New poll hype thread

[dspNY]

Q-Poll for Senate projections:

PA: McGinty +2
FL: Rubio +6
OH: Portman +12
NC: Burr +1

[Wiz in Wis]

TN-Vanderbilt: Trump +8 before debate/Trump +4 post debate

Quinnipiac:

FL: Clinton +4, Rubio +5
OH: Clinton +1, Portman +13
PA: Clinton +8, Tie
NC: Clinton +3, Burr +2, Cooper +4

CO-Monmouth: Clinton +10/Bennet +12

well hello captain optimism.

[dspNY]

TN-Vanderbilt: Trump +8 before debate/Trump +4 post debate

Quinnipiac:

FL: Clinton +4, Rubio +5
OH: Clinton +1, Portman +13
PA: Clinton +8, Tie
NC: Clinton +3, Burr +2, Cooper +4

CO-Monmouth: Clinton +10/Bennet +12

#BattlegroundTennessee

[Tender Branson]

Why not ...

CO (Monmouth): Clinton+6
FL (Quinnipiac): Clinton+1
NC (Quinnipiac): Clinton+1
OH (Quinnipiac): Tie
PA (Quinnipiac): Clinton+5
TN (Vanderbilt): Trump+11

[SunSt0rm]

CO: Clinton +8
FL: Clinton +2
NC: Clinton +1
OH Trump +1
PA Clinton +6
TN Trump +15

[Fargobison]

CO (Monmouth): Clinton+8
FL (Quinnipiac): Clinton+3
NC (Quinnipiac): Clinton+1
OH (Quinnipiac): Tie
PA (Quinnipiac): Clinton+7
TN (Vanderbilt): Trump+13

[Xing]

FL: C+4, FBM<3+2
NC: C+2, B+2, C+5
OH: C+1, P+8
PA: C+7, M+3
TN: T+12 (lol)

[100% pro-life no matter what]

well hello captain optimism.

Vanderbilt showed Romney up 3 and 7 points in TN in 2012. He won by 20 points on election day.

Well, it also did have Tennessee's Amendment 1 down by 48 points in 2014.  It passed by more than 5.  They did phrase their poll in a strange way, and it was in the spring, but it's still a strange result.  One of the guys who runs the Vanderbilt poll helps call the races for NBC on Election Night.
https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee_Legislative_Powers_Regarding_Abortion,_Amendment_1_(2014)

[GeorgiaModerate]

well hello captain optimism.

Vanderbilt showed Romney up 3 and 7 points in TN in 2012. He won by 20 points on election day.

Yeah, polls in safe states for either party often understate the final result.  The population leans heavily to one party (by definition, if it's a safe state), so undecideds break toward that party.

[cinyc]

A new CBS News national poll will be out in 20 minutes or so.

[heatcharger]

A new CBS News national poll will be out in 20 minutes or so.

I'll guess Clinton +5.

Also PPP is asking which state to poll this week, and the options are Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, or Wisconsin: https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/783067317055975424

[Dr. Arch]

I'll say Clinton+6

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I'll say Clinton+6

[Gass3268]

A new CBS News national poll will be out in 20 minutes or so.

Anyone remember what their last number was?

[cinyc]

A new CBS News national poll will be out in 20 minutes or so.

Anyone remember what their last number was?

Tied in the 4-way and Clinton +2 in the head-to-head, I think. 

There is supposed to be a change in the race, according to the tease I heard, so Clinton will undoubtedly be up in this poll.  The only question is by how much.

[Devout Centrist]

C +8-10

Go big or go f**k yourself I guess.

[NOVA Green]

I'll take a safety, and assuming Taxgate is not reflected ...

C +5

[cinyc]

Real answer is Clinton +4 in the four-way.  Johnson at 8.

[Dr. Arch]

Real answee is Clinton +4 in the four-way.  Johnson at 8.

My prediction was head-to-head so we'll see.

[NOVA Green]

Real answee is Clinton +4 in the four-way.  Johnson at 8.

My prediction was head-to-head so we'll see.

Good point... maybe we should now start posting 2 way vs 4 way predictions as part of the guessing game.   

[Dr. Arch]

Real answee is Clinton +4 in the four-way.  Johnson at 8.

My prediction was head-to-head so we'll see.

Good point... maybe we should now start posting 2 way vs 4 way predictions as part of the guessing game.   

Nailed it

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/783087360036708352

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[cinyc]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/783087360036708352

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Hart's firm is known for doing some NBC/Wall Street Journal polls.  Is this some kind of NBC/WSJ poll?

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/783087360036708352

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Tick tock goes the clock....so we'll see some tweets shortly giving us the goodies???

[heatcharger]

New Marquette poll coming out Wednesday... next Wednesday, October 12th. Not much point in making guesses this far out, although you'd think the bounce would spread to Wisconsin as well.