Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:19

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis

Battle for the Senate:

AK: Begich 53, Stevens 43
CO: Udall 56, Schaffer 43
GA: Chambliss 51, Martin 48
KY: McConnell 52, Lunsford 47
LA: Landrieu 54, Kennedy 45
MN: Coleman 45, Franken 44, Barkley 10
NH: Shaheen 54, Sununu 45
NM: Udall 59, Pearce 40
NC: Hagan 51, Dole 48
OR: Merkley 52, Smith 47
VA: Warner 64, Gilmore 35

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	45/56	100/112	89.3%	12	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%	2	1	40	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	9/52	53/104	51.0%	10	-	64	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	24	4	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%	6	1	29	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	4	6	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	47/56	101/112	90.2%	64	1	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	19	4	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	4	2	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	37/52	21/52	58/104	55.8%	16	-	52	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	15/49	50/98	51.0%	15	-	52	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	380/429	253/429	633/858	73.8%

Links

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