Jill Stein recount requests

[jamestroll]

http://www.eclectablog.com/2016/12/michigan-presidential-recount-update-its-getting-very-very-ugly.html

The fact that the Trump campaign is desperate to stop the recounts is proof positive that they should be allowed to go forward.

I don't expect anything to change, but if Trump and his lackeys were confident that there weren't shenanigans, you would think they would be fine with the recount proceeding so as to prove their victory.

I agree, the recounts just help their case in my opinion. It verifies their electoral college win.

Michigan is really the only state that could be changed, but even that would not change the electoral college without faithless electors. If Michigan would get reversed, it does increase the possibility of Michigan + faithless electors to give the presidency to Hillary.

But part of me does not want that to happen!

[Nym90]

http://www.eclectablog.com/2016/12/michigan-presidential-recount-update-its-getting-very-very-ugly.html

The fact that the Trump campaign is desperate to stop the recounts is proof positive that they should be allowed to go forward.

I don't expect anything to change, but if Trump and his lackeys were confident that there weren't shenanigans, you would think they would be fine with the recount proceeding so as to prove their victory.

Or they're worried the count will take longer than the Dec. 13th deadline and potentially disenfranchise the state.

Which they are making more likely by delaying them.

[bandg]

37/72 counties in Wisconsin now finished recounting. In those counties:

Trump +287 votes
Clinton +183 votes

[Axel Foley]

In Ingham County, MI, the only one that as of now has ended its recount in that State, Clinton gained a net of 65 votes( +138 for her, +73 for Trump).

[zorkpolitics]

Day 7 of the WI recount, Trump still wins by 22,000 votes
Excluding Milwaukee results since they are incomplete 72% of the votes recounted

Stein up 60
Trump up 410
Clinton up 492
Trump net loss of 82

[bandg]

The Wisconsin recount is finishing up. 61/72 counties have now completed.

Totals (including unfinished counties):
Trump +511
Clinton +569
Net Clinton +58

[Mike67]

Jill Stein is getting paid by George Soros and Hillary to try to make President Trump look illegitimate in an attempt to help Hillary in a possible 2020 Presidential run.

[The Other Castro]

Jill Stein is getting paid by George Soros and Hillary to try to make President Trump look illegitimate in an attempt to help Hillary in a possible 2020 Presidential run.

[jimrtex]

After the 7th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 32 counties by 289 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 379 votes. 9 counties have no change, including three counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel.

There were confirmed errors in the certified results from Village of Newburg, Ozaukee; Town of Bashaw, Washburn, the corrected versions increased Trump's margin by 60+; 28 votes were changed in the Town of Springville, Adams, with a net increase of +8 for Trump (and +9 for Johnson); error in election night addition results in +40 in Town of Rolling, Langlade; +6 Trump in Shawano, Belle Plaine.

There were a 12 uncounted votes in City of Monona, Dane; and 23 in the City of Fitchburg, Dane, for a net gain of +24 for Clinton. Overall, Clinton is up +75 in Dane, with very little of Madison counted.

Errors in Eau Claire County, in the towns of Brunswick and Seymour, City of Eau Claire, Ward 30 are net +9 for Clinton. Curiously, all three precinct changes were +7 Clinton, +4 Trump.

Manitowoc: +25 Clinton uncounted ballots in Town of Centerville; +26 Clinton (or -26 Trump) due to double counted ballots in Town of Kossuth. +46 Trump in City of Manitowoc due to 29 missed Trump votes by tabulator, and 17 Clinton votes that had a write-in overvote. You would think if that was a widespread practice, that it would show up elsewhere.

Marinette, City of Marinette. Scanners required a non-standard marker. Use of non-non-standard marker resulted in 294 missed votes. 9.5% of Clinton voters used the incorrect marker vs. 5.0% of Trump voters, resulting in +48 Clinton change. Marinette dropped from 59.9% Trump to 58.7% Trump.

Dozens of wrong marker votes in the City of Racine, that were generally favorable to Clinton. Apparently only the worst precincts are reported, but the Clinton is up +114 in the city. The Clinton increase was 0.72% vs. 0.24% for Trump (i.e. Clinton voters were three times as likely to use the wrong marker.

Sheboygan: 48 Uncounted ballots in two wards in City of Sheboygan +8 for Clinton; 17 double counted ballots in Town of Sheboygan +11 for Trump.

