Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:4
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 66)
Analysis
Here are my final predictions for the Senate. Mississippi and Wyoming predictions are based on the special elections with incumbent Wicker in Mississippi and Barrasso in Wyoming. My predictions for Cochran and Enzi are R+60%/Strong.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 2 This map reflects how I see each state going, based on formulas I worked on last week. I am already working like crazy to update everything, so expect some more frequent changes in my map later on. I will have complete predictions and explain how my formulas, which are very similar to Scott's on Election Projection, work.
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