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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:22

Prediction Map
boris78 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
boris78 Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+5+700013114+7
Rep000-2-5-711415-7
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
653530
piepiepie

Comments

Democrats will gain at least five: Colorado, Arkansas, Ohio, New York, and Massachusetts. Maryland and Minnesota are tossups, but I've kept them in the Democratic column. Democrats should also hold Illinois, Oregon, and Maine by 5> point margins.

Idaho, Nevada, and Alaska have had some close polls lately, but I've kept them all with the incumbent party. Look for small GOP victories in these three states.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 2 1 47T
P 2012 Rep Primary 0/52 0/52 0/104 0.0% pie 1 - 228T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 2 1 34T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 2 1T
P 2008 President 51/56 41/56 92/112 82.1% pie 13 1 178T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 4 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 23/52 8/52 31/104 29.8% pie 7 - 147T
P 2008 Rep Primary 18/49 11/49 29/98 29.6% pie 5 - 132T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 182 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 19 1 46T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 30/36 65/72 90.3% pie 22 1 1T
Aggregate Predictions 296/420 220/420 516/840 61.4% pie


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