Question: If the November 7th election for governor were being held today, would you vote for…? Arnold Schwarzenegger, the Republican? Phil Angelides, the Democrat? Peter Camejo, the Green? Edward C. Noonan, the American Independent? Art Olivier, the Libertarian? or someone else?

Schwarzenegger: 43%
Angelides: 30%
Camejo: 4%
Noonan: 1%
Olivier: 1%
Someone Else: 2%
Don't Know: 19%

Poll Demographics
Dem: 42%
Rep: 33%
Ind: 20%
Oth: 5%

About this Poll
The findings of this survey are based on a telephone survey of 2,501 California adult residents interviewed between July 5 and July 18, 2006. Interviewing took place mostly on weekday and weekend evenings, using a computer-generated random sample of telephone numbers that ensured that both listed and unlisted numbers were called. All telephone exchanges in California were eligible for calling. Telephone numbers in the survey sample were called up to six times to increase the likelihood of reaching eligible households. Once a household was reached, an adult respondent (age 18 or older) was randomly chosen for interviewing by using the “last birthday method” to avoid biases in age and gender. Interviews took an average of 18 minutes to complete. Interviewing was conducted in English, Spanish, Korean, Vietnamese, or Chinese (Mandarin or Cantonese). We chose these languages because Spanish is the dominant language among non-English speaking adults in California, followed in prevalence by the three Asian languages noted above. Accent on Languages translated the survey into Spanish, with assistance from Renatta DeFever. Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas, Inc. translated the survey into Chinese, Korean, and Vietnamese and conducted the telephone interviewing. We used recent U.S. Census and state figures to compare the demographic characteristics of the survey sample with characteristics of California’s adult population. The survey sample was closely comparable to the census and state figures. The survey data in this report were statistically weighted to account for any demographic differences.

The sampling error for the total sample of 2,501 adults is +/- 2 percent at the 95 percent confidence level. This means that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 2 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed. The sampling error for subgroups is larger. The sampling error for the 1,835 registered voters is +/- 2.5 percent. The sampling error for the 1,225 likely voters is +/- 3.0 percent. Sampling error is only one type of error to which surveys are subject. Results may also be affected by factors such as question wording, question order, and survey timing.