Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-27 Version:1

Prediction Map

jgserge Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jgserge Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	12
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	11
Ind	1
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+3
Rep	0	+1	+1	-4	0	-4	10	1	11	-3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	27	47
Republican	12	40	52
Independent	1	0	1

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	30	18

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		1	1	276	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%		1	11	207	T	465
2004 President	55/56	39/56	94/112	83.9%		3	10	66	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	136/145	94/145	230/290	79.3%

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