PredictionsMock2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions - benconstine (D-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-03-05 Version:26

Prediction Map
benconstine MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
benconstine MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain30
 
Romney12
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee10
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain14
 
Romney2
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee4
 
Other0
 
Tossup32
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
514011
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 18

After pulling off a massive upset in Maine, Romney stuns everyone by making a comeback on Super Tuesday, and winning the nomination in May.


Version: 16

A Romney victory in Florida eliminates everyone but Huckabee and McCain, and the campaign continues well into April, not being decided until after Idaho in May.


Version: 12

I am predicting that Rudy will make a great comeback on Super Tuesday, keeping it as a three way race between him, Huck, and McCain until March, when McCain drops out, and Rudy and Huckabee battle it out until April, when Huckabee finally gets the nomination.


Version: 10

After Super Tuesday it comes down to McCain v. Huckabee, with Huckabee finally pulling it out at the end of April.


Version: 7

McCain and Huckabee go toe to toe until the end of the primaries, when Huckabee finally pulls ahead.


Version: 6

This will probably be my last GOP prediction before Iowa, and I have Mike Huckabee winning the nomination. By the middle of February, it will be Huckabee v. McCain, and Huckabee will pull it out.


Version: 5

After Super Tuesday, Rudy, McCain, and Huckabee fight over the nomination all the way to the convention.


Version: 4

After Super Tuesday, the race is between Huckabee and Giuliani, with Huckabee pulling it out in the beginning of March.


Version: 3

Following a McCain shocker in New Hampshire, the race is down to Huckabee versus McCain from Super Tuesday until the middle of March, when McCain pulls off the upset to win the nomination.


Version: 2

Romney drops out on Super Tuesday, Huckabee and Rudy continue until March 5, when Huckabee drops out. Rudy wins the nomination, and is endorsed by everyone.


Version: 1

I still think Rudy will win the nomination. He has the most money, and the best organization; although he won't secure it until the very end of the primaries.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 246
P 2022 Senate 34/35 26/35 60/70 85.7% pie 5 6 48T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 4 6 104T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 73 48T118
P 2020 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 13 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 22/35 53/70 75.7% pie 11 8 137T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 5 29 51T293
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 3 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 2 9 94T372
P 2016 President 47/56 28/56 75/112 67.0% pie 8 1 440T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 15/34 45/68 66.2% pie 7 1 277T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 5/12 15/24 62.5% pie 2 1 47T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 5 72T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 9 0 21T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 16/36 45/72 62.5% pie 4 1 145T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 96 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 9 0 77T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 9 1 164T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 9/52 51/104 49.0% pie 8 - 69T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 1 243 37T106
P 2010 Senate 36/37 25/37 61/74 82.4% pie 33 0 34T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 23/37 58/74 78.4% pie 15 1 74T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 5 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 45/56 97/112 86.6% pie 101 1 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 39 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 9 122 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 42/52 20/52 62/104 59.6% pie 30 - 36T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 40/49 11/49 51/98 52.0% pie 26 - 47T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 1/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 27 102T167
Aggregate Predictions 780/861 494/861 1274/1722 74.0% pie


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