Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]
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Author Topic: Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 301681 times)
elcorazon
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« Reply #950 on: September 17, 2008, 02:02:16 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 17, 2008, 12:31:55 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 17, 2008, 12:06:06 PM


"Obama should be up at least 5 points. This is not good news for Obama."



Because in J.J.'s world, nothing is ever bad for McCain.

No it's a good result for Obama.  In theory, McCain should be going up due to the mid week bounce.  If he just holds, it meant the race was tightening.  Now, if McCain doesn't pick up over the next three days, it is great news for Obama.
OR the midweek bounce was a mirage based on not enough data and this is just noise in the data and it's been close all along.
OR McCain had a nice bounce for a couple weeks and that bounce has faded and we are going back to the basic race which is slight lean obama.
OR there's a bad high Obama sample for yesterday mucking up the numbers.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #951 on: September 17, 2008, 02:46:49 PM »
Only up by two after all of this news which is supposed to doom McCain? Fine by me.




Wink
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jeron
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« Reply #952 on: September 17, 2008, 02:52:08 PM »
McCain's going down!!
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #953 on: September 17, 2008, 03:13:54 PM »
Who said it was the end of McCain?  It's more like, we scored, hurrary, great!  Now let's win.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #954 on: September 17, 2008, 04:58:27 PM »
McCain is finished! Obama has won the election!
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J. J.
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« Reply #955 on: September 17, 2008, 05:40:56 PM »
Quote from: elcorazon on September 17, 2008, 02:02:16 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 17, 2008, 12:31:55 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 17, 2008, 12:06:06 PM


"Obama should be up at least 5 points. This is not good news for Obama."



Because in J.J.'s world, nothing is ever bad for McCain.

No it's a good result for Obama.  In theory, McCain should be going up due to the mid week bounce.  If he just holds, it meant the race was tightening.  Now, if McCain doesn't pick up over the next three days, it is great news for Obama.
OR the midweek bounce was a mirage based on not enough data and this is just noise in the data and it's been close all along.
OR McCain had a nice bounce for a couple weeks and that bounce has faded and we are going back to the basic race which is slight lean obama.
OR there's a bad high Obama sample for yesterday mucking up the numbers.

If there is no shift to Obama, McCain's numbers should go up, because of the midweek bounce.    If this is a bad sample, it should drop out by Saturday. 
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #956 on: September 18, 2008, 12:03:16 PM »
Thursday -  September 17, 2008:

Obama - 48% (+1)
McCain - 44% (-1)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #957 on: September 18, 2008, 12:04:12 PM »
Wow. Nice.
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J. J.
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« Reply #958 on: September 18, 2008, 12:05:55 PM »
Probably a real shift to Obama of 3-5 points.
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Aizen
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« Reply #959 on: September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM »
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #960 on: September 18, 2008, 12:09:10 PM »
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

How do you score touchdowns in baseball?
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #961 on: September 18, 2008, 12:12:28 PM »
Quote from: Go Yankees! on September 18, 2008, 12:09:10 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

How do you score touchdowns in baseball?

You make a basket... duh!
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J. J.
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« Reply #962 on: September 18, 2008, 12:13:11 PM »
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

Try in the 5th, with the other side getting the same inning at bat.

Obama has a problem policy wise; he favors a capital gains tax increase that hurts investment.
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KeyKeeper
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« Reply #963 on: September 18, 2008, 12:18:16 PM »
It is a very good show for Sen. Obama, but he can thank the Stock Market for his bump in the polls.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #964 on: September 18, 2008, 12:55:42 PM »
Quote from: KeyKeeper on September 18, 2008, 12:18:16 PM
It is a very good show for Sen. Obama, but he can thank the Stock Market for his bump in the polls.

Is that any different than the crisis in Georgia, which helped McCain?

Just proves that the real world can some time intervene into a campaign
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #965 on: September 18, 2008, 03:19:10 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 18, 2008, 12:13:11 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

Try in the 5th, with the other side getting the same inning at bat.

Obama has a problem policy wise; he favors a capital gains tax increase that hurts investment.
American voters don't know that means. They probably don't even know about it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #966 on: September 18, 2008, 03:21:22 PM »
Quote from: Governor Lief on September 18, 2008, 03:19:10 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 18, 2008, 12:13:11 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

Try in the 5th, with the other side getting the same inning at bat.

Obama has a problem policy wise; he favors a capital gains tax increase that hurts investment.
American voters don't know that means. They probably don't even know about it.

Enough do, because they pay it.
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Reds4
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« Reply #967 on: September 18, 2008, 03:48:05 PM »
Sadly, lief is probably right that most don't even know what that means. I sure do and that's one of my main problems with Obama.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #968 on: September 18, 2008, 07:09:55 PM »
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Nym90
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« Reply #969 on: September 19, 2008, 01:12:04 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 18, 2008, 12:13:11 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

Try in the 5th, with the other side getting the same inning at bat.

Obama has a problem policy wise; he favors a capital gains tax increase that hurts investment.

Yes, I'm sure this hurts him with the white working class swing voters in Ohio and Pennsylvania, not to mention the working moms making 8 dollars per hour.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #970 on: September 19, 2008, 01:15:30 AM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on September 18, 2008, 12:55:42 PM
Quote from: KeyKeeper on September 18, 2008, 12:18:16 PM
It is a very good show for Sen. Obama, but he can thank the Stock Market for his bump in the polls.

Is that any different than the crisis in Georgia, which helped McCain?

Just proves that the real world can some time intervene into a campaign

Exactly!
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #971 on: September 19, 2008, 01:20:39 AM »
Quote from: Nym90 on September 19, 2008, 01:12:04 AM
Quote from: J. J. on September 18, 2008, 12:13:11 PM
Quote from: Aizen on September 18, 2008, 12:08:03 PM
The scales have tipped in our favor. If I were to use a baseball analogy, we just scored a touchdown in the 7th inning.

Try in the 5th, with the other side getting the same inning at bat.

Obama has a problem policy wise; he favors a capital gains tax increase that hurts investment.

Yes, I'm sure this hurts him with the white working class swing voters in Ohio and Pennsylvania, not to mention the working moms making 8 dollars per hour.

Timely, as always Nym!
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Rowan
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« Reply #972 on: September 19, 2008, 12:03:18 PM »
September 19,2008
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 44%(nc)
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #973 on: September 19, 2008, 12:09:59 PM »
Nice.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #974 on: September 19, 2008, 12:10:35 PM »
Everything is starting to fit quite nicely now.  More later.
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