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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:19

Prediction Map
boris78 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
boris78 Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+50+50-1-114216+4
Rep000-50-59110-5
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic212748
Republican104050
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
553223
piepiepie

Comments

Final prediction: 50-50 senate.

Most unsure about: Missouri, Virginia, Montana, Tennessee. The big four. Democrats should gain Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island with relative ease.

Menendez pulls out a five point win in New Jersey.

Cardin handles Steele by six.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 2 1 47T
P 2012 Rep Primary 0/52 0/52 0/104 0.0% pie 1 - 228T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 2 1 34T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 2 1T
P 2008 President 51/56 41/56 92/112 82.1% pie 13 1 178T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 4 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 23/52 8/52 31/104 29.8% pie 7 - 147T
P 2008 Rep Primary 18/49 11/49 29/98 29.6% pie 5 - 132T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 182 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 19 1 46T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 30/36 65/72 90.3% pie 22 1 1T
Aggregate Predictions 296/420 220/420 516/840 61.4% pie


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