that, do we have anyone challenging Turner or not?

Probably wants to run for Mike Turner's seat. He should be announcing his retirement any day now.

Know something we don't, or surmising based on the fact he's term-limited out of his Chairmanship and Ohio candidate recruitment is going well?

Both, and he's also a member of the Tuesday Group. That caucus is going to take a beating in the midterms and already has one of its co-chairs retiring. Plus, Turner has a rather anemic fundraising haul last time I checked. All signs are pointing to him calling it quits. Filling deadline is on the 7th of next month for Ohio, so if he's heading for the exits, we should know within the next few weeks.

[BuckeyeNut]

So Nan Whaley is apparently on the way out per Jeremy Pelzer: https://twitter.com/jpelzer/status/951137463191375873

As a slight addition onto that, do we have anyone challenging Turner or not?

Probably wants to run for Mike Turner's seat. He should be announcing his retirement any day now.

Know something we don't, or surmising based on the fact he's term-limited out of his Chairmanship and Ohio candidate recruitment is going well?

Both, and he's also a member of the Tuesday Group. That caucus is going to take a beating in the midterms and already has one of its co-chairs retiring. Plus, Turner has a rather anemic fundraising haul last time I checked. All signs are pointing to him calling it quits. Filling deadline is on the 7th of next month for Ohio, so if he's heading for the exits, we should know within the next few weeks.

If he were to retire, you'd think he'd do it sooner, to give someone the time to build up a better campaign. Nan doesn't have federal funds, but she can make a decent transfer.

I'm a deep cynic, so I've been a bit doom and gloom, but things seem to be going well for once in Ohio. Harbaugh's outraising Gibbs, no-name Rabbi Barr is outraising Chabot. Good state legislative recruits are lining up...

[BuckeyeNut]

So if I understand this, if Whaley is out, and Sutton is on the Cordray ticket, then our 47th President is basically a strong favorite for the Democratic nomination for Ohio Governor?

Basically all but guaranteed, unless Kucinich effs things up.

I still like Joe more on a personal level. He's young, so hopefully, he will #RunForSomething in the future.

[The_Doctor]

If I understand, Cordray-Sutton will carry the Clinton areas in the North and the battleground region will be Eastern Ohio, along the Appalachian border? While the central region and western border towards Indiana should favor Mike DeWine, right, with Hamilton county going Cordray?

[BuckeyeNut]

If I understand, Cordray-Sutton will carry the Clinton areas in the North and the battleground region will be Eastern Ohio, along the Appalachian border? While the central region and western border towards Indiana should favor Mike DeWine, right, with Hamilton county going Cordray?

Cordray's strength is in Franklin County (Columbus) and the more conservative collar counties, where he outperformed other Democrats. Cordray, for example, got 36% of the vote in Delaware County in 2010. Strickland got 32%. And this was in 2010, a terrible year for Democrats, and pre-Delaware's leftward trend. He also got 38% to Strickland's 36% in Licking and 39% to Strickland's 37% in Fairfield. Sutton should shore up Lorain and Summit (Akron) counties, the former of which Democrats really need to win back.

They will be at a disadvantage in the Southwest. Cincinnati is trending blue so hard it narrowly kept Hamilton County in Clinton's hand in '16, but Dayton wasn't strong enough to turn the Trump tide int he rest of Montgomery County. If Whaley is running for Congress, she could buoy Democrats out there, but DeWine/Husted will be very strong in the Southwest. Democrats could lose Hamilton to them. It all depends on who turns out.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Renacci to announce he drops gubernatorial bid, will run for senate instead.

http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180110/renacci-ready-to-run-for-senate-after-white-house-meeting

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Renacci to announce he drops gubernatorial bid, will run for senate instead.

http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180110/renacci-ready-to-run-for-senate-after-white-house-meeting

lol

[BuckeyeNut]

Renacci to announce he drops gubernatorial bid, will run for senate instead.

http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180110/renacci-ready-to-run-for-senate-after-white-house-meeting

lol

Called it.

