Election 2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-12-28 Version:8

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	10
McCain	1
Romney	29
Thompson	2
Huckabee	8
Other	2

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	10
McCain	1
Romney	20
Thompson	2
Huckabee	7
Other	1
Tossup	11

Analysis

State Previous Current
HI RG30L MR30T
FL MH40L MR30L
GA MH40T MH40S
OK MR30T MR30
NM JM30T JM30S
PR RG40L MR40T
TX MH40L MH40T
IN RG30L MR30T
NC MH40T MR40T
NM RG30S MR30S
NE MR40L MR40S

LA MH30T MH50S
TX MH40T MH40L

Also changed was NY - that should've been Strong for RG but somewhere along the way it got bumped to Tossup (I dunno how).

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: outzawe (R-KY) 2007-12-30 @ 19:55:46
Very possible, I still doubt Paul can win anywhere, but I guess we'll find out. I mean, Paul's fairly crazy y'know. :-P I love to slight the Paulbots. Last Edit: 2007-12-30 @ 23:27:00

By: outzawe (R-KY) 2008-01-03 @ 22:59:43
Paul took about 10% in Iowa, I may be wrong about him. This does concern me though.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	23	74	T	115
2022 Senate	34/35	31/35	65/70	92.9%	1	1	3	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	29/36	64/72	88.9%	1	1	5	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	6	1	T	118
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	1	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%	1	4	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	1	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	4	14	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	1	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	26/36	56/72	77.8%	1	3	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	2	40	T	149
2016 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%	2	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	23/34	54/68	79.4%	1	1	6	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%	2	1	67	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	11	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%	3	5	82	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%	3	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	6	17	T	153
2012 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%	7	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	5	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%	37	-	22	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%	1	332	79	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	16	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%	8	0	17	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	5	6	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%	32	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	14	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	10	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	26/52	68/104	65.4%	30	-	20	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	19/49	60/98	61.2%	31	-	11	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	4	21	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	10	2	232	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%	14	1	36	T	312
2004 President	51/56	25/56	76/112	67.9%	24	4	1441	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	900/994	637/994	1537/1988	77.3%

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