Second Round of the Presidential Forever Championships

[Erc]

Round 4.

I was going to do Dynamism for the next 3 rounds...but the results were just too funky and unbalanced.  I've found a good setting, I'm sticking with it.

Group A:

Game 1:

Wildcard v. Cosmo Kramer

Cosmo Kramer (D-AR):  62,542,307, 50%, 271 EV
Michael R. Lane (R-CA): 61166239, 49%, 267 EV



Kramer had the Arkansas advantage, Lane just barely didn't have the California advantage.

Game 2:

Dubya v. Ben Myers

Rob Byers (D-TX):  62,479,028, 50%, 268 EV
William Goldwater (R-FL):  61,220,423, 49%, 270 EV



Game 3:

hughento v. Keystone Phil

A very tight race, too close to call all the way through election day.

Keystone Phil (R-PA):  63,970,659, 51%, 307 EV
Hugh Bartlett (D-OR):  60,034,402, 48%, 231 EV



It was close...but everything broke Phil's way (having the Big Mo' on Nov 1 helps)...all the tossup states, all the states leaning to him, and quite nearly New Hampshire (where he lost by less than 2000 votes).

[Platypus]

I'm peeved at Maryland, but otherwise, fair enough I suppose.

[Gustaf]

Erc, what's the standing in my group now?

[Erc]

At the request of Gustaf:

Group E Standings:

Republicans:

MHS2002: 1-2, 264.3 EV/game
Erc: 0-3, 244.3 EV/game
DanielX: 0-3, 244 EV/game

Democrats:

True Democrat: 3-0, 293.7 EV/game
Gustaf: 3-0, 281.7 EV/game
Blerpiez: 2-1, 286 EV/game


Remember, the bottom person for each party in each group is eliminated.  So, right now, I'm just 1 EV away from being eliminated...the fight for second place in Group E will be interesting, to say the least.

[DanielX]

Go Smith/Rumsfeld, Go!

[Erc]

Group B:

PBrunsel v. Akno21

PBrunsel went into the race with a major advantage, and held onto it for the most part, still having a five point lead on November 1.  However, there were still a large number of big-ticket swing states (Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Missouri)--so victory was not assured.

The night started off well for Knobel, with a victory in Florida.  However, subsequent losses in New Hampshire and North Carolina meant that Knobel had no margin for error.

Knobel continued to hang on, however, winning Delaware...Michigan...until losing the ultimate bellwether of Missouri.

The campaign was all but lost for Knobel...until he somehow won Wisconsin by the slimmest of margins.

Brunsel's campaign, always confident of victory, began to panic...but as Knobel won Brunsel's own home state of Iowa...and Nevada...and California.

Paul Brunsel (R-IA): 52%, 64,677,576, 261 EV
Alex Knobel (D-MD): 47%, 59,177,924, 277 EV



Wow.  That's gotta be one of the larger PV victories out there...and one of the most amazing squeak-by wins for Akno21.  I was being dramatic in the writeup just for the sake of being dramatic, not because I actually thought he could win...

Game 2:

Jake v. Ebowed

Nichols began with a ten-point lead over the embattled Ebowedddu.  This had narrowed to five points by election day...but this was a secure five points.  The outcome was never really in doubt.

Porceddu did pretty well on election day...the Southern Strategy paid off with close wins in North Carolina and Florida (and coming within 2000 votes in Virginia), and he pulled off Minnesota and Iowa, preventing the election from becoming a total rout...but it was still very much a Nichols victory.

Jake Nichols (R-PA): 64,728,322, 51%, 310 EV
Dan Porceddu (D-SC): 59,331,341, 47%, 228 EV



Game 3:

Bono v. Gabu

The best of the Democratic landslides in the first round...how will Bono do in the rematch?

The race started off with only a few specks of red on the map...but there was a lot of white.  Within a week, Bono's 3-point lead evaporated--and it pretty much stayed tied through election day.

The country was extremely polarized--right down the middle, with 269 EV's for Longley and 269 EV's for Bono.  Could either candidate peel off a state from the other's ranks?

Rhode Island proved faithful to the Democrats...but Nevada betrayed the Republicans.

