Democratic pickup in MS-01
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #225 on: May 13, 2008, 08:45:23 PM »
Desoto with another 6 precincts. 11 more to go Sad
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Torie
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« Reply #226 on: May 13, 2008, 08:45:47 PM »
The swings in counties counted or mostly counted are a few percent towards  Childers, except for Acorn, which was a one percent swing to Davis. It's over. I see no huge turnout relatively speaking in Desoto. Childers by 7% as a guess.
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Harry
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« Reply #227 on: May 13, 2008, 08:46:18 PM »
I'm starting to get really nervous....hold the line, Childers!
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Torie
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« Reply #228 on: May 13, 2008, 08:48:09 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2008, 08:50:35 PM by Torie »
Quote from: Flem on May 13, 2008, 08:43:31 PM
Childers just flipped Lafayette County by 53-47.  It went for Davis by 44-51 last time.

That was the biggest swing so far, 14%, but all the counties are swinging, or flat. It's over.

Look at Prentiss County. No votes in. Last time Childers carried it with 85% of the vote and a 3,500 vote margin. This won't be that close.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #229 on: May 13, 2008, 08:48:37 PM »
52-48!
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #230 on: May 13, 2008, 08:50:18 PM »
Lee is all in Sad 58-42
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Sbane
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« Reply #231 on: May 13, 2008, 08:51:06 PM »
Union county +40 for Childers compared to Kerry's performance. I am getting more and more optimistic.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #232 on: May 13, 2008, 08:51:28 PM »
That's great news for Childers. Looks like Torie is right -- this one might be over.
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Torie
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« Reply #233 on: May 13, 2008, 08:52:07 PM »

This is a slight uptick for Davis, but he lost by the same number of absolute votes.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #234 on: May 13, 2008, 08:56:21 PM »
Good news for Childer: Benton, Calhoun, Clay, Itawamba, Prentiss are not in.
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Torie
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« Reply #235 on: May 13, 2008, 08:57:26 PM »
Quote from: sbane on May 13, 2008, 08:51:06 PM
Union county +40 for Childers compared to Kerry's performance. I am getting more and more optimistic.

Same percentage margin as last time. More votes.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #236 on: May 13, 2008, 08:57:36 PM »
Grenada is all in, going 49-51 to Davis.  Last time, Davis won it 54-40.
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Torie
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« Reply #237 on: May 13, 2008, 08:59:15 PM »
Panola with one precinct out, a 14% swing to Childers. This is why I called the race, after seeing no mega turnout in DeSoto.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #238 on: May 13, 2008, 08:59:31 PM »
50-50 tie now.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #239 on: May 13, 2008, 09:00:04 PM »
Desoto admitted another 9 precincts. Making it a 700 vote lead for Childers.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #240 on: May 13, 2008, 09:00:36 PM »
DeSota only has 2 more precincts to report and Childers has a 700 vote lead. He will win just about everywhere else and will win big in Prentiss's 15 precincts.

This one is almost over.
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Harry
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« Reply #241 on: May 13, 2008, 09:00:47 PM »
OK, Childers, you're about out of the woods in DeSoto and haven't surrendered the lead.  I'm starting to get ecstatic.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #242 on: May 13, 2008, 09:00:57 PM »
I suspect this one is over, unless DeSoto has some missing mass of votes, to make the margin say +12 or 13,000.
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Sbane
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« Reply #243 on: May 13, 2008, 09:01:27 PM »

That was mostly desoto coming in. There is nothing but going up now for Childers.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #244 on: May 13, 2008, 09:02:03 PM »
Missed the latest vote bump.  With Clay and Prentiss still out, it's over.
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #245 on: May 13, 2008, 09:02:11 PM »
Yep. Calling it for Childers. Pontotoc is the only big Davis county left.
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Torie
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« Reply #246 on: May 13, 2008, 09:03:15 PM »

9 precincts came in from DeSoto. 2 left. The Pubbie was is just about shot. Davis still has Tate, but Childers has Prentiss and Pontotoc.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #247 on: May 13, 2008, 09:04:04 PM »
Looks like South Memphis (thank you, Cheney) wasn't enough for Greg Davis.

If Davis loses tonight, I'm sure most Republicans will say that Glenn McCullough would've beaten Childers.
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Torie
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« Reply #248 on: May 13, 2008, 09:04:15 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on May 13, 2008, 09:00:57 PM
I suspect this one is over, unless DeSoto has some missing mass of votes, to make the margin say +12 or 13,000.

My guess is about a 6,000 vote margin.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #249 on: May 13, 2008, 09:04:48 PM »
In Tate County, Davis leads by 1569-2049 with all in.  That's an improvement over last time by 200 votes for Childers.
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