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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Presidential Election Trends (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King)
| | |-+  Five People Most Likely to be the 45th President
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Author Topic: Five People Most Likely to be the 45th President  (Read 10378 times)
feeblepizza
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« Reply #50 on: June 29, 2010, 10:37:20 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)
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Bo
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« Reply #51 on: June 30, 2010, 05:21:57 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

lol at #1 and #2. I hope #5 never happens.
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oakvale
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« Reply #52 on: June 30, 2010, 05:31:02 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

Quote
Age:    12

Well, that explains that.

GTFO. Aren't there regulations against young children using internet forums?
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #53 on: June 30, 2010, 05:48:23 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

Quote
Age:    12

Well, that explains that.

GTFO. Aren't there regulations against young children using internet forums?

http://members.verizon.net/~vze3fs8i/air/pres2012.html
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #54 on: June 30, 2010, 05:50:34 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

lol at #1 and #2. I hope #5 never happens.

http://members.verizon.net/~vze3fs8i/air/pres2012.html
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Bo
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« Reply #55 on: June 30, 2010, 06:08:34 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

lol at #1 and #2. I hope #5 never happens.

http://members.verizon.net/~vze3fs8i/air/pres2012.html

Irrelevant.
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justW353
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« Reply #56 on: June 30, 2010, 06:33:05 pm »
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In no particular order:

Mitch Daniels - (2012)
Joe Biden - (anytime)
Andrew Cuomo - (2016)
Scott Brown - (2016)
Someone we've never heard of - (2016)
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So a lack of knowledge means I'm not welcome here? I've always wondered why there's a lack of Republicans on this forum and now I'm beginning to see why.
Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #57 on: July 09, 2010, 04:50:09 pm »
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Gillibrand is lame.  Andrew Cuomo would be more likely to become president, if he is elected Governor of New York (which he probably will be).
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officepark
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« Reply #58 on: July 11, 2010, 02:09:11 am »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

lol at #1 and #2. I hope #5 never happens.

You don't want Biden to become president, or you don't want Obama to get shot?

I'd like to see a President Biden, far more so than President Obama, but I'm not praying for his assassination.
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Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
Bo
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« Reply #59 on: July 11, 2010, 02:17:37 pm »
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1. Tim Pawlenty (2012)
2. Sarah Palin (2012 or 2016)
3. Mitt Romney (2012)
4. Hillary Clinton (2016)
5. Joe Biden (whenever Obama gets shot)

lol at #1 and #2. I hope #5 never happens.

You don't want Biden to become president, or you don't want Obama to get shot?

I'd like to see a President Biden, far more so than President Obama, but I'm not praying for his assassination.

I don't want Obama to get shot. Politically, I have no problem with a President Biden.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #60 on: May 05, 2012, 12:05:48 am »

*bump*

Maybe something like (in order from most likely to fifth most likely):

1) Romney
2) H. Clinton
3) Christie
4) Rubio
5) Biden
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« Reply #61 on: May 05, 2012, 12:21:38 am »
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I'd say...

1- Biden (God forbid thru means other then election, but the one at this point with the quickest path...once again God forbid)
2- Romney
3- Hillary
4- Rubio
5- Cuomo
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #62 on: May 05, 2012, 12:28:37 am »
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1) Hillary Clinton
2) Mitt Romney
3) Joe Biden
4) Chris Christie
5) Susana Martinez

Honorable Mentions

6) Brian Schweitzer
7) Marco Rubio
Cool Kirsten Gillibrand
9) Jeb Bush
10) Rick Santorum
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morgieb
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« Reply #63 on: May 05, 2012, 12:32:07 am »
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Romney
Hillary
Christie
Rubio
Cuomo
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LastVoter
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« Reply #64 on: May 05, 2012, 04:37:20 am »
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I'd say...