Lucas Longley (D-WA): 50%, 62,286,096, 274 EV
Bono Vox (R-NH): 49%, 61,138,946, 264 EV



Congrats to Bono for breaking 60% in WV...first time any candidate has done that for either party.

[Keystone Phil]

Game 3:

hughento v. Keystone Phil

A very tight race, too close to call all the way through election day.

Keystone Phil (R-PA):  63,970,659, 51%, 307 EV
Hugh Bartlett (D-OR):  60,034,402, 48%, 231 EV



It was close...but everything broke Phil's way (having the Big Mo' on Nov 1 helps)...all the tossup states, all the states leaning to him, and quite nearly New Hampshire (where he lost by less than 2000 votes).

Ha. I had no idea this was going on! I must say I am very impressed with my win but angry over the fact that Arizona and Nevada had the nerve to go against me.

[Gabu]

Rhode Island proved faithful to the Democrats...but Nevada betrayed the Republicans.

Lucas Longley (D-WA): 50%, 62,286,096, 274 EV
Bono Vox (R-NH): 49%, 61,138,946, 264 EV

All of a sudden I like Nevada a lot more.

[Erc]

Group C:

Game 1:

Supersoulty v. Sam Spade

We all know Supersoulty's winning this one...but by how much?

Soult began with a twelve point lead.

By the second week, only the McGovern states were secure for Anderson.

It got better for Anderson, but he was still down by 8 come November 1.

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV



Sam Spade won Ohio by about 7000 votes, Supersoulty won Michigan by about 13000 votes.

Note that DC is D+60 (Sam Spade only got 68.4% of the vote to Supersoulty's 27.5%).


Game 2:

Cheesewhiz v. Ilikeverin

Ilikeverin began with a two-point lead...rare for a Democrat.  This remained constant until the final week, when Ilikeverin began to run away with it, snatching Texas and a four-point lead.

Chris Ilikeverin (D-IN): 51%, 64,112,949, 302 EV
Mark Ard (R-WI): 48%, 59,942,070, 236 EV



Game 3:

Colin Wixted v. Max Power

The Señor started off down by 8.  By the week before the election, he was only down by 3...but the Señor had the EV advantage.  It was all tied up on November 1, with Wixted in a rather precarious situation...his best targets were Massachusetts, New Hampshire (which wouldn't do him any good by itself), New York, and Minnesota [in that order]--all places where the Democratic faithful would likely come out and not vote for him.

Could Wixted pull off the suprise victory by sacking the very bastion of liberalism itself?

He came within 2 percent, but it was just not to be.

Colin Wixted (R-AK): 50%, 62,352,661, 253 EV
Max Power (D-PA): 49%, 61,470,915, 275 EV

[Gabu]

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV

I think that this wins the prize for "weirdest map yet".

[ilikeverin]

Game 2:

Cheesewhiz v. Ilikeverin

Ilikeverin began with a two-point lead...rare for a Democrat. This remained constant until the final week, when Ilikeverin began to run away with it, snatching Texas and a four-point lead.

Chris Ilikeverin (D-IN): 51%, 64,112,949, 302 EV
Mark Ard (R-WI): 48%, 59,942,070, 236 EV

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV

I think that this wins the prize for "weirdest map yet".

Let's see... Rep wins California, Hawaii, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Vermont... Dem wins Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Virginia, and Indiana... if either one of those happened, it would be grounds for that result to be 'pretty darn odd'.  But both happening?

[Erc]

Note, Ilikeverin, that a guy who lost by 9 points can win Indiana by 3, but you still managed to lose your own home state by 12 despite winning by 3.

[Erc]

Group D:

Game 1:

Ernest v. nini2287

Bunbury began with a five-point lead over Holler.  By election day, this had transformed into a two-point Holler lead--Bunbury gained some ground in the last week.

Nicholas Holler (D-PA): 51%, 63,655,865, 301 EV
Ernest Bunbury (R-SC): 47%,  59,255,878, 237 EV



Game 2:

AndrewBerger v. Alcon

The embattled Governor of New York hasn't had a victory yet...and he didn't get one here.

