Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-07-08 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	28
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	26
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+3	+5	-10	-1	-11	3	0	3	-6
Rep	+10	+1	+11	-2	-3	-5	12	5	17	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
34	22	12

Comments
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Member Comments

By: downwithdaleft (R-NJ) - 2006-07-08 @ 18:41:05

What about MI? That is the most vulnerable Dem seat of all. As much as I wish this was possible, it really is not.

By: Aguagon (D-AZ) - 2006-07-09 @ 06:26:48

I can't quite decide what my favorite part of this one is. Is it Napolitano losing Arizona? Frudenthal losing Wyoming? Maybe it's Bredesen losing Tennessee. Or maybe it's the Democratic victories in Michigan and Maryland--not that they're at all far-fetched, just that they seem inconsistent with the rest of the map.

By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-07-09 @ 10:32:31

Maybe it's that they melted crayons on their map, and by extension computer, and their computer is no longer working? -:)

By: ilikeverin (D-NY) - 2006-07-10 @ 12:06:15

Aguagon: my favorite is definitely Freudenthal losing in Wyoming ;)

By: cm04g (I-FL) - 2006-07-24 @ 02:22:09

I was stunned when I saw your overly optimistic predictions.I just wanna say that I saw too many supporters get deflated on election night and it is usually people like you. I hope you are not that optimistic.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-07-26 @ 14:06:33

You really shouldn't let your partisanship blind you. This is supposed to be an honest projection of the outcome on Election Day. No one will take you seriously if you make blatantly biased predictions! I won't even comment on the individual states that should definitely be changed because there are too many. You might have made better predictions if you had just flipped the colors on each state. You don't actually think that the outcome will be 34-16, Republicans, do you?

Last Edit: 2006-07-27 @ 18:31:54

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	15/35	46/70	65.7%	2	19	362	T	483
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%	2	52	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	17/34	49/68	72.1%	1	64	120	T	362
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	221	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	10/36	45/72	62.5%	2	21	282	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%	1	21	123	T	300
2012 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%	1	350	561	T	760
2010 Senate	32/37	6/37	38/74	51.4%	4	2	408	T	456
2010 Governor	23/37	8/37	31/74	41.9%	1	47	290	T	312
2006 U.S. Senate	23/33	10/33	33/66	50.0%	2	122	445	T	465
2006 Governor	22/36	12/36	34/72	47.2%	1	122	297	T	312
2004 President	48/56	31/56	79/112	70.5%	1	10	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	378/455	197/455	575/910	63.2%

Links

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