1- Biden (God forbid thru means other then election, but the one at this point with the quickest path...once again God forbid)
2- Romney
3- Hillary
4- Rubio
5- Cuomo
Pretty much what I am thinking. Cuomo should be bumped to fourth and fifth should be another Republican/Democrat for 2016 from the deep bench both parties have.
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R2D2
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« Reply #65 on: May 05, 2012, 10:37:03 am »
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1) Mitt Romney (2012)
2) Chris Christie (2016)
3) Brian Schweitzer (2016)
4) Marco Rubio (2016)
5) Andrew Cuomo (2016)

I'd be satisfied if any of these men became President.
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NHI
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« Reply #66 on: May 05, 2012, 12:21:40 pm »
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1. Mitt Romney (2012)
2. Chris Christie (2016)
3. Hillary Clinton (2016)
4. Marco Rubio (2016)
5. Andrew Cuomo (2016)
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Odysseus
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« Reply #67 on: May 05, 2012, 01:10:39 pm »
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1. Joe Biden: Obama dies in office at any point in time from now to January 20th, 2017. Not necessarily most likely, but the one with the easiest path.
2. Mitt Romney: Somehow he wins the 2012 election.
3. Hillary Clinton: If she runs in 2016.
4. Andrew Cuomo: If he runs in 2016.
5. Marco Rubio: If he runs in 2016, though I don't think him running is too likely.
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R2D2
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« Reply #68 on: May 05, 2012, 01:21:06 pm »
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Why do people think Hillary will run again?
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #69 on: May 05, 2012, 02:34:37 pm »
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1. Biden
2. Romney
3. Christie
4. Schweitzer
5. Clinton
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Chris B
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« Reply #70 on: May 05, 2012, 03:43:22 pm »
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1. Romney
2. Christie
3. Hillary
4. Cuomo
5. Biden?
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #71 on: May 05, 2012, 06:00:27 pm »
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Who were the perceived 5 most likely nexts as guessed from Mays of past re-election years? 

I'll go with this:

92
1.Perot
2.Clinton
3.Cuomo
4.Quayle
5.Dole
--------
96
1.Gore 
2.Dole 
3.W
4.Quayle
5.Alexander
---------
04
1.Kerry
2.Hillary
3.Rudy
4.McCain
5.Edwards
----------
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #72 on: May 05, 2012, 07:13:44 pm »

Who were the perceived 5 most likely nexts as guessed from Mays of past re-election years? 

I'll go with this:

92
1.Perot
2.Clinton
3.Cuomo
4.Quayle
5.Dole

Ha ha, good point on Perot's polling lead as of May 1992.  I was just a geeky kid back then, who was aware of Perot's polling lead (I remember the newspaper headline, announcing that he'd taken the lead in the national polls), but wouldn't have been politically astute enough to know if this was expected to be a transient phenomenon or not.  I don't remember to what extent political experts were suggesting that it was just a fluke, and Perot's numbers would inevitably deflate, and to what extent they thought he might actually win.  I do remember that there was a lot of talk about the possibility of a deadlocked electoral college.  Anyway, I think this ranking as actually pretty good.

Quote
96
1.Gore 
2.Dole 
3.W
4.Quayle
5.Alexander

I highly doubt Quayle would be as high as #4.  His public image was such that he was regarded as being way too dumb to ever win a national election.  And the fact that he passed on running in 1996 suggested that he knew that.  I don't think there was much expectation that he'd run in 2000.  I would put Alexander at #4, though I don't know who to put at #5.  Maybe Colin Powell.  There was buzz about him running in 1996, though he opted out in the end (supposedly because of family considerations).  Even if he was a longshot to ever run, he was so popular, that he would have had a good chance of winning if he did run.

Alternatively, I would think that it might be one of the many then-popular Rust Belt Republican governors (Edgar, Engler, Thompson, Ridge, Voinovich), though I guess none of them stood out enough from the field, so maybe you have to go back to Powell.

Quote
---------
04
1.Kerry
2.Hillary
3.Rudy
4.McCain
5.Edwards
----------

I agree with #1 and probably #2, but I did not really think that Giuliani was that likely to ever run for prez back in 2004 (or that he'd get very far if he did), because of his positions on social issues.  I would have put McCain as #3, and maybe Bill Frist as either 4 or 5, with Edwards in the remaining slot.
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morgieb
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« Reply #73 on: May 05, 2012, 07:25:59 pm »
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Why do people think Hillary will run again?

Because it'll be borderline impossible for her to refuse. If she starts, she'll probably have a 50% polling lead on the opposition.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #74 on: May 05, 2012, 07:34:09 pm »
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And she might be the only hope for the Dems in '16 if Obama does win re-election.
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