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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 95069 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #975 on: October 28, 2016, 06:50:06 PM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 28, 2016, 06:48:39 PM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 28, 2016, 06:36:08 PM
Statewide: 43% Trump, 42% Clinton, 13% Others
ME-01: 47% Clinton, 38% Trump
ME-02: 49% Trump, 37% Clinton

is ME2 as populated as me-01?

They're very close.  668K in ME-01 and 660K in ME-02, per ballotpedia.
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cinyc
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« Reply #976 on: October 28, 2016, 06:58:12 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2016, 06:50:06 PM
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 28, 2016, 06:48:39 PM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 28, 2016, 06:36:08 PM
Statewide: 43% Trump, 42% Clinton, 13% Others
ME-01: 47% Clinton, 38% Trump
ME-02: 49% Trump, 37% Clinton

is ME2 as populated as me-01?

They're very close.  668K in ME-01 and 660K in ME-02, per ballotpedia.

I'm probably not going to get equal numbers of ME-01 and ME-02 respondents in my poll, even when completed.  I tested this on the Google Surveys Idaho poll that Speed of Sound conducted.  Respondents aren't necessarily equally geographically distributed.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #977 on: October 28, 2016, 07:14:30 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2016, 06:42:54 PM
Quote from: cinyc on October 28, 2016, 06:41:50 PM

McMullin isn't on the ballot in Maine.  Just Trump, Clinton, Johnson and Stein.

For some reason, "Trump, Clinton, Johnson, and Stein" makes me picture a seedy law firm.

I'll take my Johnson and Steins (Google with German translation) and Trump your Clinton?Huh


Wink
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dspNY
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« Reply #978 on: October 29, 2016, 08:10:03 AM »
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #979 on: October 29, 2016, 08:36:07 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 29, 2016, 08:10:03 AM
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

NC: T+1
AZ: T+4
PA: C+3
CO: C+5
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heatcharger
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« Reply #980 on: October 29, 2016, 08:38:40 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 29, 2016, 08:10:03 AM
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

Hopefully they actually poll the senate races in these states. I'll guess:

PA: C+7, M+3
CO: C+7, B+12
NC: C+3, B+1
AZ: T+5, M+9
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #981 on: October 29, 2016, 08:46:58 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 29, 2016, 08:10:03 AM
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

Do you know the usual date range for these polls? Will they cover the email news, or were they conducted prior?
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #982 on: October 29, 2016, 08:48:41 AM »
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on October 29, 2016, 08:46:58 AM
Do you know the usual date range for these polls? Will they cover the email news, or were they conducted prior?

there is no chance they could cover it.

even including today would at best leave a mixed record.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #983 on: October 29, 2016, 09:43:58 AM »
PA: C+6
CO: C+8
AZ: T+2
NC: C+2
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #984 on: October 29, 2016, 09:45:40 AM »
PA: C+4, T+1
CO: C+4, B+10
AZ: T+3, M+13
NC: Tie, B+5, Tie
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #985 on: October 29, 2016, 10:02:46 AM »
In that case,

PA: C+6
CO: C+4
AZ: T+2
NC: C+2
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #986 on: October 29, 2016, 10:15:40 AM »
PA: C+8
CO: C+7
AZ: T+1
NC: C+3
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #987 on: October 29, 2016, 10:37:16 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 29, 2016, 08:48:41 AM
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on October 29, 2016, 08:46:58 AM
Do you know the usual date range for these polls? Will they cover the email news, or were they conducted prior?

there is no chance they could cover it.

even including today would at best leave a mixed record.

I got a breaking news email from YouGov asking about it last night, a couple questions on my 2016 preference, whether it changed my vote, etc.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #988 on: October 29, 2016, 10:47:45 AM »
Quote from: HillOfANight on October 29, 2016, 10:37:16 AM
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 29, 2016, 08:48:41 AM
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on October 29, 2016, 08:46:58 AM
Do you know the usual date range for these polls? Will they cover the email news, or were they conducted prior?

there is no chance they could cover it.

even including today would at best leave a mixed record.

I got a breaking news email from YouGov asking about it last night, a couple questions on my 2016 preference, whether it changed my vote, etc.
Intresting. They probably will present a seperate poll of voters who seen/heard the news? As after debates.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #989 on: October 30, 2016, 03:42:06 AM »
AZ: tie
CO: C+5
NC: C+4
PA: C+7
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #990 on: October 30, 2016, 04:14:37 AM »
AZ: T +4
CO: C+3
NC: C+2
PA: C+6
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #991 on: October 30, 2016, 04:15:59 AM »
AZ: TIE
CO: C+8
NC: C+3
PA: C+6
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #992 on: October 30, 2016, 04:17:52 AM »
AZ: T+3
CO: C+5
NC: C+1
PA: C+6
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #993 on: October 30, 2016, 04:26:57 AM »
CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

PA: Clinton +5
CO: Clinton +6
NC: Clinton +3
AZ: Trump +2
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heatcharger
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« Reply #994 on: October 30, 2016, 07:11:28 AM »
NBC/WSJ/Marist is releasing FL and NC numbers at 9. I'll guess:

FL: Clinton +1, Rubio +5
NC: Clinton +2, Burr +2, Cooper +2
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #995 on: October 30, 2016, 03:42:40 PM »
Tom Bonier –  ‏@tbonier
@marcus_356 We'll be releasing a new poll there tomorrow, and will have EV/AV numbers matched back to actual vote history."


Targetsmart will apparently release FL poll tomorrow.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #996 on: October 30, 2016, 03:52:04 PM »
i guess...tie Wink
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Maxwell
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« Reply #997 on: October 30, 2016, 03:54:32 PM »
Fl: C+3
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #998 on: October 30, 2016, 03:56:39 PM »
Quote from: BoAtlantis on October 30, 2016, 03:42:40 PM
Tom Bonier –  ‏@tbonier
@marcus_356 We'll be releasing a new poll there tomorrow, and will have EV/AV numbers matched back to actual vote history."


Targetsmart will apparently release FL poll tomorrow.

Are they a partisan/new pollster? Can't find them in 538 pollster rating.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #999 on: October 30, 2016, 04:00:28 PM »
Quote from: Happy Sad Trumpista on October 30, 2016, 03:56:39 PM
Are they a partisan/new pollster? Can't find them in 538 pollster rating.

afaik that college is doing the polls for them since a few months..

http://www.wm.edu/
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