PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls ResultsPolls
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Biden - Trump
Election 2020 State Polls Aggregate
Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

2020 Presidential Polls Mapkey

270 |
538 |
Biden290 
 
pie
Trump126 
 
Ind
 
Tos122 
 

State Pick-ups


Gain Loss Hold Toss
ST EV ST EV ST EV ST EV
Biden+4+57002123300
Trump00-4-57201266122
Ind00000000

Polls Aggregate History

polls_graph

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
IATie48%48%0%1%2101R - ITossup
TXD +048%49%1%2%1002R - ITossup
GAD +148%49%0%2%3200R - ITossup
NCD +148%49%0%2%3000R - ITossup
OHR +148%47%1%3%1301R - ITossup
AZD +347%49%0%3%3000R - ISlight Democratic
FLD +347%50%1%2%2100R - ITossup
NVD +446%50%1%1%3000D - ISlight Democratic
MTR +550%46%0%3%0300R - ILean Republican
PAD +546%51%0%3%2100R - ILean Democratic

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
AZD +347%49%0%3%3000R - ISlight Democratic
MID +844%52%1%3%3000R - ILean Democratic

Most Recent State Polls

State Date Poll Source Spread DT Dem Ind Other Und MOE Sample #C
PA 11-02 Susquehanna Polling & ResearchR +149%48%0%0%3%4% 499 L
NC 11-02 IpsosD +148%49%1%0%2%4% 500 L
MT 11-02 Change ResearchR +550%45%0%2%2%4% 920 L 3
ME 11-02 Change ResearchD +1240%52%0%6%2%4% 1,024 L 8
FL 11-02 IpsosD +446%50%2%0%2%5% 500 L
FL 11-02 Insider AdvantageR +148%47%0%2%3%4% 400 L 17
AZ 11-02 IpsosD +347%50%0%0%3%5% 610 L 7
WI 11-01 Morning ConsultD +1341%54%0%0%5%3% 1,002 L 14
WI 11-01 CiviqsD +447%51%0%1%0%4% 789 L 40
WI 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +945%54%0%0%1%1% 450 L 7
WI 11-01 IpsosD +1043%53%2%0%2%4% 696 L 26
VA 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +1143%54%0%2%0%4% 690 L 24
TX 11-01 Morning ConsultTie48%48%0%0%4%2% 3,267 L 14
TX 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +148%49%2%0%1%3% 926 L 35
SC 11-01 Morning ConsultR +651%45%0%0%4%3% 904 L 14
SC 11-01 Data 4 ProgressR +953%44%0%2%0%3% 880 L 10
PA 11-01 Morning ConsultD +943%52%0%0%5%2% 2,686 L 14
PA 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +745%52%0%2%0%3% 1,417 L 0
PA 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +646%52%0%0%2%5% 450 L 7
PA 11-01 Other SourceD +249%51%0%0%0%6% 340 L 22
PA 11-01 Monmouth UniversityD +744%51%0%0%5%4% 500 L 29
PA 11-01 IpsosD +744%51%3%0%2%4% 673 L 26
PA 11-01 RasmussenD +445%49%0%1%4%4% 800 L 20
PA 11-01 Marist CollegeD +546%51%0%0%3%4% 772 L 64
OH 11-01 Morning ConsultR +249%47%1%0%3%2% 2,179 L 14
OH 11-01 CiviqsR +149%48%0%1%1%3% 1,136 L 40
OH 11-01 Research ConsultantsTie49%49%0%0%2%5% 450 L 7
OH 11-01 RasmussenR +449%45%0%3%3%4% 800 L 18
OH 11-01 Quinnipiac UniversityD +443%47%2%0%8%3% 1,440 L 58
NC 11-01 Morning ConsultD +148%49%0%0%3%2% 1,982 L 14
NC 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +248%50%0%2%0%3% 908 L 10
NY 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +3034%64%0%0%2%5% 450 L 7
NJ 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +1940%59%0%0%1%5% 450 L 7
NV 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +744%51%0%5%0%3% 1,442 L 7
MO 11-01 Morning ConsultR +952%43%0%0%5%3% 1,109 L 14
MS 11-01 Data 4 ProgressR +1455%41%0%4%0%4% 562 L 5
MN 11-01 Morning ConsultD +1042%52%0%0%6%3% 883 L 14
MN 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +843%51%0%7%0%3% 1,259 L 4
MI 11-01 Morning ConsultD +745%52%0%0%3%2% 1,736 L 14
MI 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +845%53%0%0%2%5% 450 L 7
MI 11-01 IpsosD +1042%52%2%0%4%4% 654 L 26
KS 11-01 Data 4 ProgressR +1455%41%4%0%0%3% 1,121 L 17
IA 11-01 CiviqsD +148%49%0%3%0%4% 853 L 40
IA 11-01 Data 4 ProgressR +249%47%0%5%0%3% 951 L 10
IA 11-01 Change ResearchTie47%47%0%3%3%3% 1,084 L 5
IA 11-01 Public Policy PollingD +148%49%1%0%2%3% 871 L 10
IN 11-01 Morning ConsultR +1153%42%0%0%5%3% 1,147 L 14
IL 11-01 Victory ResearchD +1638%54%0%4%4%3% 1,208 L 8
IL 11-01 Research ConsultantsD +1940%59%1%0%0%5% 450 L 7
GA 11-01 Morning ConsultD +346%49%0%0%5%3% 1,743 L 14
GA 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +248%50%0%1%0%3% 1,036 L 23
GA 11-01 Landmark CommunicationsR +450%46%0%3%1%4% 500 L 43
GA 11-01 Other SourceD +448%52%0%0%0%6% 380 L 22
GA 11-01 Insider AdvantageR +248%46%0%4%2%4% 500 L 5
FL 11-01 Morning ConsultD +646%52%0%0%2%2% 4,451 L 14
FL 11-01 Data 4 ProgressD +348%51%0%2%0%3% 1,202 L 16
FL 11-01 Susquehanna Polling & ResearchR +147%46%0%2%5%5% 400 L 9
FL 11-01 Other SourceD +243%45%0%0%12%5% 517 L 22
FL 11-01 Quinnipiac UniversityD +542%47%1%0%9%2% 1,657 L 58
CO 11-01 Morning ConsultD +1341%54%0%0%5%4% 727 L 14

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