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Roger Stone Will Probably Seek Libertarian Party Nomination for U.S. Senate in Florida in 2016
(from: Ballot Access News @ May 27, 2015, 10:30 PM)

This story says Roger Stone has expressed an intent to be the Florida Libertarian Party’s U.S. Senate candidate in 2016. The story includes Stone’s announcement.


Ohio Green Party Statement on the Acquittal of Officer Brelo
(from: Independent Political Report @ May 27, 2015, 09:18 PM)

From the Green Party US website:

We are disappointed that the prosecution over-reached on the charge of voluntary manslaughter, a charge virtually impossible to prove given the numbers of officers involved and the number of bullets that were fired.

We are disappointed that the defense chose to portray Officer Brelo as a victim of “vicious” prosecution.… Read more ...


Think Tank?s Loss Is Gain for Jeb Bush Team
(from: Washington Wire @ May 27, 2015, 07:49 PM)

Two board members of the educational think tank founded by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush have resigned to focus on his likely presidential campaign.


Supreme Court to hear case that may dramatically alter 'one person, one vote' ? and boost the GOP
(from: Swing State Project @ May 27, 2015, 07:00 PM)

Map of Texas' current state Senate districts (2015)
Texas' state Senate districts (click to enlarge)

In a move that election law expert Rick Hasen characterizes as "surprising," the Supreme Court has agreed to hear a potentially major case that could upend long-settled jurisprudence on the meaning of "one person, one vote." The suit, Evenwel v. Abbott, argues that the state of Texas should draw lines for its state Senate that equalize the voting population in each district, not the total population, as they do now.

And if the court were to side with the plaintiffs, Republicans would benefit. That's because there are fewer registered voters in urban, Democratic-leaning districts and far more in conservative rural seats. For instance, on the congressional level, California's sprawling 1st District?a vast, forested region nestled along the Oregon and Nevada borders?has about 521,000 eligible voters, according to one analyst, while the compact 40th District in Los Angeles has just 262,000. (When the lines were drawn in 2011, both had populations of 702,900.) And as you might expect, the former is represented by a Republican and the latter by a Democrat.

So if districts had to balance out voting-age populations, red seats would have to shed voters to blue seats, which are home to many more non-voters, chiefly non-citizens (often Hispanics), ex-felons without voting rights, and children. This would, of course, make those blue seats redder, which is why conservative groups are pushing this suit.

What's more, while this case is focused on legislative redistricting, there's no reason any ruling here couldn't also apply to congressional redistricting?and congressional reapportionment, which would mean that blue states would also likely lose a number of seats to red states. (Texas, ironically, with its large immigrant population, would be an exception, but the districts it would drop would be Democratic ones.)

However, there's a huge problem with this case's entire premise: It's almost impossible to count voters. Leah Libresco details the many reasons why, among them the fact that the Census doesn't ask about citizenship status. While the Census Bureau does get into more detail with its annual American Community Surveys, the ACS relies on statistical sampling?something the Supreme Court specifically barred for the purposes of the traditional decennial Census itself (which is currently used both for reapportionment and redistricting purposes).

Amusingly, Republicans were the victorious plaintiffs in that case (sampling would have uncovered many missing urban voters), so they might have unwittingly boxed themselves in. They also, as Libresco points out, hate the ACS and have tried to defund it, because heaven forbid the government should ever produce any useful statistical information that looks like science.

Of course, none of this may stop the Supreme Court's conservatives, who have shown no hesitation in curtailing minority voting rights. It'll be a while before they rule, though, but if they enshrine "one registered voter, one vote" into law, we'll be in for some serious upheaval.


Judge Sets Monthly Releases for Clinton Emails
(from: Washington Wire @ May 27, 2015, 05:59 PM)

The public will soon get a closer look at the inner workings of Hillary Clinton?s State Department, with a federal judge ordering that about 3,900 pages of emails from the Clinton era be released June 30-- the first in what will be a rolling series of disclosures over a seven-month span.


Hillary Clinton Calls for a Civil Campaign in South Carolina
(from: NY Times The Caucus @ May 27, 2015, 05:21 PM)

Hillary Rodham Clinton, campaigning in South Carolina, alluded to her tough primary fight with Barack Obama in 2008 but stressed how hard she had worked for him afterward and in his administration.


Nevada Bill Easing Petition Deadlines for New Parties and Non-Presidential Independent Candidates Passes Legislature
(from: Independent Political Report @ May 27, 2015, 04:35 PM)

From Richard Winger at Ballot Access News:

On May 22, the Nevada Assembly passed SB 499, the bill that eases petition deadlines for newly-qualifying parties and non-presidential independent candidates. The bill now goes to the Governor.

The bill moves the petition deadline for newly-qualifying parties from April to June, and the independent candidate petition deadline (for office other than President) from February to June.… Read more ...


What Obama?s Approval Rating Could Suggest for 2016
(from: Washington Wire @ May 27, 2015, 04:26 PM)

Rhodes Cook: President Obama's approval score can help gauge whether he is more likely to provide a boost or a drag to the Democratic Party's chances in 2016.


?404 Error? Web Pages Are Early Battleground in 2016 Races
(from: Washington Wire @ May 27, 2015, 03:59 PM)

Launching a website is at the top of any campaign?s to do list when preparing a bid for president. While much attention is devoted to the size of the donate button, and information to get to know the candidate, some 2016 campaigns are having fun alerting site visitors that they've reached the wrong place. Here's a look at how some 2016 candidates are delighting campaign site visitors who find themselves lost online:


Bernie Sanders Attacks Hillary Clinton Directly on Trade Deal
(from: NY Times The Caucus @ May 27, 2015, 03:09 PM)

It took a New Hampshire farmer to show that Senator Bernie Sanders could land a political punch squarely on Hillary Rodham Clinton.


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