[Usili]

And Whaley is apparently going to be in an announcement with Cordray tomorrow, which is apparently going to be dropping out of the race and endorsing Cordray-Sutton per Jessie Balmert: https://twitter.com/jbalmert/status/951507445398065155

[Littlefinger]

Likelihood of running in OH-10 against Turner?

[BuckeyeNut]

Likelihood of running in OH-10 against Turner?

High, according to some folks on Atlas who claim to know Turner's retiring.

Low, according to my Montgomery contact who's been a surrogate for Nan and points out a challenger to Turner just announced today.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Likelihood of running in OH-10 against Turner?

High, according to some folks on Atlas who claim to know Turner's retiring.

Low, according to my Montgomery contact who's been a surrogate for Nan and points out a challenger to Turner just announced today.

Isn’t that just some random whacktivist though?  That said, I doubt she runs if Turner’s seeking re-election (I don’t think he will, but I have no inside info, not my side of the isle).

[The Other Castro]

Whaley expected to drop out.

http://www.dayton.com/news/reports-dayton-mayor-whaley-expected-drop-out-governor-race/T0U2GUntaaWHUdL3O8BFTN/

[The_Doctor]

Why is Whaley dropping out and endorsing Cordray?

[Tartarus Sauce]

Likelihood of running in OH-10 against Turner?

High, according to some folks on Atlas who claim to know Turner's retiring.

Low, according to my Montgomery contact who's been a surrogate for Nan and points out a challenger to Turner just announced today.

Isn’t that just some random whacktivist though?  That said, I doubt she runs if Turner’s seeking re-election (I don’t think he will, but I have no inside info, not my side of the isle).

Based on his paltry fundraising haul, he’s not acting like somebody that’s seeking re-election. If he is seeking re-election, he’s asleep at the wheel and I wouldn’t be surprised if Whaley jumps in before the filing deadline even without an official announcement from the Turner camp.

[brucejoel99]

Why is Whaley dropping out and endorsing Cordray?

Whaley declined comment & I'm sure that, come tomorrow, her only reasoning (like that of most other politicians who've ever dropped out of a race & endorsed their odds-on front-runner opponent) will be something along the lines of "After discussing w/ family, friends, supporters, & progressive leaders in the Democratic Party, I've come to the conclusion that this is the best course of action not just for me, but for the vitally important movement we continue to build every day."

But let's be real here: a crowded primary field as well as Cordray entering the race proved challenging for her, who lacks statewide name recognition.

[BuckeyeNut]

Whaley and Schiavoni will be back. Pillich ... Maybe not.

The fairly accurate rumor mongors over at 3rd Rail are reporting Kucinich will choose either Nina Turner of State Senator Skindell to be his running mate.

[Doimper]

Whaley and Schiavoni will be back. Pillich ... Maybe not.

The fairly accurate rumor mongrels over at 3rd Rail are reporting Kucinich will choose either Nina Turner of State Senator Skindell to be his running mate.

Kucinich/Turner? Jesus Christ, what a black hole of awfulness that would be.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Whaley and Schiavoni will be back. Pillich ... Maybe not.

The fairly accurate rumor mongrels over at 3rd Rail are reporting Kucinich will choose either Nina Turner of State Senator Skindell to be his running mate.

Kucinich/Turner? Jesus Christ, what a black hole of awfulness that would be.

I almost want to see Kucinich and O'Neill on a ticket just for comedy sake.

[BuckeyeNut]

Whaley and Schiavoni will be back. Pillich ... Maybe not.

The fairly accurate rumor mongrels over at 3rd Rail are reporting Kucinich will choose either Nina Turner of State Senator Skindell to be his running mate.

Kucinich/Turner? Jesus Christ, what a black hole of awfulness that would be.

I almost want to see Kucinich and O'Neill on a ticket just for comedy sake.

Ironically, Kucinich getting in is probably more likely to drive O'Neill out than Cordray. Despite O'Neill promising not to run if Cordray did.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Why is Kucinich using Michigan colors for his campaign logo?

[BuckeyeNut]

Why is Kucinich using Michigan colors for his campaign logo?

He deliberately wants to lose.