NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Damn you Texas. Damn you.

But the El Paso district has been held!

(yeah. I know)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Murphy falls

[J. J.]

All right, now it looks much better for Toomey.  PHEW.

Double Ditto.

Phila didn't turn out enough to stop him.

[The Mikado]

Wait, DOGGETT'S in danger?

That I didn't see coming.

Anyway, RIP Russ and all that.  Resurgam should be written on his political grave, though: I don't think we've seen the last of him.

[SPQR]

Oh well,at least it wasn't a Toomey +9 like "some" members kept saying...

[Insula Dei]

Wisonsin, Illinois and Pennsylvania are at the top of my hate list right now.

2 of them might still redeem themselves...

[Torie]

Toomey is going to win by about 30,000-50,000 votes or so.  Unless that 3% remaining in Philly is full of mischief, or the Montco votes not counted are all in Chiselham township (sp), and then it will be a tie. Clear advantage Toomey - almost a call to my mind.

[Sam Spade]

Murphy falls

Keystone Phil strikes again.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! MSNBC called Wisconsin for the friend of pedophiles.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

All right, now it looks much better for Toomey.  PHEW.

Double Ditto.

Phila didn't turn out enough to stop him.

The fact that Philadelphia was even able to bring him this close in this environment in the rest of the state is still something I find incredible though.

[sg0508]

CA called for Boxer just like that. 

[tokar]

As I mentioned long ago...

The path to victory in PA is either...
Super-overperformance in Philadelphia (over 500,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and very few other counties.
Very good performance in Philadelphia (over 400,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and several counties
Good performance in Philadelphia (over 300,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and very many other counties.

Unfortunately Sestak falls in none of the three.
He had very good performance in Philadelphia (over 429k at 84.1%! which pretty much eclipses Casey's performance), did alright in Pittsburgh (over 408k at 55%, but doesnt match Casey's 459k at 64.9%), but didn't win enough other counties.

If anyone had any doubts about Montgomery county being democratic, it is erased with this election.  Depending on how you equate things, Montgomery is either the 3rd or 4th most democratic county in PA (i say that because Delaware shows greater margins, but has fewer voters).

[Torie]

Fiorina and Whitman both down 10% in the exit polls. The exit polls probably have a pretty heavy Dem bias, but both will probably lose. Murray up by a few points, but how can one do an exit poll, when nobody shows up physically to vote?  

[bullmoose88]

Still 8k absentees to be counted in Bucks tomorrow.  Doesn't seem like it will matter with whats left to count from the votes today...but maybe we'll get lucky.  Toomey can go to hell.

[sg0508]

Rossi will be close again, but it won't happen.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Upstate NY update...

NY-19: 20% in, Hall down by ten.
NY-20: 32% in, Murphy down by ten.
NY-29: 19% in, Owens up by about three.
NY-24: 27% in, Arcuri down by eleven.
NY-22: 45% in, Hinchey up by nine.
NY-25: 20% in, Maffei down by two.
NY-29: 38% in, R lead of eleven.
NY-27: 12% in, Higgins up by five.

[Progressive]

Any news on McCarthy-04 in NY? Can someone give me a link to AP results, thanks!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sanford Bishop is out.

[Insula Dei]

I'm gonna make some more publicity for the forum chat room, which right now is a liberal cryfest with the possible exception of Morgan.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Dogget is actually a tad below 52% now, but has been called as winner.

Did I mention that Ron Kind is losing?

[Torie]

As I mentioned long ago...

The path to victory in PA is either...
Super-overperformance in Philadelphia (over 500,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and very few other counties.
Very good performance in Philadelphia (over 400,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and several counties
Good performance in Philadelphia (over 300,000 votes at +80%), and Pittsburgh and very many other counties.

Unfortunately Sestak falls in none of the three.
He had very good performance in Philadelphia (over 429k at 84.1%! which pretty much eclipses Casey's performance), did alright in Pittsburgh (over 408k at 55%, but doesnt match Casey's 459k at 64.9%), but didn't win enough other counties.

If anyone had any doubts about Montgomery county being democratic, it is erased with this election.  Depending on how you equate things, Montgomery is either the 3rd or 4th most democratic county in PA (i say that because Delaware shows greater margins, but has fewer voters).

Delaware was Sestak's home county, and his seat was taken over by a Pubbie, and easily by an 11% margin. I agree with you on Montco. Montco was not hit that hard by the economic malaise, and does indeed have lots of folks who in the NY area, would live in Manhattan, on top of a fairly substantial black percentage. But Philly isn't Manhattan, so they live in the close in burbs. One killer for Sestak, is that Toomey is doing just fine in Chester County. That is a snap back county, along with Delaware, if Sestak was not from there.

[Lief 🗽]

I worked for Doggett over the summer, and we got a lot of angry letters and calls, but they were always from the non-Travis/Hays part of the district. Never thought it would be this close. Jesus.

[Torie]

Upstate NY update...

NY-19: 20% in, Hall down by ten.
NY-20: 32% in, Murphy down by ten.
NY-29: 19% in, Owens up by about three.
NY-24: 27% in, Arcuri down by eleven.
NY-22: 45% in, Hinchey up by nine.
NY-25: 20% in, Maffei down by two.
NY-29: 38% in, R lead of eleven.
NY-27: 12% in, Higgins up by five.

Very ugly for the Dems, but absent looking where the votes are from  ...

But NY-19 is not that heterogenious, so Hall is probably done, along with Murphy of course.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

with 30% in, 3300 (6.2%) votes for Doug Hoffman.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Critz and Altmire both made it. PA-7 fell, of course. For some reason PA-6 has yet to be called, despite Gerlach being on 56%.