Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-06 Version:1

Prediction Map
dgentile Map

dgentile Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
dgentile Map

dgentile Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	12
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	+3	+9	0	0	0	12	0	12	+9
Rep	0	0	0	-6	-3	-9	10	2	12	-9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	36	57
Republican	12	26	38
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	32	18

Analysis

Weird poll spikes in KY and GA -- true defection or just a tantrum?

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%		2	1	508	T
2012 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		1	34	144	T
2010 Senate	26/37	16/37	42/74	56.8%		4	48	359	T
2008 President	54/56	35/56	89/112	79.5%		5	12	247	T
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		1	29	117	T
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%		3	77	232	T
2004 President	46/56	24/56	70/112	62.5%		5	76	1629	T
Aggregate Predictions	273/304	162/304	435/608	71.5%

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