Vernon: City of Viroqua +13 Clinton due to 35 uncounted ballots. Village of Readstown -19 to Gary Johnson due to votes for Ron Johnson counted in the presidential race.

Nothing reported from Rusk county. Votes are beginning to trickle in from some larger cities:

(note, the following are from the predominant county)

Green Bay 29/47 wards, +5 Clinton
Village of Harrison, Calumet no report
Chippewa Falls no report
Madison 14/138 wards, +5 Clinton
Superior, 3/5 precincts, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire 25/64 wards, +12 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha 50/92 wards, +9 Clinton
La Crosse complete +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc 5/10 precincts, +41 Trump
Wausau, 19/37 wards, 0 net change.
Franklin, Milwaukee complete, +7 Clinton
Glendale, Milwaukee no report
Greenfield, Milwaukee no report
Wauwatosa, Milwaukee no report
West Allis, Milwaukee no report
Village of Whitefish Bay, Milwaukee no report
Appleton complete +11 Trump
Kaukauna, Outagamie no report
Town of Grand Chute, Outagamie no report
Village of Little Chute, Outagamie no report
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts no report
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Beloit no report
Janesville no report
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield 21/24, +6 Clinton
Muskego, no report
New Berlin, no report
Oconomowoc, no report
Pewaukee, no report
Waukesha, no report
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah, no report
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump (includes confirmed correction +8 Trump in Town of Springville)
Ashland, 0 (Ashland reported no changes)
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Langlade, +52 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +40 Trump in Town of Rolling)
Marinette, +39 Clinton (mostly due to non-non-standard markers in City of Marinette.
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Ozaukee, +32 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +29 Trump in Village of Newburg)
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Sauk, +9 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump (this is a correction, due to election day results reported as recount).
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump (including confirmed correction of +3 Clinton in Town of Whitewater)
Washburn, +34 Trump (including confirmed correction of +32 Trump in Town of Bashaw).
Washington, +14 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Jill still in stage 1 of grieving

[dax00]

for those who don't want to read paragraphs at a time:
after day 10 of recounts, excluding the city of milwaukee...
trump +628
clinton +653
johnson +76
stein +68
castle +17
moorehead +14
de la fuente -14 (sad!)

[jimrtex]

After the 8th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 33 counties by 324 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 384 votes. 9 counties have no change, including three counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +60 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county)

Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Harrison, Calumet, +5 Trump
Chippewa Falls 6/7 wards, +1 Trump
Madison 33/138 wards, +40 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire 25/64 wards, +4 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin, Milwaukee complete, +7 Clinton
Glendale, Milwaukee no report
Greenfield, Milwaukee no report
Wauwatosa, Milwaukee complete, +5 Trump
West Allis, Milwaukee no report
Village of Whitefish Bay, Milwaukee no report
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Kaukauna, Outagamie no report
Town of Grand Chute, Outagamie, 3/6 precincts, +1 Trump
Village of Little Chute, Outagamie no report
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts, 0 change
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Beloit no report
Janesville no report
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield complete, +11 Clinton
Muskego, complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin, complete, +7 Trump
Oconomowoc, complete, +3 Clinton
Pewaukee, complete, +4 Clinton
Waukesha, 2/49 wards, +1 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah, complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump (includes confirmed correction +8 Trump in Town of Springville)
Ashland, 0 (Ashland reported no changes)
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +40 Trump in Town of Rolling)
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 11 of 37 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton (mostly due to non-non-standard markers in City of Marinette.
Marquette, +6 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oneida, +10 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +29 Trump in Village of Newburg)
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump (including confirmed correction of +32 Trump in Town of Bashaw).
Washington, +14 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[zorkpolitics]

And as the recount goes on no evidence of Russian hacking, no evidence any fraud, just evidence of how stupid Jill and her left wing donors are.

[Mike67]

And as the recount goes on no evidence of Russian hacking, no evidence any fraud, just evidence of how stupid Jill and her left wing donors are.

George Soros and Hillary are wasting their millions

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, nothing to see here ...

While Russia might have influenced the US election to their favour (legitimate from their POV), there's absolutely no evidence that Russia manipulated the actual voting process.

[°Leprechaun]

Not so BOLD prediction; Trump is going to be elected in 8 days. The recounts and faithless electors will not stop this. It's over. Unfortunately, the fact that HRC had a huge lead in the ec is totally irrelevant. She did not "win" a majority of the pv, a myth believed by some, but neither did DT.