Alcon San Croix (D-WA): 51%, 64,005,338, 333 EV
Andrew Berger (R-NY): 47%, 59,528,845, 205 EV



Berger did come within 3.8% in California, and within 730 votes in Connecticut...although if he had won both, he'd still only be at 267 EV.


Game 3:

josh22 v. Immy

Craddock started off with a large lead...and although this had dwindled to two by election day, the advantage was still decidedly his.

Although Everett did win all the swing states (pretty big-ticket ones, too: Ohio, Illinois, and Tennessee), it just wasn't enough.

Josh Craddock (R-NC): 50%, 62,835,111, 274 EV
Eric Everett (D-ID): 48%, 60,066,550, 264 EV

[nini2287]

Wow, I'm 4-0 so far and have lost Vermont twice.  I guess I'm not socialist enough.

[Erc]

Group E:

Game 1:

Erc v. Blerpiez


I'm gonna win this one, I tell ya...

Or not.

All was going well until the last week, when I got hit with a big scandal.  So did Blerpiez, but it didn't stick to him.

-335 Momentum on November 1.

* Erc cries in agony

Peter Blerpiez (D-MA): 52%, 65,156,259, 303 EV
Peter Talbott (R-NY): 46%, 58,255,914, 235 EV



But I won Texas!  And Pennsylvania!  So HAH!


Game 2:

DanielX v. True Democrat

DanielX needs 237 EV in order to go into second place.

From the looks of it, he isn't going to win (Democrat started with a two-point lead), but he may get the votes he needs.

True Democrat (D-PA): 52%, 65,019,626, 301 EV
Daniel Smith (R-WY): 47%, 58,987,618, 237 EV   [I kid you not.]



And thus DanielX goes into second place by 1 EV.


Game 3:

MHS2002 v. Gustaf

MHS had a stunning success in an exhibition game against Alcon earlier today...can he replicate the feat?

Not quite, but he's probably going to win anyway...up by 6 in September, up by 2 in November.

Scott Pettit (R-DC): 63,782,464, 51%, 291 EV
Gustaf Lundgren (D-MN): 60,118,960, 48%, 247 EV



2 more rounds left in this part of the Championships...

We should be onto the next part after the holiday weekend.

[Platypus]

I have a feeling i might be knocked out

[Akno21]

I got very lucky

Group B:

PBrunsel v. Akno21

PBrunsel went into the race with a major advantage, and held onto it for the most part, still having a five point lead on November 1. However, there were still a large number of big-ticket swing states (Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Missouri)--so victory was not assured.

The night started off well for Knobel, with a victory in Florida. However, subsequent losses in New Hampshire and North Carolina meant that Knobel had no margin for error.

Knobel continued to hang on, however, winning Delaware...Michigan...until losing the ultimate bellwether of Missouri.

The campaign was all but lost for Knobel...until he somehow won Wisconsin by the slimmest of margins.

Brunsel's campaign, always confident of victory, began to panic...but as Knobel won Brunsel's own home state of Iowa...and Nevada...and California.

Paul Brunsel (R-IA): 52%, 64,677,576, 261 EV
Alex Knobel (D-MD): 47%, 59,177,924, 277 EV



Wow. That's gotta be one of the larger PV victories out there...and one of the most amazing squeak-by wins for Akno21. I was being dramatic in the writeup just for the sake of being dramatic, not because I actually thought he could win...

[12th Doctor]

supersoulty [3] v. Max Power [13]

Situation on September 22:

Solid Democrat: D.C.
Lean Democrat:
Tossup: HI, DE, NJ, NY, MA, CT, RI
Lean Republican: MI, VT, MD, CA
Solid Republican:  Everything Else.

Soult with a 14-point lead.


Reese did a good job, considering...he took back IL within a week, got the Big Mo (+193) in two weeks.  But the dream wasn't to be.  Soult won the first two debates and crushed Reese in the third, retook the West Coast, and sprung a scandal on Reese.  On election day, Soult still had a ten-point lead in the polls.

Chris Soult (R-PA): 54%, 67,457,418, 359 EV
Max Power (D-PA): 44%, 55,838,902, 179 EV



Reese squeaked by with California by 12,000 votes.

Wow, I did bad. I wonder if its just supersoulty is good or if its because I'm ranked 13th.

