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Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	8
Rep	28
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	7
Rep	26
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+3	+5	-10	-1	-11	3	0	3	-6
Rep	+10	+1	+11	-2	-3	-5	12	5	17	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
34	22	12

Comments
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Member Comments

 By: downwithdaleft (R-NJ) - 2006-07-08 @ 18:41:05

What about MI? That is the most vulnerable Dem seat of all. As much as I wish this was possible, it really is not.

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 By: Aguagon (D-AZ) - 2006-07-09 @ 06:26:48

I can't quite decide what my favorite part of this one is. Is it Napolitano losing Arizona? Frudenthal losing Wyoming? Maybe it's Bredesen losing Tennessee. Or maybe it's the Democratic victories in Michigan and Maryland--not that they're at all far-fetched, just that they seem inconsistent with the rest of the map.

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 By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-07-09 @ 10:32:31

Maybe it's that they melted crayons on their map, and by extension computer, and their computer is no longer working? -:)

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 By: ilikeverin (D-MD) - 2006-07-10 @ 12:06:15

Aguagon: my favorite is definitely Freudenthal losing in Wyoming ;)

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 By: cm04g (I-FL) - 2006-07-24 @ 02:22:09

I was stunned when I saw your overly optimistic predictions.I just wanna say that I saw too many supporters get deflated on election night and it is usually people like you. I hope you are not that optimistic.

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 By: db099221 (D-PA) - 2006-07-26 @ 14:06:33

You really shouldn't let your partisanship blind you. This is supposed to be an honest projection of the outcome on Election Day. No one will take you seriously if you make blatantly biased predictions! I won't even comment on the individual states that should definitely be changed because there are too many. You might have made better predictions if you had just flipped the colors on each state. You don't actually think that the outcome will be 34-16, Republicans, do you? Last Edit: 2006-07-27 @ 18:31:54

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