[jimrtex]

After the 9th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 356 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 405 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +49 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison 57/138 wards, +48 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +3 Trump
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis no report
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute, 3/6 precincts, +1 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville 18/33 wards, +1 Clinton
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield complete, +11 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha, 35/49 wards, +2 Clinton
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump (correction of previous report).
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon[/b], +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oneida, +10 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waupaca, +20 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Burnett, +1 Clinton
Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +120 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +6 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Oconto, +9 Trump
Outagamie, +11 Trump
Portage, +4 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton
Rock. +3 Trump
Waukesha, +11 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[dax00]

trump nets 162 after the recount. lead 712 greater than before the recount.

[Axel Foley]

So, now that recount is nearly over...why did Donald Trump manage to win Wisconsin, with a R+3 respect to the national popular vote result? Even Ronald Reagan underperformed here, in respect to his national margin of victory...I am very shocked by this State result.

[jimrtex]

After the 10th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 386 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 411 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +25 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison 84/138 wards, +67 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire[/b] complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +113 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +133 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +1 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Portage, +5 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 11th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 386 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 449 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +63 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison complete, +101 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +113 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +171 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +1 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Portage, +5 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton

Only Dane changed, as Madison finished its recount. In the others, there is a single or couple of towns or wards missing. With only one day remaining, it will be interesting if they had actually finished and not reported, or what.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.
[/quote]

[jimrtex]

After the 12th (and Final) Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 34 counties by 605 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 443 votes. 8 counties have no net change, including six counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +162 net Trump.

Completion of the recount of absentee votes in the City of Milwaukee confirm that Ward 34 was the worst error, with 254 Trump votes being reported as 8 votes on election night. In general it appears that Clinton benefited on small errors of one or two votes in a precinct, which might be due to irregularly or poorly marked ballots, while Trump seemed to gain more from larger changes due to uncounted or unreported ballots.

Cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 ballots cast on election night.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison complete, +101 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee complete, +221 Trump
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine complete, +97 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Clark, +12 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dane, +172 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Milwaukee, +228 Trump
Monroe, 0 (cancelling errors in 20 of 44 precincts)
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (includes cancelling changes in 11 of 37 precincts)
Portage +9 Clinton
Price, +1 Clinton
Racine, +59 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

[jimrtex]

In general it appears that Clinton benefited on small errors of one or two votes in a precinct, which might be due to irregularly or poorly marked ballots, while Trump seemed to gain more from larger changes due to uncounted or unreported ballots.

It turns out that this is not true. By scanning results from larger cities which had dozens of precincts, I came to the wrong conclusion. Within cities (of over 10,000 votes cast), Clinton did have an advantage:

Votes changed in precinct:

+1 Trump 339, Clinton 332; Cities Trump 127, Clinton 164.
+2 Trump 180, Clinton 236; Cities Trump 44, Clinton 120.
+3 Trump 150, Clinton 123; Cities Trump 21, Clinton 72.
+4 Trump 76, Clinton 72; Cities Trump 20, Clinton 36.
>=5 Trump 794, Clinton 688; Trump 371, Clinton 306 (includes +246 from one ward in Milwaukee)

So in cities, where there were more Clinton votes, it was more likely to find small numbers of uncounted ballots, which would probably be for Clinton. But there were about twice as many precincts outside the cities where Trump ballots might have been missed.

Clinton carried the cities of Green Bay, Kenosha, Marathon, Appleton, Racine, Sheboygan, and Oshkosh, while losing their respective counties of Brown, Kenosha, Wausau, Outagamie, Racine, Sheboygan, and Oshkosh.

Clinton won Madison 5:1 while carrying the remainder of Dane County 2:1. Clinton won the city of Milwaukee 4:1 while only winning the remainder of the county 5:4.

For subtractions, fewer subtractions is better for candidate.

-1 Trump 251, Clinton 272, Cities Trump 63, Clinton 84
-2 Trump 132, Clinton 146, Cities Trump 50, Clinton 50
-3 Trump 78, Clinton 84, Cities Trump 6, Clinton 33
-4 Trump 64 Clinton 56, Cities Trump 16, Clinton 16
<=-5 Trump 136, Clinton 181, Cities Trump 28, Clinton 91

Even in the cities these were somewhat favorable to Trump. With more votes for Clinton, it was more likely that they would be mistakenly counted as well.