It's because I'm good.    Seriously, I was the only Republican to win in the first round and I defeated Sam Spade, no small task.

[Lt. Gov. Immy]

Game 3:

josh22 v. Immy

Craddock started off with a large lead...and although this had dwindled to two by election day, the advantage was still decidedly his.

Although Everett did win all the swing states (pretty big-ticket ones, too: Ohio, Illinois, and Tennessee), it just wasn't enough.

Josh Craddock (R-NC): 50%, 62,835,111, 274 EV
Eric Everett (D-ID): 48%, 60,066,550, 264 EV

Tough lose, I have to win the next two to have any chance to advance.

Hey Erc, do you know the best I've done id Idaho and it I've ever come close to winning it?  Might I be the only player to never when their home state against a credible opponent?

[12th Doctor]

Group C:

Game 1:

Supersoulty v. Sam Spade

We all know Supersoulty's winning this one...but by how much?

Soult began with a twelve point lead.

By the second week, only the McGovern states were secure for Anderson.

It got better for Anderson, but he was still down by 8 come November 1.

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV



Sam Spade won Ohio by about 7000 votes, Supersoulty won Michigan by about 13000 votes.

Note that DC is D+60 (Sam Spade only got 68.4% of the vote to Supersoulty's 27.5%).

I have only one thing to say about this one:



YAAAAAAARRRRR!!!

[12th Doctor]

For who ever faces me in the next round:



I MUST BREAK YOU

[Max Power]

Game 3:

Colin Wixted v. Max Power

The Señor started off down by 8.  By the week before the election, he was only down by 3...but the Señor had the EV advantage.  It was all tied up on November 1, with Wixted in a rather precarious situation...his best targets were Massachusetts, New Hampshire (which wouldn't do him any good by itself), New York, and Minnesota [in that order]--all places where the Democratic faithful would likely come out and not vote for him.

Could Wixted pull off the suprise victory by sacking the very bastion of liberalism itself?

He came within 2 percent, but it was just not to be.

Colin Wixted (R-AK): 50%, 62,352,661, 253 EV
Max Power (D-PA): 49%, 61,470,915, 275 EV

All I can say is...... wow.

[Sam Spade]

Group C:

Game 1:

Supersoulty v. Sam Spade

We all know Supersoulty's winning this one...but by how much?

Soult began with a twelve point lead.

By the second week, only the McGovern states were secure for Anderson.

It got better for Anderson, but he was still down by 8 come November 1.

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV



Sam Spade won Ohio by about 7000 votes, Supersoulty won Michigan by about 13000 votes.

Note that DC is D+60 (Sam Spade only got 68.4% of the vote to Supersoulty's 27.5%).

Ugly, just plain ugly.  Didn't help that I started 12 points down, geez. 

Guess I'm pretty much a dead duck now at 1-3.

[Max Power]

Group C:

Game 1:

Supersoulty v. Sam Spade

We all know Supersoulty's winning this one...but by how much?

Soult began with a twelve point lead.

By the second week, only the McGovern states were secure for Anderson.

It got better for Anderson, but he was still down by 8 come November 1.

Chris Soult (R-PA): 67,346,979, 54%, 388 EV
John Anderson (D-LA): 56,492,643, 45%, 150 EV



Sam Spade won Ohio by about 7000 votes, Supersoulty won Michigan by about 13000 votes.

Note that DC is D+60 (Sam Spade only got 68.4% of the vote to Supersoulty's 27.5%).

Ugly, just plain ugly.  Didn't help that I started 12 points down, geez. 

Guess I'm pretty much a dead duck now at 1-3.

Bye, Sam! I will miss you!

[Gabu]

I have only one thing to say about this one:

(snip)

YOU'RE GOING TO CALIFORNIA!  AND OREGON!  AND WASHINGTON!  AND PENNSYLVANIA!  AND MINNESOTA!  AND MICHIGAN!  AND WISCONSIN!  AND NEW JERSEY!  AND MARYLAND!  AND CONNECTICUT!  AND VERMONT!  AND THEN YOU'RE GOING BACK TO WASHINGTON, DC TO TAKE BACK THE WHITE HOUSE!!!