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Capital Journal Daybreak: Killings of New York Police Officers Spark Backlash to Protests | Little Crossover Appeal for Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush | White House Weighs Options Against North Korea
The Journal's morning rundown of the biggest news stories and exclusive features from Washington on politics, policy, financial regulation, defense and more.
Little Crossover Appeal for Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush ? WSJ/NBC Poll
Only 8% of American adults say they would be open to supporting both Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush in the 2016 presidential race, according to results of the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, suggesting a contest between the two would break along predictably partisan lines.
Here are some of our favorite political images of the year by the staff photographers Doug Mills and Stephen Crowley, and the interns Gabriella Demczuk and Jabin Botsford.
President Barack Obama's decision to normalize relations with Cuba is continuing to make big waves, and there will be big fights with Congress next year over how far and how fast to go on this front. But this will be a different kind of fight. Washington Bureau Chief Jerry Seib explains.
New York Conservative Party Has Best Vote Showing Since 1990
At the November 4, 2014 election, the Conservative Party of New York polled the highest percentages for Congress and state legislature since 1990. In the 2014 election, for U.S. House, 8.46% of the voters who were able to vote “Conservative”, did so. For State Senate, 9.43% of the voters who were able to vote for(More)?
New York State Senate Race Won by Democrat Who Only Polled 32.65% of Vote Cast
The State Senate race in New York’s 60th district in Buffalo featured a four-candidate race, in which the winning Democrat, Marc Panepinto, won with only 32.65% of the vote. The incumbent State Senator, Republican Mark G. Grisanti, lost the Republican primary to Kevin T. Stocker. Grisanti had voted for a gun control measure and Stocker(More)?
Final Senate Race Ratings
While Daily Kos Elections experimented this year with a quantitative predictive model (which turned out well, narrowly beating all the other models), we also stuck with our tried-and-true qualitative race ratings that we've used every cycle since 2008, using the same "Likely/Lean/Tossup" framework that anyone who follows along with the Charlie Cooks and Larry Sabatos of the world is familiar with. So here's our chance to look back at how those predictions (the final version of which you can see here) panned out.
Most races, of course, are entirely predictable from the very start; they're in a very red or very blue state or congressional district, with an entrenched incumbent and a little-known, underfunded opponent. So that means that by cycle's end, there are usually only a dozen or so Senate races, and under 100 House races, where there's any doubt whatsoever about the result; as for true tossups, those are only a small fraction of the total.
This exercise doesn't just help us know how we did, but also gives us some targeting information for the 2016 elections (and help us as we start thinking about 2016 ratings). It can help us pinpoint Republicans who were supposed to be safe but barely squeaked by, who might have some previously unknown glass jaw that we might exploit next time. It can also help us find which Democrats are at risk of underperforming again.
We'll look at the individual races over the fold, starting with the Senate:
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel Challenges Three-Fourths of Willie Wilson?s Signatures, Including Wilson?s Own Signature
Here is an article about the challenge to Willie Wilson’s petitions to be on the ballot for Mayor of Chicago. Incumbent Rahm Emanuel has challenged approximately three-fourths of Wilson’s petitions. According to this story, Emanuel even challenged Wilson’s own signature on his own petition. Everyone needs at least 12,500 signatures to be on a Chicago(More)?
Quotes From Sunday Talk Shows: Police Officers Killed, Cuba, Sony Hack
Here's a rundown of notable quotes from the Sunday talk shows, on the fatal shooting of two New York City police officers, the Sony hack, and the new Cuba policy.
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