* (Neither Bob Barr or Ralph Nader were placed in the survey. As of the time of the survey, neither candidate had qualified for the ballot in November)


InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Obama is doing well among independents and females. I must admit that the typical age patterns we have seen in all of our recent surveys did not hold in this one. For example, the youngest vote, although a small sample, went to McCain, but the 65 and over vote went to McCain by a lower percentage than in our surveys of other states.

"Regardless, the secret to Obama’s ability to make Virginia a close race can be found in his ability to attract 40% of the white vote. While Virginia’s black vote will likely be less than states such as Georgia or North Carolina, it is substantial enough that, when combined with such a strong showing among whites, it falls into the 'recipe' we see as necessary for Obama to win Southern states that have voted Republican in recent years. And, as I’ve noted many times, polls this far out always give the Republican candidate a higher percentage of the African-American vote than they ultimately receive. This will make the votes of those who chose 'other' or 'undecided' critical as the race really gets underway after the conventions.”