Will Demographic Change ship Elections to the Dems?

[Sam Spade]

Sam, do you see some level of this same varied social landscape developing among the black population?  I know that in urban Washington (the best example I know of anything ), black areas are gentrifying and traditional black churches are in the odd position of having to appeal to gay whites.  This is liberalizing the churches and the voters, which is kind of an interesting effect to watch.  On the other hand, in the suburbs here - with a booming black population - they have more access to traditional churches.

Is this effect replicated nationally in any form?

I'm going to be honest and say that I haven't seen anything like that in my travels.  This doesn't mean that in couldn't be happening in specific urban/suburban situations, especially in large, older cities.

In Houston, the old 4th ward underwent a transition from black to white urban, but the city/private companies basically tore down the whole area to create that effect and the black churches simply left.

[Verily]

The direct and intentional actions of the Republican party in California are in large part responsible for its in ability to break say 44-45% in most CA elections.

No it's the national party's fault for obsession over Jesus and what he would think about gay marriage and abortion. The state party, led by the Governator, understands how much the fundies are screwing his party.

This is certainly not strictly true. The California Republican Party is divided between moderate-to-liberal Republicans such as Poizner and Schwarzenegger who know that California is not going to vote for raving religious conservatives and anti-immigration militiamen and those same raving religious conservatives and anti-immigration militiamen who are actually common in southern California and in the Central Valley.